Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study
International audience In this work, we use Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations from 10 Earth system models (ESMs) and general circulation models (GCMs) to study the fast climate responses on pre-industrial climate, due to present-day aerosols. All models carried out tw...
Published in: | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2020
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Online Access: | https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/document https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/file/acp-20-8381-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 |
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École Polytechnique, Université Paris-Saclay: HAL |
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ftepunivpsaclay |
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English |
topic |
[SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] |
spellingShingle |
[SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] Zanis, Prodromos Akritidis, Dimitris Georgoulias, Aristeidis K. Allen, Robert J. Bauer, Susanne E. Boucher, Olivier Cole, Jason Johnson, Ben Deushi, Makoto Michou, Martine Mulcahy, Jane Nabat, Pierre Olivié, Dirk Oshima, Naga Sima, Adriana Schulz, Michael Takemura, Toshihiko Tsigaridis, Konstantinos Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
topic_facet |
[SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] |
description |
International audience In this work, we use Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations from 10 Earth system models (ESMs) and general circulation models (GCMs) to study the fast climate responses on pre-industrial climate, due to present-day aerosols. All models carried out two sets of simulations: a control experiment with all forcings set to the year 1850 and a perturbation experiment with all forcings identical to the control, except for aerosols with precursor emissions set to the year 2014. In response to the pattern of all aerosols effective radiative forcing (ERF), the fast temperature responses are characterized by cooling over the continental areas, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, with the largest cooling over East Asia and India, sulfate being the dominant aerosol surface temperature driver for present-day emissions. In the Arctic there is a warming signal for winter in the ensemble mean of fast temperature responses, but the model-to-model variability is large, and it is presumably linked to aerosol-induced circulation changes. The largest fast precipitation responses are seen in the tropical belt regions, generally characterized by a reduction over continental regions and presumably a southward shift of the tropical rain belt. This is a characteristic and robust feature among most models in this study, associated with weakening of the monsoon systems around the globe (Asia, Africa and America) in response to hemispherically asymmetric cooling from a Northern Hemisphere aerosol perturbation, forcing possibly the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and tropical precipitation to shift away from the cooled hemisphere despite that aerosols' effects on temperature and precipitation are only partly realized in these simulations as the sea surface temperatures are kept fixed. An interesting feature in aerosol-induced circulation changes is a characteristic dipole pattern with intensification of the Icelandic Low and an anticyclonic anomaly over southeastern Europe, inducing ... |
author2 |
Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) Groupe de Météorologie de Grande Échelle et Climat (GMGEC) Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Zanis, Prodromos Akritidis, Dimitris Georgoulias, Aristeidis K. Allen, Robert J. Bauer, Susanne E. Boucher, Olivier Cole, Jason Johnson, Ben Deushi, Makoto Michou, Martine Mulcahy, Jane Nabat, Pierre Olivié, Dirk Oshima, Naga Sima, Adriana Schulz, Michael Takemura, Toshihiko Tsigaridis, Konstantinos |
author_facet |
Zanis, Prodromos Akritidis, Dimitris Georgoulias, Aristeidis K. Allen, Robert J. Bauer, Susanne E. Boucher, Olivier Cole, Jason Johnson, Ben Deushi, Makoto Michou, Martine Mulcahy, Jane Nabat, Pierre Olivié, Dirk Oshima, Naga Sima, Adriana Schulz, Michael Takemura, Toshihiko Tsigaridis, Konstantinos |
author_sort |
Zanis, Prodromos |
title |
Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
title_short |
Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
title_full |
Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
title_fullStr |
Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study |
title_sort |
fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a cmip6 multi-model study |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/document https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/file/acp-20-8381-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
ISSN: 1680-7316 EISSN: 1680-7324 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2020, 20, pp.8381-8404. ⟨10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/document https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/file/acp-20-8381-2020.pdf BIBCODE: 2020ACP.20.8381Z doi:10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 |
container_title |
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
container_volume |
20 |
container_issue |
14 |
container_start_page |
8381 |
op_container_end_page |
8404 |
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1801373200210198528 |
spelling |
ftepunivpsaclay:oai:HAL:insu-03668362v1 2024-06-09T07:44:28+00:00 Fast responses on pre-industrial climate from present-day aerosols in a CMIP6 multi-model study Zanis, Prodromos Akritidis, Dimitris Georgoulias, Aristeidis K. Allen, Robert J. Bauer, Susanne E. Boucher, Olivier Cole, Jason Johnson, Ben Deushi, Makoto Michou, Martine Mulcahy, Jane Nabat, Pierre Olivié, Dirk Oshima, Naga Sima, Adriana Schulz, Michael Takemura, Toshihiko Tsigaridis, Konstantinos Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) Groupe de Météorologie de Grande Échelle et Climat (GMGEC) Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL) 2020 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/document https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/file/acp-20-8381-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 en eng HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/document https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362/file/acp-20-8381-2020.pdf BIBCODE: 2020ACP.20.8381Z doi:10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1680-7316 EISSN: 1680-7324 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://insu.hal.science/insu-03668362 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2020, 20, pp.8381-8404. ⟨10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020⟩ [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftepunivpsaclay https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8381-2020 2024-05-16T12:01:35Z International audience In this work, we use Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations from 10 Earth system models (ESMs) and general circulation models (GCMs) to study the fast climate responses on pre-industrial climate, due to present-day aerosols. All models carried out two sets of simulations: a control experiment with all forcings set to the year 1850 and a perturbation experiment with all forcings identical to the control, except for aerosols with precursor emissions set to the year 2014. In response to the pattern of all aerosols effective radiative forcing (ERF), the fast temperature responses are characterized by cooling over the continental areas, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, with the largest cooling over East Asia and India, sulfate being the dominant aerosol surface temperature driver for present-day emissions. In the Arctic there is a warming signal for winter in the ensemble mean of fast temperature responses, but the model-to-model variability is large, and it is presumably linked to aerosol-induced circulation changes. The largest fast precipitation responses are seen in the tropical belt regions, generally characterized by a reduction over continental regions and presumably a southward shift of the tropical rain belt. This is a characteristic and robust feature among most models in this study, associated with weakening of the monsoon systems around the globe (Asia, Africa and America) in response to hemispherically asymmetric cooling from a Northern Hemisphere aerosol perturbation, forcing possibly the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and tropical precipitation to shift away from the cooled hemisphere despite that aerosols' effects on temperature and precipitation are only partly realized in these simulations as the sea surface temperatures are kept fixed. An interesting feature in aerosol-induced circulation changes is a characteristic dipole pattern with intensification of the Icelandic Low and an anticyclonic anomaly over southeastern Europe, inducing ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic École Polytechnique, Université Paris-Saclay: HAL Arctic Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20 14 8381 8404 |