Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic
While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic, up to and including the use of force, cannot and should not be ruled out. The thesis examines the political, economic, and military interests of the main Ar...
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ftdtic:ADA573497 2023-05-15T14:30:53+02:00 Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic Aerandir, Mate W NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS 2012-12 text/html http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA573497 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA573497 en eng http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA573497 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DTIC Economics and Cost Analysis Government and Political Science Geography Defense Systems *ARCTIC OCEAN *COMPETITION *CONFLICT *GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *RISK ANALYSIS *RUSSIA *UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AGREEMENTS ARCTIC REGIONS CANADA CHINA COAST GUARD COOPERATION DENMARK DETERRENCE ECONOMIC WARFARE JAPAN NATO NATURAL RESOURCES NAVY NORWAY THESES THREATS UNITED NATIONS *MARITIME CONFLICT POTENTIAL *TERRITORIAL DISPUTES *RESOURCE DISPUTES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS UNCLOS(UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION ON THE LAW OF THE SEA) CLCS(COMMISSION ON THE LIMITS OF THE CONTINENTAL SHELF) NATO-RUSSIA COUNCIL ARCTIC COUNCIL PEACEFUL DISPUTE RESOLUTION MILITARIZED CONFLICT USE OF FORCE EEZ(EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONES) Text 2012 ftdtic 2016-02-24T10:19:46Z While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic, up to and including the use of force, cannot and should not be ruled out. The thesis examines the political, economic, and military interests of the main Arctic powers -- Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia, and the United States -- to set the scene for an assessment of the factors that could make for cooperation or conflict. Advocates of a Pax Arctica involving regional cooperation underrate the more pragmatic and competitive factors underlying international relations and the actual limits of international institutions and economic interdependence in restraining behavior in an anarchic system. The potential for U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the region is genuine. Based on the methodology established for this analysis, it can be reasonably assessed that conflict in the Arctic is likely. No time horizon can be determined, however, because much depends on decisions made (or not made) by these same Arctic powers in the coming decades. Text Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Law of the Sea Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada Norway |
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Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database |
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ftdtic |
language |
English |
topic |
Economics and Cost Analysis Government and Political Science Geography Defense Systems *ARCTIC OCEAN *COMPETITION *CONFLICT *GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *RISK ANALYSIS *RUSSIA *UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AGREEMENTS ARCTIC REGIONS CANADA CHINA COAST GUARD COOPERATION DENMARK DETERRENCE ECONOMIC WARFARE JAPAN NATO NATURAL RESOURCES NAVY NORWAY THESES THREATS UNITED NATIONS *MARITIME CONFLICT POTENTIAL *TERRITORIAL DISPUTES *RESOURCE DISPUTES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS UNCLOS(UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION ON THE LAW OF THE SEA) CLCS(COMMISSION ON THE LIMITS OF THE CONTINENTAL SHELF) NATO-RUSSIA COUNCIL ARCTIC COUNCIL PEACEFUL DISPUTE RESOLUTION MILITARIZED CONFLICT USE OF FORCE EEZ(EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONES) |
spellingShingle |
Economics and Cost Analysis Government and Political Science Geography Defense Systems *ARCTIC OCEAN *COMPETITION *CONFLICT *GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *RISK ANALYSIS *RUSSIA *UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AGREEMENTS ARCTIC REGIONS CANADA CHINA COAST GUARD COOPERATION DENMARK DETERRENCE ECONOMIC WARFARE JAPAN NATO NATURAL RESOURCES NAVY NORWAY THESES THREATS UNITED NATIONS *MARITIME CONFLICT POTENTIAL *TERRITORIAL DISPUTES *RESOURCE DISPUTES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS UNCLOS(UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION ON THE LAW OF THE SEA) CLCS(COMMISSION ON THE LIMITS OF THE CONTINENTAL SHELF) NATO-RUSSIA COUNCIL ARCTIC COUNCIL PEACEFUL DISPUTE RESOLUTION MILITARIZED CONFLICT USE OF FORCE EEZ(EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONES) Aerandir, Mate W Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
topic_facet |
Economics and Cost Analysis Government and Political Science Geography Defense Systems *ARCTIC OCEAN *COMPETITION *CONFLICT *GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS *RISK ANALYSIS *RUSSIA *UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AGREEMENTS ARCTIC REGIONS CANADA CHINA COAST GUARD COOPERATION DENMARK DETERRENCE ECONOMIC WARFARE JAPAN NATO NATURAL RESOURCES NAVY NORWAY THESES THREATS UNITED NATIONS *MARITIME CONFLICT POTENTIAL *TERRITORIAL DISPUTES *RESOURCE DISPUTES ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS UNCLOS(UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION ON THE LAW OF THE SEA) CLCS(COMMISSION ON THE LIMITS OF THE CONTINENTAL SHELF) NATO-RUSSIA COUNCIL ARCTIC COUNCIL PEACEFUL DISPUTE RESOLUTION MILITARIZED CONFLICT USE OF FORCE EEZ(EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONES) |
description |
While war in the Arctic appears unlikely at present, this thesis analyzes why an escalation of territorial and resource disputes in the Arctic, up to and including the use of force, cannot and should not be ruled out. The thesis examines the political, economic, and military interests of the main Arctic powers -- Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia, and the United States -- to set the scene for an assessment of the factors that could make for cooperation or conflict. Advocates of a Pax Arctica involving regional cooperation underrate the more pragmatic and competitive factors underlying international relations and the actual limits of international institutions and economic interdependence in restraining behavior in an anarchic system. The potential for U.S.-Russian maritime conflict in the region is genuine. Based on the methodology established for this analysis, it can be reasonably assessed that conflict in the Arctic is likely. No time horizon can be determined, however, because much depends on decisions made (or not made) by these same Arctic powers in the coming decades. |
author2 |
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS |
format |
Text |
author |
Aerandir, Mate W |
author_facet |
Aerandir, Mate W |
author_sort |
Aerandir, Mate W |
title |
Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
title_short |
Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
title_full |
Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Breaking the Ice: Potential U.S.-Russian Maritime Conflict in the Arctic |
title_sort |
breaking the ice: potential u.s.-russian maritime conflict in the arctic |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA573497 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA573497 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada Norway |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Canada Norway |
genre |
Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Law of the Sea |
genre_facet |
Arctic Council Arctic Arctic Ocean Law of the Sea |
op_source |
DTIC |
op_relation |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA573497 |
op_rights |
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. |
_version_ |
1766304666480541696 |