Forecasting deflation, intrusion and eruption at inflating volcanoes

• Published in: Earth and Planetary Science Letters
• Main Authors: Blake, S, Cortes, Joaquin
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier 2017
• Subjects: G Geography (General); GB Physical geography; Q Science (General); Krafla; Iceland
• Online Access: http://repository.edgehill.ac.uk/9927/; http://repository.edgehill.ac.uk/9927/1/Blake_Cortes2017.pdf

A principal goal of volcanology is to successfully forecast the start of volcanic eruptions. This paper introduces a general forecasting method, which relies on a stream of monitoring data and a statistical description of a given threshold criterion for an eruption to start. Specifically we investig...