Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5

International audience We present the global general circulation model IPSL-CM5 developed to study the long-term response of the climate system to natural and anthropogenic forcings as part of the 5th Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). This model includes an interactive carb...

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Published in:Climate Dynamics
Main Authors: Dufresne, Jean-Louis, Foujols, Marie-Alice, Denvil, Sébastien, Caubel, Arnaud, Marti, Olivier, Aumont, Olivier, Balkanski, Yves, Bekki, Slimane, Bellenger, Hugo, Benshila, Rachid, Bony, Sandrine, Bopp, Laurent, Braconnot, Pascale, Brockmann, Patrick, Cadule, Patricia, Cheruy, Frédérique, Codron, Francis, Cozic, Anne, Cugnet, David, de Noblet, Nathalie, Duvel, Jean-Philippe, Éthé, Christian, Fairhead, Laurent, Fichefet, Thierry, Flavoni, Simona, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Grandpeix, Jean-Yves, Guez, Lionel, Guilyardi, Éric, Hauglustaine, Didier, Hourdin, Frédéric, Idelkadi, Abderrahmane, Ghattas, Josefine, Joussaume, Sylvie, Kageyama, Masa, Krinner, Gerhard, Labetoulle, Sonia, Lahellec, Alain, Lefebvre, Marie-Pierre, Lefèvre, Franck, Lévy, Claire, Li, Z.X., Lloyd, James, Lott, François, Madec, Gurvan, Mancip, Martial, Marchand, Marion, Masson, Sébastien, Meurdesoif, Yann, Mignot, Juliette, Musat, Ionela, Parouty, S., Polcher, Jan, Rio, Catherine, Schulz, M., Swingedouw, Didier, Laval-Szopa, Sophie, Talandier, Claude, Terray, Pascal, Viovy, Nicolas, Vuichard, Nicolas
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: HAL CCSD 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hal.science/hal-00794170
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/document
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/file/Dufresne2013_Article_ClimateChangeProjectionsUsingT.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
id ftecoleponts:oai:HAL:hal-00794170v1
record_format openpolar
institution Open Polar
collection École des Ponts ParisTech: HAL
op_collection_id ftecoleponts
language English
topic Carbon cycle
Greenhouse gases
CMIP3
Climate
Climate change
Earth System Model
Aerosols
Allowable emissions
Land use changes
CMIP5
Climate projections
RCP scenarios
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology
spellingShingle Carbon cycle
Greenhouse gases
CMIP3
Climate
Climate change
Earth System Model
Aerosols
Allowable emissions
Land use changes
CMIP5
Climate projections
RCP scenarios
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology
Dufresne, Jean-Louis
Foujols, Marie-Alice
Denvil, Sébastien
Caubel, Arnaud
Marti, Olivier
Aumont, Olivier
Balkanski, Yves
Bekki, Slimane
Bellenger, Hugo
Benshila, Rachid
Bony, Sandrine
Bopp, Laurent
Braconnot, Pascale
Brockmann, Patrick
Cadule, Patricia
Cheruy, Frédérique
Codron, Francis
Cozic, Anne
Cugnet, David
de Noblet, Nathalie
Duvel, Jean-Philippe
Éthé, Christian
Fairhead, Laurent
Fichefet, Thierry
Flavoni, Simona
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Grandpeix, Jean-Yves
Guez, Lionel
Guilyardi, Éric
Hauglustaine, Didier
Hourdin, Frédéric
Idelkadi, Abderrahmane
Ghattas, Josefine
Joussaume, Sylvie
Kageyama, Masa
Krinner, Gerhard
Labetoulle, Sonia
Lahellec, Alain
Lefebvre, Marie-Pierre
Lefèvre, Franck
Lévy, Claire
Li, Z.X.
Lloyd, James
Lott, François
Madec, Gurvan
Mancip, Martial
Marchand, Marion
Masson, Sébastien
Meurdesoif, Yann
Mignot, Juliette
Musat, Ionela
Parouty, S.
Polcher, Jan
Rio, Catherine
Schulz, M.
Swingedouw, Didier
Laval-Szopa, Sophie
Talandier, Claude
Terray, Pascal
Viovy, Nicolas
Vuichard, Nicolas
Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
topic_facet Carbon cycle
Greenhouse gases
CMIP3
Climate
Climate change
Earth System Model
Aerosols
Allowable emissions
Land use changes
CMIP5
Climate projections
RCP scenarios
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology
description International audience We present the global general circulation model IPSL-CM5 developed to study the long-term response of the climate system to natural and anthropogenic forcings as part of the 5th Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). This model includes an interactive carbon cycle, a representation of tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry, and a comprehensive representation of aerosols. As it represents the principal dynamical, physical, and bio-geochemical processes relevant to the climate system, it may be referred to as an Earth System Model. However, the IPSL-CM5 model may be used in a multitude of configurations associated with different boundary conditions and with a range of complexities in terms of processes and interactions. This paper presents an overview of the different model components and explains how they were coupled and used to simulate historical climate changes over the past 150 years and different scenarios of future climate change. A single version of the IPSL-CM5 model (IPSL-CM5A-LR) was used to provide climate projections associated with different socio-economic scenarios, including the different Representative Concentration Pathways considered by CMIP5 and several scenarios from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios considered by CMIP3. Results suggest that the magnitude of global warming projections primarily depends on the socio-economic scenario considered, that there is potential for an aggressive mitigation policy to limit global warming to about two degrees, and that the behavior of some components of the climate system such as the Arctic sea ice and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may change drastically by the end of the twenty-first century in the case of a no climate policy scenario. Although the magnitude of regional temperature and precipitation changes depends fairly linearly on the magnitude of the projected global warming (and thus on the scenario considered), the geographical pattern of these changes is strikingly similar ...
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Dufresne, Jean-Louis
Foujols, Marie-Alice
Denvil, Sébastien
Caubel, Arnaud
Marti, Olivier
Aumont, Olivier
Balkanski, Yves
Bekki, Slimane
Bellenger, Hugo
Benshila, Rachid
Bony, Sandrine
Bopp, Laurent
Braconnot, Pascale
Brockmann, Patrick
Cadule, Patricia
Cheruy, Frédérique
Codron, Francis
Cozic, Anne
Cugnet, David
de Noblet, Nathalie
Duvel, Jean-Philippe
Éthé, Christian
Fairhead, Laurent
Fichefet, Thierry
Flavoni, Simona
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Grandpeix, Jean-Yves
Guez, Lionel
Guilyardi, Éric
Hauglustaine, Didier
Hourdin, Frédéric
Idelkadi, Abderrahmane
Ghattas, Josefine
Joussaume, Sylvie
Kageyama, Masa
Krinner, Gerhard
Labetoulle, Sonia
Lahellec, Alain
Lefebvre, Marie-Pierre
Lefèvre, Franck
Lévy, Claire
Li, Z.X.
Lloyd, James
Lott, François
Madec, Gurvan
Mancip, Martial
Marchand, Marion
Masson, Sébastien
Meurdesoif, Yann
Mignot, Juliette
Musat, Ionela
Parouty, S.
Polcher, Jan
Rio, Catherine
Schulz, M.
Swingedouw, Didier
Laval-Szopa, Sophie
Talandier, Claude
Terray, Pascal
Viovy, Nicolas
Vuichard, Nicolas
author_facet Dufresne, Jean-Louis
Foujols, Marie-Alice
Denvil, Sébastien
Caubel, Arnaud
Marti, Olivier
Aumont, Olivier
Balkanski, Yves
Bekki, Slimane
Bellenger, Hugo
Benshila, Rachid
Bony, Sandrine
Bopp, Laurent
Braconnot, Pascale
Brockmann, Patrick
Cadule, Patricia
Cheruy, Frédérique
Codron, Francis
Cozic, Anne
Cugnet, David
de Noblet, Nathalie
Duvel, Jean-Philippe
Éthé, Christian
Fairhead, Laurent
Fichefet, Thierry
Flavoni, Simona
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Grandpeix, Jean-Yves
Guez, Lionel
Guilyardi, Éric
Hauglustaine, Didier
Hourdin, Frédéric
Idelkadi, Abderrahmane
Ghattas, Josefine
Joussaume, Sylvie
Kageyama, Masa
Krinner, Gerhard
Labetoulle, Sonia
Lahellec, Alain
Lefebvre, Marie-Pierre
Lefèvre, Franck
Lévy, Claire
Li, Z.X.
Lloyd, James
Lott, François
Madec, Gurvan
Mancip, Martial
Marchand, Marion
Masson, Sébastien
Meurdesoif, Yann
Mignot, Juliette
Musat, Ionela
Parouty, S.
Polcher, Jan
Rio, Catherine
Schulz, M.
Swingedouw, Didier
Laval-Szopa, Sophie
Talandier, Claude
Terray, Pascal
Viovy, Nicolas
Vuichard, Nicolas
author_sort Dufresne, Jean-Louis
title Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
title_short Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
title_full Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
title_fullStr Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
title_full_unstemmed Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
title_sort climate change projections using the ipsl-cm5 earth system model: from cmip3 to cmip5
publisher HAL CCSD
publishDate 2013
url https://hal.science/hal-00794170
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/document
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/file/Dufresne2013_Article_ClimateChangeProjectionsUsingT.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
genre Climate change
Global warming
Sea ice
genre_facet Climate change
Global warming
Sea ice
op_source ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
Climate Dynamics
https://hal.science/hal-00794170
Climate Dynamics, 2013, 40 (9-10), pp.2123-2165. ⟨10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1⟩
op_relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
hal-00794170
https://hal.science/hal-00794170
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/document
https://hal.science/hal-00794170/file/Dufresne2013_Article_ClimateChangeProjectionsUsingT.pdf
doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
IRD: fdi:010060879
op_rights info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
container_title Climate Dynamics
container_volume 40
container_issue 9-10
container_start_page 2123
op_container_end_page 2165
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spelling ftecoleponts:oai:HAL:hal-00794170v1 2024-09-15T18:02:22+00:00 Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 Dufresne, Jean-Louis Foujols, Marie-Alice Denvil, Sébastien Caubel, Arnaud Marti, Olivier Aumont, Olivier Balkanski, Yves Bekki, Slimane Bellenger, Hugo Benshila, Rachid Bony, Sandrine Bopp, Laurent Braconnot, Pascale Brockmann, Patrick Cadule, Patricia Cheruy, Frédérique Codron, Francis Cozic, Anne Cugnet, David de Noblet, Nathalie Duvel, Jean-Philippe Éthé, Christian Fairhead, Laurent Fichefet, Thierry Flavoni, Simona Friedlingstein, Pierre Grandpeix, Jean-Yves Guez, Lionel Guilyardi, Éric Hauglustaine, Didier Hourdin, Frédéric Idelkadi, Abderrahmane Ghattas, Josefine Joussaume, Sylvie Kageyama, Masa Krinner, Gerhard Labetoulle, Sonia Lahellec, Alain Lefebvre, Marie-Pierre Lefèvre, Franck Lévy, Claire Li, Z.X. Lloyd, James Lott, François Madec, Gurvan Mancip, Martial Marchand, Marion Masson, Sébastien Meurdesoif, Yann Mignot, Juliette Musat, Ionela Parouty, S. Polcher, Jan Rio, Catherine Schulz, M. Swingedouw, Didier Laval-Szopa, Sophie Talandier, Claude Terray, Pascal Viovy, Nicolas Vuichard, Nicolas 2013 https://hal.science/hal-00794170 https://hal.science/hal-00794170/document https://hal.science/hal-00794170/file/Dufresne2013_Article_ClimateChangeProjectionsUsingT.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1 en eng HAL CCSD Springer Verlag info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1 hal-00794170 https://hal.science/hal-00794170 https://hal.science/hal-00794170/document https://hal.science/hal-00794170/file/Dufresne2013_Article_ClimateChangeProjectionsUsingT.pdf doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1 IRD: fdi:010060879 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0930-7575 EISSN: 1432-0894 Climate Dynamics https://hal.science/hal-00794170 Climate Dynamics, 2013, 40 (9-10), pp.2123-2165. ⟨10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1⟩ Carbon cycle Greenhouse gases CMIP3 Climate Climate change Earth System Model Aerosols Allowable emissions Land use changes CMIP5 Climate projections RCP scenarios [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2013 ftecoleponts https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1 2024-07-24T07:39:29Z International audience We present the global general circulation model IPSL-CM5 developed to study the long-term response of the climate system to natural and anthropogenic forcings as part of the 5th Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). This model includes an interactive carbon cycle, a representation of tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry, and a comprehensive representation of aerosols. As it represents the principal dynamical, physical, and bio-geochemical processes relevant to the climate system, it may be referred to as an Earth System Model. However, the IPSL-CM5 model may be used in a multitude of configurations associated with different boundary conditions and with a range of complexities in terms of processes and interactions. This paper presents an overview of the different model components and explains how they were coupled and used to simulate historical climate changes over the past 150 years and different scenarios of future climate change. A single version of the IPSL-CM5 model (IPSL-CM5A-LR) was used to provide climate projections associated with different socio-economic scenarios, including the different Representative Concentration Pathways considered by CMIP5 and several scenarios from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios considered by CMIP3. Results suggest that the magnitude of global warming projections primarily depends on the socio-economic scenario considered, that there is potential for an aggressive mitigation policy to limit global warming to about two degrees, and that the behavior of some components of the climate system such as the Arctic sea ice and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may change drastically by the end of the twenty-first century in the case of a no climate policy scenario. Although the magnitude of regional temperature and precipitation changes depends fairly linearly on the magnitude of the projected global warming (and thus on the scenario considered), the geographical pattern of these changes is strikingly similar ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Climate change Global warming Sea ice École des Ponts ParisTech: HAL Climate Dynamics 40 9-10 2123 2165