An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.

This thesis describes the application and evaluation of several statistical models in the forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over coastal and open ocean areas of the North Atlantic Ocean. The focus of this study is to evaluate the applicability of previous Naval Postgraduate School model output...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wooster,M H
Other Authors: NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 1984
Subjects:
Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*CEILING
COMPUTER PROGRAMS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
OUTPUT
CLOUDS
METHODOLOGY
COASTAL REGIONS
PREDICTIONS
MODELS
PARAMETERS
THRESHOLD EFFECTS
PROBABILITY
STATISTICS
FORECASTING
THESES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
CLUSTERING
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
VISIBILITY
TABLES(DATA)
HORIZONTAL ORIENTATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
OCEANS
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
OCEAN ENVIRONMENTS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SELECTION
OPEN WATER
North Atlantic
Online Access:http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA155100
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA155100
id ftdtic:ADA155100
record_format openpolar
spelling ftdtic:ADA155100 2023-05-15T17:28:42+02:00 An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean. Wooster,M H NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA 1984-12 text/html http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA155100 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA155100 en eng http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA155100 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE DTIC AND NTIS Meteorology *WEATHER FORECASTING *CEILING COMPUTER PROGRAMS MATHEMATICAL MODELS OUTPUT CLOUDS METHODOLOGY COASTAL REGIONS PREDICTIONS MODELS PARAMETERS THRESHOLD EFFECTS PROBABILITY STATISTICS FORECASTING THESES REGRESSION ANALYSIS CLUSTERING MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION VISIBILITY TABLES(DATA) HORIZONTAL ORIENTATION STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OCEANS LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS OCEAN ENVIRONMENTS NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN SELECTION OPEN WATER Text 1984 ftdtic 2016-02-21T00:27:06Z This thesis describes the application and evaluation of several statistical models in the forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over coastal and open ocean areas of the North Atlantic Ocean. The focus of this study is to evaluate the applicability of previous Naval Postgraduate School model output statistics research in the area of horizontal marine visibility to the forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over ocean areas. The models, including minimum probable error linear regression threshold techniques, maximum conditional probability and natural regression, utilize observed visibility data and model output parameters from the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS). Results show statistically similar results for the linear regression and maximum conditional probability models. Also included is the result of additional experimentation on the application of several measures of separability and cluster analysis to predictor selection. Additional keywords: mathematical prediction; computer programs; tables (data). (Author). Text North Atlantic Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database
institution Open Polar
collection Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database
op_collection_id ftdtic
language English
topic Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*CEILING
COMPUTER PROGRAMS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
OUTPUT
CLOUDS
METHODOLOGY
COASTAL REGIONS
PREDICTIONS
MODELS
PARAMETERS
THRESHOLD EFFECTS
PROBABILITY
STATISTICS
FORECASTING
THESES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
CLUSTERING
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
VISIBILITY
TABLES(DATA)
HORIZONTAL ORIENTATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
OCEANS
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
OCEAN ENVIRONMENTS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SELECTION
OPEN WATER
spellingShingle Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*CEILING
COMPUTER PROGRAMS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
OUTPUT
CLOUDS
METHODOLOGY
COASTAL REGIONS
PREDICTIONS
MODELS
PARAMETERS
THRESHOLD EFFECTS
PROBABILITY
STATISTICS
FORECASTING
THESES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
CLUSTERING
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
VISIBILITY
TABLES(DATA)
HORIZONTAL ORIENTATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
OCEANS
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
OCEAN ENVIRONMENTS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SELECTION
OPEN WATER
Wooster,M H
An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
topic_facet Meteorology
*WEATHER FORECASTING
*CEILING
COMPUTER PROGRAMS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
OUTPUT
CLOUDS
METHODOLOGY
COASTAL REGIONS
PREDICTIONS
MODELS
PARAMETERS
THRESHOLD EFFECTS
PROBABILITY
STATISTICS
FORECASTING
THESES
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
CLUSTERING
MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
VISIBILITY
TABLES(DATA)
HORIZONTAL ORIENTATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
OCEANS
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
OCEAN ENVIRONMENTS
NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
SELECTION
OPEN WATER
description This thesis describes the application and evaluation of several statistical models in the forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over coastal and open ocean areas of the North Atlantic Ocean. The focus of this study is to evaluate the applicability of previous Naval Postgraduate School model output statistics research in the area of horizontal marine visibility to the forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over ocean areas. The models, including minimum probable error linear regression threshold techniques, maximum conditional probability and natural regression, utilize observed visibility data and model output parameters from the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS). Results show statistically similar results for the linear regression and maximum conditional probability models. Also included is the result of additional experimentation on the application of several measures of separability and cluster analysis to predictor selection. Additional keywords: mathematical prediction; computer programs; tables (data). (Author).
author2 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
format Text
author Wooster,M H
author_facet Wooster,M H
author_sort Wooster,M H
title An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
title_short An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
title_full An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
title_fullStr An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
title_full_unstemmed An Evaluation of Discretized Conditional Probability and Linear Regression Threshold Techniques in Model Output Statistics Forecasting of Cloud Amount and Ceiling Over the North Atlantic Ocean.
title_sort evaluation of discretized conditional probability and linear regression threshold techniques in model output statistics forecasting of cloud amount and ceiling over the north atlantic ocean.
publishDate 1984
url http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA155100
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA155100
genre North Atlantic
genre_facet North Atlantic
op_source DTIC AND NTIS
op_relation http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA155100
op_rights APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
_version_ 1766121556285587456

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