Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean
International audience We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic sea-bird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean...
Published in: | Global Change Biology |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2021
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572/document https://hal.science/hal-03088572/file/CGCB27_2021.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15497 |
id |
ftecolephe:oai:HAL:hal-03088572v1 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
EPHE (Ecole pratique des hautes études, Paris): HAL |
op_collection_id |
ftecolephe |
language |
English |
topic |
DBEM energy requirement mechanistic habitat selection NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios seabird distributions seabird migration [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] |
spellingShingle |
DBEM energy requirement mechanistic habitat selection NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios seabird distributions seabird migration [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] Clairbaux, M. Cheung, W. Mathewson, P. Porter, W. Courbin, N. Fort, Jérôme Strøm, H. Moe, B. Fauchald, P. Descamps, S. Helgason, H. Bråthen, V.S., S Merkel, B. Anker‐nilssen, T. Bringsvor, I.S., S Chastel, O. Christensen‐dalsgaard, S. Danielsen, J. Daunt, F. Dehnhard, N. Erikstad, K.E., E Ezhov, A. Gavrilo, M. Krasnov, Y. Langset, M. Lorentsen, S.H., H Newell, M. Olsen, B. Reiertsen, T.K., K Systad, G. Thórarinsson, T.L., L Baran, M. Diamond, T. Fayet, A.L., L Fitzsimmons, M.G, G Frederiksen, M. Gilchrist, H.G., G Guilford, T. Huffeldt, N.P., P Jessopp, M. Johansen, K.L., L Kouwenberg, A.L., L Linnebjerg, J.F, F Mcfarlane Tranquilla, L. Mallory, M. Merkel, F.R., R Montevecchi, W. Mosbech, A. Petersen, A. Grémillet, David Anker- Nilssen, T Christensen-Dalsgaard, S Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
topic_facet |
DBEM energy requirement mechanistic habitat selection NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios seabird distributions seabird migration [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] |
description |
International audience We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic sea-bird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean seabird species (Alle alle, Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shift with climate change, especially when global warming exceed 2°C under a “no mitigation” scenario, modifying seabird wintering hotspots in the North Atlantic Ocean. Our findings suggest that meeting Paris agreement objectives will limit changes in seabird selected habitat location and size in the North Atlantic Ocean during the 21st century. We thereby provide key information for the design of adaptive marine-protected areas in a changing ocean |
author2 |
Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro - Montpellier SupAgro Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro) LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés (LIENSs) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Percy FitzPatrick Institute University of Cape Town |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Clairbaux, M. Cheung, W. Mathewson, P. Porter, W. Courbin, N. Fort, Jérôme Strøm, H. Moe, B. Fauchald, P. Descamps, S. Helgason, H. Bråthen, V.S., S Merkel, B. Anker‐nilssen, T. Bringsvor, I.S., S Chastel, O. Christensen‐dalsgaard, S. Danielsen, J. Daunt, F. Dehnhard, N. Erikstad, K.E., E Ezhov, A. Gavrilo, M. Krasnov, Y. Langset, M. Lorentsen, S.H., H Newell, M. Olsen, B. Reiertsen, T.K., K Systad, G. Thórarinsson, T.L., L Baran, M. Diamond, T. Fayet, A.L., L Fitzsimmons, M.G, G Frederiksen, M. Gilchrist, H.G., G Guilford, T. Huffeldt, N.P., P Jessopp, M. Johansen, K.L., L Kouwenberg, A.L., L Linnebjerg, J.F, F Mcfarlane Tranquilla, L. Mallory, M. Merkel, F.R., R Montevecchi, W. Mosbech, A. Petersen, A. Grémillet, David Anker- Nilssen, T Christensen-Dalsgaard, S |
author_facet |
Clairbaux, M. Cheung, W. Mathewson, P. Porter, W. Courbin, N. Fort, Jérôme Strøm, H. Moe, B. Fauchald, P. Descamps, S. Helgason, H. Bråthen, V.S., S Merkel, B. Anker‐nilssen, T. Bringsvor, I.S., S Chastel, O. Christensen‐dalsgaard, S. Danielsen, J. Daunt, F. Dehnhard, N. Erikstad, K.E., E Ezhov, A. Gavrilo, M. Krasnov, Y. Langset, M. Lorentsen, S.H., H Newell, M. Olsen, B. Reiertsen, T.K., K Systad, G. Thórarinsson, T.L., L Baran, M. Diamond, T. Fayet, A.L., L Fitzsimmons, M.G, G Frederiksen, M. Gilchrist, H.G., G Guilford, T. Huffeldt, N.P., P Jessopp, M. Johansen, K.L., L Kouwenberg, A.L., L Linnebjerg, J.F, F Mcfarlane Tranquilla, L. Mallory, M. Merkel, F.R., R Montevecchi, W. Mosbech, A. Petersen, A. Grémillet, David Anker- Nilssen, T Christensen-Dalsgaard, S |
author_sort |
Clairbaux, M. |
title |
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_short |
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_full |
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_fullStr |
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_full_unstemmed |
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_sort |
meeting paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the north atlantic ocean |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572/document https://hal.science/hal-03088572/file/CGCB27_2021.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15497 |
genre |
Alle alle fratercula Fratercula arctica North Atlantic rissa tridactyla Uria aalge Uria lomvia uria |
genre_facet |
Alle alle fratercula Fratercula arctica North Atlantic rissa tridactyla Uria aalge Uria lomvia uria |
op_source |
ISSN: 1354-1013 EISSN: 1365-2486 Global Change Biology https://hal.science/hal-03088572 Global Change Biology, 2021, 27, pp.1457-1469. ⟨10.1111/gcb.15497⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.15497 hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572/document https://hal.science/hal-03088572/file/CGCB27_2021.pdf doi:10.1111/gcb.15497 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15497 |
container_title |
Global Change Biology |
container_volume |
27 |
container_issue |
7 |
container_start_page |
1457 |
op_container_end_page |
1469 |
_version_ |
1810492619084529664 |
spelling |
ftecolephe:oai:HAL:hal-03088572v1 2024-09-15T17:36:52+00:00 Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean Clairbaux, M. Cheung, W. Mathewson, P. Porter, W. Courbin, N. Fort, Jérôme Strøm, H. Moe, B. Fauchald, P. Descamps, S. Helgason, H. Bråthen, V.S., S Merkel, B. Anker‐nilssen, T. Bringsvor, I.S., S Chastel, O. Christensen‐dalsgaard, S. Danielsen, J. Daunt, F. Dehnhard, N. Erikstad, K.E., E Ezhov, A. Gavrilo, M. Krasnov, Y. Langset, M. Lorentsen, S.H., H Newell, M. Olsen, B. Reiertsen, T.K., K Systad, G. Thórarinsson, T.L., L Baran, M. Diamond, T. Fayet, A.L., L Fitzsimmons, M.G, G Frederiksen, M. Gilchrist, H.G., G Guilford, T. Huffeldt, N.P., P Jessopp, M. Johansen, K.L., L Kouwenberg, A.L., L Linnebjerg, J.F, F Mcfarlane Tranquilla, L. Mallory, M. Merkel, F.R., R Montevecchi, W. Mosbech, A. Petersen, A. Grémillet, David Anker- Nilssen, T Christensen-Dalsgaard, S Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro - Montpellier SupAgro Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro) LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés (LIENSs) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Percy FitzPatrick Institute University of Cape Town 2021 https://hal.science/hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572/document https://hal.science/hal-03088572/file/CGCB27_2021.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15497 en eng HAL CCSD Wiley info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/gcb.15497 hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572 https://hal.science/hal-03088572/document https://hal.science/hal-03088572/file/CGCB27_2021.pdf doi:10.1111/gcb.15497 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1354-1013 EISSN: 1365-2486 Global Change Biology https://hal.science/hal-03088572 Global Change Biology, 2021, 27, pp.1457-1469. ⟨10.1111/gcb.15497⟩ DBEM energy requirement mechanistic habitat selection NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios seabird distributions seabird migration [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2021 ftecolephe https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15497 2024-07-15T23:40:11Z International audience We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic sea-bird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean seabird species (Alle alle, Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shift with climate change, especially when global warming exceed 2°C under a “no mitigation” scenario, modifying seabird wintering hotspots in the North Atlantic Ocean. Our findings suggest that meeting Paris agreement objectives will limit changes in seabird selected habitat location and size in the North Atlantic Ocean during the 21st century. We thereby provide key information for the design of adaptive marine-protected areas in a changing ocean Article in Journal/Newspaper Alle alle fratercula Fratercula arctica North Atlantic rissa tridactyla Uria aalge Uria lomvia uria EPHE (Ecole pratique des hautes études, Paris): HAL Global Change Biology 27 7 1457 1469 |