Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North
Climate change and global warming could open up the Arctic to unprecedented energy and resource development and maritime traffic as temperatures rise and the ice recedes. Each of the Arctic nations has made domestic and foreign policy statements on the Arctic, with each stating that they are prepare...
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ftdtic:ADA583992 2023-05-15T14:30:49+02:00 Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North Hatton, Sonny T ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES 2013-05-23 text/html http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA583992 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA583992 en eng http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA583992 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DTIC Government and Political Science Geography Military Forces and Organizations *ARCTIC REGIONS *CANADA *FOREIGN POLICY *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *MILITARY PLANNING *NATIONAL DEFENSE *NATIONAL SECURITY ARCTIC OCEAN CONFLICT COOPERATION GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN) NATURAL RESOURCES OCEAN SURVEILLANCE RUSSIA SCENARIOS UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT *CANADIAN ARMED FORCES *SCENARIO PLANNING *STRATEGIC PLANNING CANADIAN UNILATERALISM NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGY DOMESTIC POLICY BOUNDARY DISPUTES TERRITORIAL DISPUTES CANADIAN SOVEREIGNTY Text 2013 ftdtic 2016-02-24T12:03:35Z Climate change and global warming could open up the Arctic to unprecedented energy and resource development and maritime traffic as temperatures rise and the ice recedes. Each of the Arctic nations has made domestic and foreign policy statements on the Arctic, with each stating that they are prepared to do what is necessary to defend their interests in the region. The Arctic Council is instrumental in promoting dialogue and cooperation in the region and all of the Arctic nations have agreed to manage their differences under a spirit of cooperation. If the security situation in the region should deteriorate, however, can Canada act unilaterally to protect its sovereignty in the region? This paper examines Canada's current national security strategy and national defense strategy for the Arctic using scenario planning as an evaluation tool. Four scenarios are developed and evaluated to illustrate the security aspects of four plausible futures that vary in terms of international cooperation and resource development. The results show that, with the exception of inter-state armed conflict in the region, the Government of Canada and Canadian Forces together with other government agencies will be able to deal with an unconventional or transnational threat in the Arctic. Arctic surveillance capabilities such as RADARSAT are critical to Canada's ability to monitor its vast Northern territories and respond to any menace to its sovereignty. Canada's participation in NATO and NORAD and its relationship with the United States allow it to accept considerable risk in the region regarding inter-state conflict. To mitigate this risk and balance tension with Russia, Canada's Arctic foreign policy rightfully emphasizes international cooperation through the Arctic Council, and has as its first priority the resolution of Arctic boundary disputes as quickly and peacefully as possible. The original document contains color images. Text Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada |
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Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database |
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English |
topic |
Government and Political Science Geography Military Forces and Organizations *ARCTIC REGIONS *CANADA *FOREIGN POLICY *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *MILITARY PLANNING *NATIONAL DEFENSE *NATIONAL SECURITY ARCTIC OCEAN CONFLICT COOPERATION GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN) NATURAL RESOURCES OCEAN SURVEILLANCE RUSSIA SCENARIOS UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT *CANADIAN ARMED FORCES *SCENARIO PLANNING *STRATEGIC PLANNING CANADIAN UNILATERALISM NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGY DOMESTIC POLICY BOUNDARY DISPUTES TERRITORIAL DISPUTES CANADIAN SOVEREIGNTY |
spellingShingle |
Government and Political Science Geography Military Forces and Organizations *ARCTIC REGIONS *CANADA *FOREIGN POLICY *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *MILITARY PLANNING *NATIONAL DEFENSE *NATIONAL SECURITY ARCTIC OCEAN CONFLICT COOPERATION GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN) NATURAL RESOURCES OCEAN SURVEILLANCE RUSSIA SCENARIOS UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT *CANADIAN ARMED FORCES *SCENARIO PLANNING *STRATEGIC PLANNING CANADIAN UNILATERALISM NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGY DOMESTIC POLICY BOUNDARY DISPUTES TERRITORIAL DISPUTES CANADIAN SOVEREIGNTY Hatton, Sonny T Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
topic_facet |
Government and Political Science Geography Military Forces and Organizations *ARCTIC REGIONS *CANADA *FOREIGN POLICY *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *MILITARY PLANNING *NATIONAL DEFENSE *NATIONAL SECURITY ARCTIC OCEAN CONFLICT COOPERATION GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN) NATURAL RESOURCES OCEAN SURVEILLANCE RUSSIA SCENARIOS UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT *CANADIAN ARMED FORCES *SCENARIO PLANNING *STRATEGIC PLANNING CANADIAN UNILATERALISM NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGY DOMESTIC POLICY BOUNDARY DISPUTES TERRITORIAL DISPUTES CANADIAN SOVEREIGNTY |
description |
Climate change and global warming could open up the Arctic to unprecedented energy and resource development and maritime traffic as temperatures rise and the ice recedes. Each of the Arctic nations has made domestic and foreign policy statements on the Arctic, with each stating that they are prepared to do what is necessary to defend their interests in the region. The Arctic Council is instrumental in promoting dialogue and cooperation in the region and all of the Arctic nations have agreed to manage their differences under a spirit of cooperation. If the security situation in the region should deteriorate, however, can Canada act unilaterally to protect its sovereignty in the region? This paper examines Canada's current national security strategy and national defense strategy for the Arctic using scenario planning as an evaluation tool. Four scenarios are developed and evaluated to illustrate the security aspects of four plausible futures that vary in terms of international cooperation and resource development. The results show that, with the exception of inter-state armed conflict in the region, the Government of Canada and Canadian Forces together with other government agencies will be able to deal with an unconventional or transnational threat in the Arctic. Arctic surveillance capabilities such as RADARSAT are critical to Canada's ability to monitor its vast Northern territories and respond to any menace to its sovereignty. Canada's participation in NATO and NORAD and its relationship with the United States allow it to accept considerable risk in the region regarding inter-state conflict. To mitigate this risk and balance tension with Russia, Canada's Arctic foreign policy rightfully emphasizes international cooperation through the Arctic Council, and has as its first priority the resolution of Arctic boundary disputes as quickly and peacefully as possible. The original document contains color images. |
author2 |
ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES |
format |
Text |
author |
Hatton, Sonny T |
author_facet |
Hatton, Sonny T |
author_sort |
Hatton, Sonny T |
title |
Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
title_short |
Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
title_full |
Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
title_fullStr |
Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
title_full_unstemmed |
Canadian Unilateralism in the Arctic: Using Scenario Planning to Help Canada Achieve Its Strategic Goals in the North |
title_sort |
canadian unilateralism in the arctic: using scenario planning to help canada achieve its strategic goals in the north |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA583992 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA583992 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada |
genre |
Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming |
genre_facet |
Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Global warming |
op_source |
DTIC |
op_relation |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA583992 |
op_rights |
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. |
_version_ |
1766304627901333504 |