New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES
International audience We compare top‐of‐atmosphere (TOA) radiative fluxes observed by the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) and simulated by seven general circulation models forced with observed sea‐surface temperature (SST) and sea‐ice boundary conditions. In response to in...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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2020
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02530975 https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/document https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/file/LOEB_AMIP_Study_Manuscript_Revised_Combined.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705 |
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ftecoleponts:oai:HAL:hal-02530975v1 2024-10-13T14:10:44+00:00 New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES Loeb, Norman Wang, Hailan Allan, Richard Andrews, Timothy Armour, Kyle, C Cole, Jason Dufresne, Jean-Louis Forster, Piers Gettelman, Andrew Guo, Huan Mauritsen, Thorsten Ming, Yi Paynter, David Proistosescu, Cristian Stuecker, Malte Willén, Ulrika Wyser, Klaus Viroscan3D SAS Lyon, France Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter University of Washington Seattle Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X) Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL) Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X) Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) University of Leeds National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft Department of Atmospheric Sciences Seattle 2020-03-16 https://hal.science/hal-02530975 https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/document https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/file/LOEB_AMIP_Study_Manuscript_Revised_Combined.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705 en eng HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1029/2019GL086705 doi:10.1029/2019GL086705 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.science/hal-02530975 Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (5), ⟨10.1029/2019GL086705⟩ [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftecoleponts https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705 2024-09-24T23:49:23Z International audience We compare top‐of‐atmosphere (TOA) radiative fluxes observed by the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) and simulated by seven general circulation models forced with observed sea‐surface temperature (SST) and sea‐ice boundary conditions. In response to increased SSTs along the equator and over the eastern Pacific (EP) following the so‐called global warming “hiatus” of the early 21st century, simulated TOA flux changes are remarkably similar to CERES. Both show outgoing shortwave and longwave TOA flux changes that largely cancel over the west and central tropical Pacific, and large reductions in shortwave flux for EP low‐cloud regions. A model's ability to represent changes in the relationship between global mean net TOA flux and surface temperature depends upon how well it represents shortwave flux changes in low‐cloud regions, with most showing too little sensitivity to EP SST changes, suggesting a “pattern effect” that may be too weak compared to observations. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice École des Ponts ParisTech: HAL Pacific Geophysical Research Letters 47 5 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
École des Ponts ParisTech: HAL |
op_collection_id |
ftecoleponts |
language |
English |
topic |
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology |
spellingShingle |
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology Loeb, Norman Wang, Hailan Allan, Richard Andrews, Timothy Armour, Kyle, C Cole, Jason Dufresne, Jean-Louis Forster, Piers Gettelman, Andrew Guo, Huan Mauritsen, Thorsten Ming, Yi Paynter, David Proistosescu, Cristian Stuecker, Malte Willén, Ulrika Wyser, Klaus New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
topic_facet |
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology |
description |
International audience We compare top‐of‐atmosphere (TOA) radiative fluxes observed by the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) and simulated by seven general circulation models forced with observed sea‐surface temperature (SST) and sea‐ice boundary conditions. In response to increased SSTs along the equator and over the eastern Pacific (EP) following the so‐called global warming “hiatus” of the early 21st century, simulated TOA flux changes are remarkably similar to CERES. Both show outgoing shortwave and longwave TOA flux changes that largely cancel over the west and central tropical Pacific, and large reductions in shortwave flux for EP low‐cloud regions. A model's ability to represent changes in the relationship between global mean net TOA flux and surface temperature depends upon how well it represents shortwave flux changes in low‐cloud regions, with most showing too little sensitivity to EP SST changes, suggesting a “pattern effect” that may be too weak compared to observations. |
author2 |
Viroscan3D SAS Lyon, France Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter University of Washington Seattle Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X) Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL) Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X) Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) University of Leeds National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft Department of Atmospheric Sciences Seattle |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Loeb, Norman Wang, Hailan Allan, Richard Andrews, Timothy Armour, Kyle, C Cole, Jason Dufresne, Jean-Louis Forster, Piers Gettelman, Andrew Guo, Huan Mauritsen, Thorsten Ming, Yi Paynter, David Proistosescu, Cristian Stuecker, Malte Willén, Ulrika Wyser, Klaus |
author_facet |
Loeb, Norman Wang, Hailan Allan, Richard Andrews, Timothy Armour, Kyle, C Cole, Jason Dufresne, Jean-Louis Forster, Piers Gettelman, Andrew Guo, Huan Mauritsen, Thorsten Ming, Yi Paynter, David Proistosescu, Cristian Stuecker, Malte Willén, Ulrika Wyser, Klaus |
author_sort |
Loeb, Norman |
title |
New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
title_short |
New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
title_full |
New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
title_fullStr |
New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
title_full_unstemmed |
New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES |
title_sort |
new generation of climate models track recent unprecedented changes in earth's radiation budget observed by ceres |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02530975 https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/document https://hal.science/hal-02530975v1/file/LOEB_AMIP_Study_Manuscript_Revised_Combined.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.science/hal-02530975 Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (5), ⟨10.1029/2019GL086705⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1029/2019GL086705 doi:10.1029/2019GL086705 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
47 |
container_issue |
5 |
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1812818198899195904 |