Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability

Response of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency to future climate change has important implications for society but remains poorly understood due to a lack of long-term reliable observational records. Here, we use high-resolution organic geochemical proxies (OGPs) with robust chronological control from...

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Published in:Quaternary Science Reviews
Other Authors: Wang, Yang (author), Jahan, Shakura (author), Burnett, William C. (author), Wu, Zhaohua (author), Elsner, James (author), Means, Guy H. (author), Liu, Jin (author), Jiang, Shijun (author)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710
https://diginole.lib.fsu.edu/islandora/object/fsu%3A911890/datastream/TN/view/Late%20Holocene%20Tropical%20Cyclones%20Linked%20to%20Climatic%20and%20Solar%20Variability.jpg
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spelling ftfloridasu:oai:diginole.lib.fsu.edu:fsu_911890 2024-06-23T07:55:01+00:00 Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability Wang, Yang (author) Jahan, Shakura (author) Burnett, William C. (author) Wu, Zhaohua (author) Elsner, James (author) Means, Guy H. (author) Liu, Jin (author) Jiang, Shijun (author) 2024-05-01 computer online resource 1 online resource application/pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710 https://diginole.lib.fsu.edu/islandora/object/fsu%3A911890/datastream/TN/view/Late%20Holocene%20Tropical%20Cyclones%20Linked%20to%20Climatic%20and%20Solar%20Variability.jpg English eng Quaternary Science Reviews fsu:911890 iid: research_repository_submission-dfa27ec5-0787-4334-abd0-c09d82d8d380 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710 https://diginole.lib.fsu.edu/islandora/object/fsu%3A911890/datastream/TN/view/Late%20Holocene%20Tropical%20Cyclones%20Linked%20to%20Climatic%20and%20Solar%20Variability.jpg Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) Text journal article 2024 ftfloridasu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710 2024-05-29T00:00:00Z Response of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency to future climate change has important implications for society but remains poorly understood due to a lack of long-term reliable observational records. Here, we use high-resolution organic geochemical proxies (OGPs) with robust chronological control from two coastal lakes, >150 km apart, to reconstruct past TC activities in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico (GOM). Results show multi-decadal-to-centennial-scale fluctuations in TC frequency over the last 5500 years. We found that TC frequency either exceeded or was comparable to modern observations during a prolonged interval (~1500-720 cal yr BP) that encompasses the Medieval Warm Period. We also found a nearly 90% reduction in TC activity, relative to modern, during an exceptionally quiescent period (650-280 cal yr BP) that overlaps the Little Ice Age. Warmer temperatures in the North Atlantic did not always support increased TC frequency in this region. We show, for the first time, that increased TC activities in the northeastern GOM track increased solar irradiance. High TC frequency is also coupled to periods of increased sea surface temperatures in the northern GOM, enhanced El Niño-Southern Oscillation, and positive phases of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. Our results highlight the importance of natural variability in climate and solar activity in modulating TC frequency. Geochemical Proxies, Hurricanes, Paleoclimate, Gulf of Mexico, North Atlantic, Paleotempestology U.S. National Science Foundation grant EAR1566134 Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Florida State University: DigiNole Commons Quaternary Science Reviews 334 108710
institution Open Polar
collection Florida State University: DigiNole Commons
op_collection_id ftfloridasu
language English
description Response of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency to future climate change has important implications for society but remains poorly understood due to a lack of long-term reliable observational records. Here, we use high-resolution organic geochemical proxies (OGPs) with robust chronological control from two coastal lakes, >150 km apart, to reconstruct past TC activities in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico (GOM). Results show multi-decadal-to-centennial-scale fluctuations in TC frequency over the last 5500 years. We found that TC frequency either exceeded or was comparable to modern observations during a prolonged interval (~1500-720 cal yr BP) that encompasses the Medieval Warm Period. We also found a nearly 90% reduction in TC activity, relative to modern, during an exceptionally quiescent period (650-280 cal yr BP) that overlaps the Little Ice Age. Warmer temperatures in the North Atlantic did not always support increased TC frequency in this region. We show, for the first time, that increased TC activities in the northeastern GOM track increased solar irradiance. High TC frequency is also coupled to periods of increased sea surface temperatures in the northern GOM, enhanced El Niño-Southern Oscillation, and positive phases of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. Our results highlight the importance of natural variability in climate and solar activity in modulating TC frequency. Geochemical Proxies, Hurricanes, Paleoclimate, Gulf of Mexico, North Atlantic, Paleotempestology U.S. National Science Foundation grant EAR1566134
author2 Wang, Yang (author)
Jahan, Shakura (author)
Burnett, William C. (author)
Wu, Zhaohua (author)
Elsner, James (author)
Means, Guy H. (author)
Liu, Jin (author)
Jiang, Shijun (author)
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
title Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
spellingShingle Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
title_short Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
title_full Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
title_fullStr Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
title_full_unstemmed Late Holocene Tropical Cyclones Linked to Climatic and Solar Variability
title_sort late holocene tropical cyclones linked to climatic and solar variability
publishDate 2024
url https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710
https://diginole.lib.fsu.edu/islandora/object/fsu%3A911890/datastream/TN/view/Late%20Holocene%20Tropical%20Cyclones%20Linked%20to%20Climatic%20and%20Solar%20Variability.jpg
genre North Atlantic
genre_facet North Atlantic
op_relation Quaternary Science Reviews
fsu:911890
iid: research_repository_submission-dfa27ec5-0787-4334-abd0-c09d82d8d380
doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710
https://diginole.lib.fsu.edu/islandora/object/fsu%3A911890/datastream/TN/view/Late%20Holocene%20Tropical%20Cyclones%20Linked%20to%20Climatic%20and%20Solar%20Variability.jpg
op_rights Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108710
container_title Quaternary Science Reviews
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