Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia
THE PURPOSE. To analyze scenarios for the development of the energy complex of one of the regions of the North-East of Russia for the period up to 2030 with a target vision until 2050. This will require an analysis of the current state of the energy complex; show the latest changes in the power supp...
Published in: | Power engineering: research, equipment, technology |
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Kazan State Power Engineering University
2021
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 https://doaj.org/article/fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 2023-08-27T04:11:41+02:00 Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia N. S. Volotkovskaya A. S. Semenov Y. V. Bebikhov V. A. Shevchuk O. V. Fedorov 2021-07-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 https://doaj.org/article/fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 EN RU eng rus Kazan State Power Engineering University https://www.energyret.ru/jour/article/view/1843 https://doaj.org/toc/1998-9903 1998-9903 doi:10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 https://doaj.org/article/fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 Известия высших учебных заведений: Проблемы энергетики, Vol 23, Iss 3, Pp 58-69 (2021) energy complex electric power industry energy efficiency electricity consumption power supply system substation development scenario Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations TK1001-1841 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 2023-08-06T00:41:50Z THE PURPOSE. To analyze scenarios for the development of the energy complex of one of the regions of the North-East of Russia for the period up to 2030 with a target vision until 2050. This will require an analysis of the current state of the energy complex; show the latest changes in the power supply system; propose promising areas for the transfer of electricity. METHODS. To assess the current state of the electric power industry, from the point of view of the most efficient use of natural energy resources and the potential of the energy sector of the economy, methods of collecting and processing statistical data were applied. For the technical assessment of the state of electric power facilities, analytical and logical- probabilistic methods for determining reliability were applied. To predict energy consumption, mathematical modeling methods were used with the construction of approximating polynomials. RESULTS. The article evaluates the strategic and moderate scenarios for the development of the energy sector of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in modern conditions, taking into account the increase in the energy efficiency of the region's economy. The indicators of electricity consumption throughout the republic, the Western Energy District and the decentralized power supply zone were subject to assessment. Long-term forecasts made do not confirm the development of events according to a more stringent strategic scenario. At the same time, the results for the moderate scenario are fully correlated with both the current state of the energy sector and the prospects for its development. CONCLUSION. Analysis of the current state and assessment of scenarios for the development of the energy sector of the republic's economy showed an increase in the reliability of power supply systems when organizing a "ring" in the Western Energy District; increase in useful electricity consumption by 2030; increase in electricity production; changes in the structure of electricity production. Article in Journal/Newspaper Republic of Sakha Yakutia Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Sakha Power engineering: research, equipment, technology 23 3 73 84 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English Russian |
topic |
energy complex electric power industry energy efficiency electricity consumption power supply system substation development scenario Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations TK1001-1841 |
spellingShingle |
energy complex electric power industry energy efficiency electricity consumption power supply system substation development scenario Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations TK1001-1841 N. S. Volotkovskaya A. S. Semenov Y. V. Bebikhov V. A. Shevchuk O. V. Fedorov Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
topic_facet |
energy complex electric power industry energy efficiency electricity consumption power supply system substation development scenario Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations TK1001-1841 |
description |
THE PURPOSE. To analyze scenarios for the development of the energy complex of one of the regions of the North-East of Russia for the period up to 2030 with a target vision until 2050. This will require an analysis of the current state of the energy complex; show the latest changes in the power supply system; propose promising areas for the transfer of electricity. METHODS. To assess the current state of the electric power industry, from the point of view of the most efficient use of natural energy resources and the potential of the energy sector of the economy, methods of collecting and processing statistical data were applied. For the technical assessment of the state of electric power facilities, analytical and logical- probabilistic methods for determining reliability were applied. To predict energy consumption, mathematical modeling methods were used with the construction of approximating polynomials. RESULTS. The article evaluates the strategic and moderate scenarios for the development of the energy sector of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in modern conditions, taking into account the increase in the energy efficiency of the region's economy. The indicators of electricity consumption throughout the republic, the Western Energy District and the decentralized power supply zone were subject to assessment. Long-term forecasts made do not confirm the development of events according to a more stringent strategic scenario. At the same time, the results for the moderate scenario are fully correlated with both the current state of the energy sector and the prospects for its development. CONCLUSION. Analysis of the current state and assessment of scenarios for the development of the energy sector of the republic's economy showed an increase in the reliability of power supply systems when organizing a "ring" in the Western Energy District; increase in useful electricity consumption by 2030; increase in electricity production; changes in the structure of electricity production. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
N. S. Volotkovskaya A. S. Semenov Y. V. Bebikhov V. A. Shevchuk O. V. Fedorov |
author_facet |
N. S. Volotkovskaya A. S. Semenov Y. V. Bebikhov V. A. Shevchuk O. V. Fedorov |
author_sort |
N. S. Volotkovskaya |
title |
Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
title_short |
Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
title_full |
Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
title_fullStr |
Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Prospects for the development of the energy complex of the North-East of Russia |
title_sort |
prospects for the development of the energy complex of the north-east of russia |
publisher |
Kazan State Power Engineering University |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 https://doaj.org/article/fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 |
geographic |
Sakha |
geographic_facet |
Sakha |
genre |
Republic of Sakha Yakutia |
genre_facet |
Republic of Sakha Yakutia |
op_source |
Известия высших учебных заведений: Проблемы энергетики, Vol 23, Iss 3, Pp 58-69 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://www.energyret.ru/jour/article/view/1843 https://doaj.org/toc/1998-9903 1998-9903 doi:10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 https://doaj.org/article/fef20078abcb4ce6b938fe154c0049f7 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2021-23-3-58-69 |
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Power engineering: research, equipment, technology |
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23 |
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73 |
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