Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change
Climate change is contributing to rapid changes in lake ice cover across the Northern Hemisphere, thereby impacting local communities and ecosystems. Using lake ice cover time-series spanning over 87 yr for 43 lakes across the Northern Hemisphere, we found that the interannual variability in ice dur...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12527 |
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fteawag:oai:dora:eawag_32653 2024-04-14T08:15:51+00:00 Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change Richardson, David C. Filazzola, Alessandro Woolway, R. Iestyn Imrit, M. Arshad Bouffard, Damien Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. Magnuson, John Sharma, Sapna 2024 https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12527 eng eng Wiley Limnology and Oceanography--Limnol. Oceanogr.--journals:1929--0024-3590 eawag:32653 doi:10.1002/lno.12527 scopus: 2-s2.0-85186409377 journal id: journals:1929 issn: 0024-3590 ut: 001170169000001 Journal Article Text 2024 fteawag https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12527 2024-03-21T17:48:22Z Climate change is contributing to rapid changes in lake ice cover across the Northern Hemisphere, thereby impacting local communities and ecosystems. Using lake ice cover time-series spanning over 87 yr for 43 lakes across the Northern Hemisphere, we found that the interannual variability in ice duration, measured as standard deviation, significantly increased in only half of our studied lakes. We observed that the interannual variability in ice duration peaked when lakes were, on average, covered by ice for about 1 month, while both longer and shorter long-term mean ice cover duration resulted in lower interannual variability in ice duration. These results demonstrate that the ice cover duration can become so short that the interannual variability rapidly declines. The interannual variability in ice duration showed a strong dependency on global temperature anomalies and teleconnections, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation. We conclude that many lakes across the Northern Hemisphere will experience a decline in interannual ice cover variability and shift to open water during the winter under a continued global warming trend which will affect lake biological, cultural, and economic processes. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation DORA Eawag Limnology and Oceanography |
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Open Polar |
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language |
English |
description |
Climate change is contributing to rapid changes in lake ice cover across the Northern Hemisphere, thereby impacting local communities and ecosystems. Using lake ice cover time-series spanning over 87 yr for 43 lakes across the Northern Hemisphere, we found that the interannual variability in ice duration, measured as standard deviation, significantly increased in only half of our studied lakes. We observed that the interannual variability in ice duration peaked when lakes were, on average, covered by ice for about 1 month, while both longer and shorter long-term mean ice cover duration resulted in lower interannual variability in ice duration. These results demonstrate that the ice cover duration can become so short that the interannual variability rapidly declines. The interannual variability in ice duration showed a strong dependency on global temperature anomalies and teleconnections, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation. We conclude that many lakes across the Northern Hemisphere will experience a decline in interannual ice cover variability and shift to open water during the winter under a continued global warming trend which will affect lake biological, cultural, and economic processes. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Richardson, David C. Filazzola, Alessandro Woolway, R. Iestyn Imrit, M. Arshad Bouffard, Damien Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. Magnuson, John Sharma, Sapna |
spellingShingle |
Richardson, David C. Filazzola, Alessandro Woolway, R. Iestyn Imrit, M. Arshad Bouffard, Damien Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. Magnuson, John Sharma, Sapna Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
author_facet |
Richardson, David C. Filazzola, Alessandro Woolway, R. Iestyn Imrit, M. Arshad Bouffard, Damien Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. Magnuson, John Sharma, Sapna |
author_sort |
Richardson, David C. |
title |
Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
title_short |
Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
title_full |
Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
title_fullStr |
Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
title_sort |
nonlinear responses in interannual variability of lake ice to climate change |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12527 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
Limnology and Oceanography--Limnol. Oceanogr.--journals:1929--0024-3590 eawag:32653 doi:10.1002/lno.12527 scopus: 2-s2.0-85186409377 journal id: journals:1929 issn: 0024-3590 ut: 001170169000001 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12527 |
container_title |
Limnology and Oceanography |
_version_ |
1796314308373643264 |