Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects?
Thermal response curves that depict the probability of occurrence along a thermal gradient are used to derive various species’ thermal properties and abilities to cope with warming. However, different thermal responses can be expected for different portions of a species range. We focus on difference...
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Online Access: | https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/3811 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/files/3811/water-13-00816-v4.pdf |
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ftfhosnabrueck:oai:opus.hs-osnabrueck.de:3811 2023-05-15T18:10:08+02:00 Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? Markovic-Bredthauer, Danijela Freyhof, Jörg Kärcher, Oskar 2021-03-16 application/pdf https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/3811 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/files/3811/water-13-00816-v4.pdf deu ger https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/3811 urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/files/3811/water-13-00816-v4.pdf https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.de info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess CC-BY ddc:333.7 article doc-type:article 2021 ftfhosnabrueck https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 2023-02-05T23:20:02Z Thermal response curves that depict the probability of occurrence along a thermal gradient are used to derive various species’ thermal properties and abilities to cope with warming. However, different thermal responses can be expected for different portions of a species range. We focus on differences in thermal response curves (TRCs) and thermal niche requirements for four freshwater fishes (Coregonus sardinella, Pungitius pungitius, Rutilus rutilus, Salvelinus alpinus) native to Europe at (1) the global and (2) European continental scale. European ranges captured only a portion of the global thermal range with major differences in the minimum (Tmin), maximum (Tmax) and average temperature (Tav) of the respective distributions. Further investigations of the model-derived preferred temperature (Tpref), warming tolerance (WT = Tmax − Tpref), safety margin (SM = Tpref − Tav) and the future climatic impact showed substantially differing results. All considered thermal properties either were under- or overestimated at the European level. Our results highlight that, although continental analyses have an impressive spatial extent, they might deliver misleading estimates of species thermal niches and future climate change impacts, if they do not cover the full species ranges. Studies and management actions should therefore favor whole global range distribution data for analyzing species responses to environmental gradients. Article in Journal/Newspaper Salvelinus alpinus Osnabrück University of Applied Sciences: OPUS Water 13 6 816 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Osnabrück University of Applied Sciences: OPUS |
op_collection_id |
ftfhosnabrueck |
language |
German |
topic |
ddc:333.7 |
spellingShingle |
ddc:333.7 Markovic-Bredthauer, Danijela Freyhof, Jörg Kärcher, Oskar Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
topic_facet |
ddc:333.7 |
description |
Thermal response curves that depict the probability of occurrence along a thermal gradient are used to derive various species’ thermal properties and abilities to cope with warming. However, different thermal responses can be expected for different portions of a species range. We focus on differences in thermal response curves (TRCs) and thermal niche requirements for four freshwater fishes (Coregonus sardinella, Pungitius pungitius, Rutilus rutilus, Salvelinus alpinus) native to Europe at (1) the global and (2) European continental scale. European ranges captured only a portion of the global thermal range with major differences in the minimum (Tmin), maximum (Tmax) and average temperature (Tav) of the respective distributions. Further investigations of the model-derived preferred temperature (Tpref), warming tolerance (WT = Tmax − Tpref), safety margin (SM = Tpref − Tav) and the future climatic impact showed substantially differing results. All considered thermal properties either were under- or overestimated at the European level. Our results highlight that, although continental analyses have an impressive spatial extent, they might deliver misleading estimates of species thermal niches and future climate change impacts, if they do not cover the full species ranges. Studies and management actions should therefore favor whole global range distribution data for analyzing species responses to environmental gradients. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Markovic-Bredthauer, Danijela Freyhof, Jörg Kärcher, Oskar |
author_facet |
Markovic-Bredthauer, Danijela Freyhof, Jörg Kärcher, Oskar |
author_sort |
Markovic-Bredthauer, Danijela |
title |
Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
title_short |
Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
title_full |
Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
title_fullStr |
Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Continental vs. Global Niche-Based Modelling of Freshwater Species’ Distributions: How Big Are the Differences in the Estimated Climate Change Effects? |
title_sort |
continental vs. global niche-based modelling of freshwater species’ distributions: how big are the differences in the estimated climate change effects? |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/3811 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/files/3811/water-13-00816-v4.pdf |
genre |
Salvelinus alpinus |
genre_facet |
Salvelinus alpinus |
op_relation |
https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/3811 urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:959-opus-38118 https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 https://opus.hs-osnabrueck.de/files/3811/water-13-00816-v4.pdf |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.de info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060816 |
container_title |
Water |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
816 |
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1766182899961298944 |