Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model
The Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability in the southern hemisphere. It is obtained via a principal component analysis (PCA) for geopotential height anomalies. Being the southern hemisphere's dominant mode, an adequate representation in earth system models...
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ftfuberlin:oai:refubium.fu-berlin.de:fub188/20366 2023-05-15T13:53:47+02:00 Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model Babian, Stella Rust, Henning W. Grieger, Jens Prömmel, Kerstin Cubasch, Ulrich 2016 8 S. application/pdf https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/20366 https://doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0661 eng eng https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/20366 http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 doi:10.1127/metz/2016/0661 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/ CC-BY-NC Antarctic Oscillation MPI-ESM-MR precipitation southern hemisphere ddc:551 doc-type:article 2016 ftfuberlin https://doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0661 2022-05-15T20:45:42Z The Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability in the southern hemisphere. It is obtained via a principal component analysis (PCA) for geopotential height anomalies. Being the southern hemisphere's dominant mode, an adequate representation in earth system models is desirable. This paper evaluates to what extent the AAO and related precipitation is represented in the Max Planck Institute's Earth System Model (MPI-ESM). To this end we compare AAO spatial patterns (empirical orthogonal functions, EOFs), spectral properties of the associated principal components (PCs) and AAO-related precipitation patterns of MPI-ESM to three reanalyses: the ECMWF's ERA-40 and ERA-Interim, and the NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Differences between MPI-ESM and ERA-Interim leading EOFs reveal that the three typical centres of action are less pronounced and slightly shifted in the model. Spectral density estimates of the associated PCs show reduced variability in the MPI-ESM for periods between 4 to 5 months. The relation between AAO and southern hemispheric precipitation is assessed via composites and correlation analysis. In both, model and reanalyses, a negative AAO index leads to a general increase of precipitation between 30° S and 50° S and a decrease south of 50° S. Differences between maps of correlation for AAO and precipitation are most prominent near Indonesia and Antarctica probably due to a lack of pressure around Antarctica in the model. Altogether the MPI-ESM underestimates the relation of AAO and southern hemispheric precipitation but gives the correct sign and spatial distribution of correlation values. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Freie Universität Berlin: Refubium (FU Berlin) Antarctic The Antarctic Meteorologische Zeitschrift 25 6 767 774 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Freie Universität Berlin: Refubium (FU Berlin) |
op_collection_id |
ftfuberlin |
language |
English |
topic |
Antarctic Oscillation MPI-ESM-MR precipitation southern hemisphere ddc:551 |
spellingShingle |
Antarctic Oscillation MPI-ESM-MR precipitation southern hemisphere ddc:551 Babian, Stella Rust, Henning W. Grieger, Jens Prömmel, Kerstin Cubasch, Ulrich Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
topic_facet |
Antarctic Oscillation MPI-ESM-MR precipitation southern hemisphere ddc:551 |
description |
The Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability in the southern hemisphere. It is obtained via a principal component analysis (PCA) for geopotential height anomalies. Being the southern hemisphere's dominant mode, an adequate representation in earth system models is desirable. This paper evaluates to what extent the AAO and related precipitation is represented in the Max Planck Institute's Earth System Model (MPI-ESM). To this end we compare AAO spatial patterns (empirical orthogonal functions, EOFs), spectral properties of the associated principal components (PCs) and AAO-related precipitation patterns of MPI-ESM to three reanalyses: the ECMWF's ERA-40 and ERA-Interim, and the NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Differences between MPI-ESM and ERA-Interim leading EOFs reveal that the three typical centres of action are less pronounced and slightly shifted in the model. Spectral density estimates of the associated PCs show reduced variability in the MPI-ESM for periods between 4 to 5 months. The relation between AAO and southern hemispheric precipitation is assessed via composites and correlation analysis. In both, model and reanalyses, a negative AAO index leads to a general increase of precipitation between 30° S and 50° S and a decrease south of 50° S. Differences between maps of correlation for AAO and precipitation are most prominent near Indonesia and Antarctica probably due to a lack of pressure around Antarctica in the model. Altogether the MPI-ESM underestimates the relation of AAO and southern hemispheric precipitation but gives the correct sign and spatial distribution of correlation values. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Babian, Stella Rust, Henning W. Grieger, Jens Prömmel, Kerstin Cubasch, Ulrich |
author_facet |
Babian, Stella Rust, Henning W. Grieger, Jens Prömmel, Kerstin Cubasch, Ulrich |
author_sort |
Babian, Stella |
title |
Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
title_short |
Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
title_full |
Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
title_fullStr |
Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Representation of the Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the MPI Earth System Model |
title_sort |
representation of the antarctic oscillation and related precipitation patterns in the mpi earth system model |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/20366 https://doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0661 |
geographic |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
op_relation |
https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/20366 http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 doi:10.1127/metz/2016/0661 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/ |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY-NC |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.17169/refubium-23669 https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0661 |
container_title |
Meteorologische Zeitschrift |
container_volume |
25 |
container_issue |
6 |
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767 |
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774 |
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1766259230020468736 |