Study of the Utility of NWP Forecast Guidance and Simple Ocean Modeling as a Tool for Planning During Reactive Situations

The utility of using a numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecast model as an input to a simple ocean model for planning during reactive situations is studied. An oceanographic experiment called the Maud Rise Nonlinear Equation of State Study (MaudNESS) was conducted from June to September of 2005...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Jones, Robert D.
Other Authors: NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2007
Subjects:
Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*OCEAN MODELS
NUMERICAL ANALYSIS
OCEANOGRAPHY
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
THESES
NWP(NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION)
MAUDNESS(MAUD RISE NONLINEAR EQUATION OF STATE STUDY)
AMPS(ARCHIVED ANTARCTIC MESOSCALE PREDICTION SYSTEM)
Antarctic
Maud Rise
Weddell
Weddell Sea
Antarc*
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA467191
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA467191
Description
Summary:The utility of using a numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecast model as an input to a simple ocean model for planning during reactive situations is studied. An oceanographic experiment called the Maud Rise Nonlinear Equation of State Study (MaudNESS) was conducted from June to September of 2005 over the Maud Rise in the eastern Weddell Sea. Archived Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) Polar MM5 forecast fields from MaudNESS were compared to observed conditions during MaudNESS. AMPS was found to have problems with cloud and moisture parameters, but represented the overall synoptic situation. AMPS forecast and observed forcing fields (as well as increased values for both) were input into a simple one dimensional ocean model at three locations in the Maud Rise area of differing stability. The ocean model was found to have good utility as a planning tool for short term reactive situations where a high degree of accuracy is not needed.

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