Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future
Snowfall is an important element of the climate system and generally has particularly large economic and human impacts. Simulations with climate models have indicated a decline in mean snowfall with warming in most regions. The response of intense snowfall events to a changing climate, however, is u...
Published in: | Environmental Research Letters |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
IOP Publishing
2020
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 https://doaj.org/article/fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 2023-09-05T13:19:55+02:00 Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future Huopo Chen Jianqi Sun Wenqing Lin 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 https://doaj.org/article/fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 EN eng IOP Publishing https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 Environmental Research Letters, Vol 15, Iss 11, p 114022 (2020) snowfall anthropogenic influence attribution projection CMIP6 Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 2023-08-13T00:37:14Z Snowfall is an important element of the climate system and generally has particularly large economic and human impacts. Simulations with climate models have indicated a decline in mean snowfall with warming in most regions. The response of intense snowfall events to a changing climate, however, is unclear. Thus, the degree which anthropogenic influence is responsible for intense snowfall change and how intense snowfall will respond to the changing climate in the future are addressed here using new simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 models. The results show that anthropogenic influences on changes in snowfall are detectable across the lands of the Northern Hemisphere and generally result in a decreasing trend in snowfall events. However, increased anthropogenic activity has increased intense snowfall occurrences over most parts of Asia, North America, and Greenland. With additional warming in the future, while the length of the snowy season will be shortened and the areas where snowfall occurs will be reduced, the occurrence probability of an intense snowfall event is projected to significantly increase with a level of high confidence over these regions by the end of this century. This suggests that these regions, including most parts of northern China, would suffer from more intense snowfall events in the future due to a continuous increase in anthropogenic influence. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Greenland Environmental Research Letters 15 11 114022 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
snowfall anthropogenic influence attribution projection CMIP6 Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
spellingShingle |
snowfall anthropogenic influence attribution projection CMIP6 Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 Huopo Chen Jianqi Sun Wenqing Lin Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
topic_facet |
snowfall anthropogenic influence attribution projection CMIP6 Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
description |
Snowfall is an important element of the climate system and generally has particularly large economic and human impacts. Simulations with climate models have indicated a decline in mean snowfall with warming in most regions. The response of intense snowfall events to a changing climate, however, is unclear. Thus, the degree which anthropogenic influence is responsible for intense snowfall change and how intense snowfall will respond to the changing climate in the future are addressed here using new simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 models. The results show that anthropogenic influences on changes in snowfall are detectable across the lands of the Northern Hemisphere and generally result in a decreasing trend in snowfall events. However, increased anthropogenic activity has increased intense snowfall occurrences over most parts of Asia, North America, and Greenland. With additional warming in the future, while the length of the snowy season will be shortened and the areas where snowfall occurs will be reduced, the occurrence probability of an intense snowfall event is projected to significantly increase with a level of high confidence over these regions by the end of this century. This suggests that these regions, including most parts of northern China, would suffer from more intense snowfall events in the future due to a continuous increase in anthropogenic influence. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Huopo Chen Jianqi Sun Wenqing Lin |
author_facet |
Huopo Chen Jianqi Sun Wenqing Lin |
author_sort |
Huopo Chen |
title |
Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
title_short |
Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
title_full |
Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
title_fullStr |
Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
title_full_unstemmed |
Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future |
title_sort |
anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the northern hemisphere in the future |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 https://doaj.org/article/fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
Greenland |
genre_facet |
Greenland |
op_source |
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 15, Iss 11, p 114022 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/fda4cc5e325641a6bc623f4acc623b60 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc93 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
114022 |
_version_ |
1776200693306097664 |