Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present...
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ftethz:oai:www.research-collection.ethz.ch:20.500.11850/505048 2023-08-20T04:04:34+02:00 Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Hofmann Elizondo, Urs Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas id_orcid:0 000-0002-2085-2310 2021 application/application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/505048 https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000505048 en eng Nature info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000692406100008 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/505048 doi:10.3929/ethz-b-000505048 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Nature Communications, 12 (1) info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2021 ftethz https://doi.org/20.500.11850/50504810.3929/ethz-b-00050504810.1038/s41467-021-25385-x 2023-07-30T23:54:06Z Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species’ distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration. ISSN:2041-1723 Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton ETH Zürich Research Collection Arctic Arctic Ocean |
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ETH Zürich Research Collection |
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language |
English |
description |
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean’s food-web, yet the impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an ensemble of species distribution models for a total of 336 phytoplankton and 524 zooplankton species to determine their present and future habitat suitability patterns. For the end of this century, under a high emission scenario, we find an overall increase in plankton species richness driven by ocean warming, and a poleward shift of the species’ distributions at a median speed of 35 km/decade. Phytoplankton species richness is projected to increase by more than 16% over most regions except for the Arctic Ocean. In contrast, zooplankton richness is projected to slightly decline in the tropics, but to increase strongly in temperate to subpolar latitudes. In these latitudes, nearly 40% of the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages are replaced by poleward shifting species. This implies that climate change threatens the contribution of plankton communities to plankton-mediated ecosystem services such as biological carbon sequestration. ISSN:2041-1723 |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Hofmann Elizondo, Urs Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas id_orcid:0 000-0002-2085-2310 |
spellingShingle |
Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Hofmann Elizondo, Urs Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas id_orcid:0 000-0002-2085-2310 Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
author_facet |
Benedetti, Fabio Vogt, Meike Hofmann Elizondo, Urs Righetti, Damiano Zimmermann, Niklaus E. Gruber, Nicolas id_orcid:0 000-0002-2085-2310 |
author_sort |
Benedetti, Fabio |
title |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_short |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_full |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_fullStr |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
title_sort |
major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming |
publisher |
Nature |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/505048 https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000505048 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Phytoplankton Zooplankton |
op_source |
Nature Communications, 12 (1) |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41467-021-25385-x info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000692406100008 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/505048 doi:10.3929/ethz-b-000505048 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/20.500.11850/50504810.3929/ethz-b-00050504810.1038/s41467-021-25385-x |
_version_ |
1774714945710063616 |