Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency.
Climate prediction models based on multivariate analyses of cyclone frequencies are constructed from historical data (1885-1960) and evaluated for forecast skill on independent data (1960-1983). Cyclone frequencies are predicted for six-month duration seasons at 87 locations over eastern North Ameri...
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ftdtic:ADA143576 2023-05-15T17:31:45+02:00 Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. Hayden,B P VIRGINIA UNIV CHARLOTTESVILLE DEPT OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 1984-07 text/html http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA143576 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA143576 en eng http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA143576 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE DTIC AND NTIS Meteorology Statistics and Probability *MATHEMATICAL MODELS *MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS *WEATHER FORECASTING *CYCLONES FREQUENCY TIME INTERVALS SKILLS PREDICTIONS MODELS GRAPHS TEST METHODS HISTORY CLIMATE SCORING SEASONS WUNR389170 Text 1984 ftdtic 2016-02-20T23:00:17Z Climate prediction models based on multivariate analyses of cyclone frequencies are constructed from historical data (1885-1960) and evaluated for forecast skill on independent data (1960-1983). Cyclone frequencies are predicted for six-month duration seasons at 87 locations over eastern North America and the western North Atlantic from 27.5 deg to 55 deg. Three types of principal components models are constructed and tested. Model I uses unrotated principal component axes; Model II uses rigid rotation of the component axes; and, Model III uses oblique rotations of the component axes. Forecast skill averages 75% correct for 2 category measure of forecasts. Text North Atlantic Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database |
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Open Polar |
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Defense Technical Information Center: DTIC Technical Reports database |
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ftdtic |
language |
English |
topic |
Meteorology Statistics and Probability *MATHEMATICAL MODELS *MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS *WEATHER FORECASTING *CYCLONES FREQUENCY TIME INTERVALS SKILLS PREDICTIONS MODELS GRAPHS TEST METHODS HISTORY CLIMATE SCORING SEASONS WUNR389170 |
spellingShingle |
Meteorology Statistics and Probability *MATHEMATICAL MODELS *MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS *WEATHER FORECASTING *CYCLONES FREQUENCY TIME INTERVALS SKILLS PREDICTIONS MODELS GRAPHS TEST METHODS HISTORY CLIMATE SCORING SEASONS WUNR389170 Hayden,B P Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
topic_facet |
Meteorology Statistics and Probability *MATHEMATICAL MODELS *MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS *WEATHER FORECASTING *CYCLONES FREQUENCY TIME INTERVALS SKILLS PREDICTIONS MODELS GRAPHS TEST METHODS HISTORY CLIMATE SCORING SEASONS WUNR389170 |
description |
Climate prediction models based on multivariate analyses of cyclone frequencies are constructed from historical data (1885-1960) and evaluated for forecast skill on independent data (1960-1983). Cyclone frequencies are predicted for six-month duration seasons at 87 locations over eastern North America and the western North Atlantic from 27.5 deg to 55 deg. Three types of principal components models are constructed and tested. Model I uses unrotated principal component axes; Model II uses rigid rotation of the component axes; and, Model III uses oblique rotations of the component axes. Forecast skill averages 75% correct for 2 category measure of forecasts. |
author2 |
VIRGINIA UNIV CHARLOTTESVILLE DEPT OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES |
format |
Text |
author |
Hayden,B P |
author_facet |
Hayden,B P |
author_sort |
Hayden,B P |
title |
Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
title_short |
Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
title_full |
Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
title_fullStr |
Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Prediction. Part 1. Cyclone Frequency. |
title_sort |
climate prediction. part 1. cyclone frequency. |
publishDate |
1984 |
url |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA143576 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA143576 |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
DTIC AND NTIS |
op_relation |
http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA143576 |
op_rights |
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE |
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1766129479997980672 |