Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework
Ice-jam floods pose a serious threat to many riverside communities in cold regions. Ice-jam-related flooding can cause loss of human life, millions of dollars in property damage, and adverse impacts on ecology. An effective flood management strategy is necessary to reduce the overall risk in flood-p...
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2021
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/w13162202 https://doaj.org/article/fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 2023-05-15T15:26:05+02:00 Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework Apurba Das Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt 2021-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/w13162202 https://doaj.org/article/fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/16/2202 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441 doi:10.3390/w13162202 2073-4441 https://doaj.org/article/fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 Water, Vol 13, Iss 2202, p 2202 (2021) ice jam flood hazard risk analysis expected annual damages sensitivity analysis Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/w13162202 2022-12-31T07:18:01Z Ice-jam floods pose a serious threat to many riverside communities in cold regions. Ice-jam-related flooding can cause loss of human life, millions of dollars in property damage, and adverse impacts on ecology. An effective flood management strategy is necessary to reduce the overall risk in flood-prone areas. Most of these strategies require a detailed risk-based management study to assess their effectiveness in reducing flood risk. Zoning regulation is a sustainable measure to reduce overall flood risk for a flood-prone area. Zoning regulation is a specified area in a floodplain where certain restrictions apply to different land uses (e.g., development or business). A stochastic framework was introduced to evaluate the effectiveness of a potential zoning regulation. A stochastic framework encompasses the impacts of all the possible expected floods instead of a more traditional approach where a single design flood is incorporated. The downtown area of Fort McMurray along the Athabasca River was selected to explore the impact of zoning regulation on reducing expected annual damages (EAD) from ice-jam flooding. The results show that a hypothetical zoning regulation for a certain area in the town of Fort McMurray (TFM) can be effective in substantially reducing the level of EAD. A global sensitivity analysis was also applied to understand the impacts of model inputs on ice-jam flood risk using a regional sensitivity method. The results show that model boundary conditions such as river discharge, the inflowing volume of ice and ice-jam toe locations are highly sensitive to ice-jam flood risk. Article in Journal/Newspaper Athabasca River Fort McMurray Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Athabasca River Fort McMurray Water 13 16 2202 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
ice jam flood hazard risk analysis expected annual damages sensitivity analysis Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 |
spellingShingle |
ice jam flood hazard risk analysis expected annual damages sensitivity analysis Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 Apurba Das Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
topic_facet |
ice jam flood hazard risk analysis expected annual damages sensitivity analysis Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 |
description |
Ice-jam floods pose a serious threat to many riverside communities in cold regions. Ice-jam-related flooding can cause loss of human life, millions of dollars in property damage, and adverse impacts on ecology. An effective flood management strategy is necessary to reduce the overall risk in flood-prone areas. Most of these strategies require a detailed risk-based management study to assess their effectiveness in reducing flood risk. Zoning regulation is a sustainable measure to reduce overall flood risk for a flood-prone area. Zoning regulation is a specified area in a floodplain where certain restrictions apply to different land uses (e.g., development or business). A stochastic framework was introduced to evaluate the effectiveness of a potential zoning regulation. A stochastic framework encompasses the impacts of all the possible expected floods instead of a more traditional approach where a single design flood is incorporated. The downtown area of Fort McMurray along the Athabasca River was selected to explore the impact of zoning regulation on reducing expected annual damages (EAD) from ice-jam flooding. The results show that a hypothetical zoning regulation for a certain area in the town of Fort McMurray (TFM) can be effective in substantially reducing the level of EAD. A global sensitivity analysis was also applied to understand the impacts of model inputs on ice-jam flood risk using a regional sensitivity method. The results show that model boundary conditions such as river discharge, the inflowing volume of ice and ice-jam toe locations are highly sensitive to ice-jam flood risk. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Apurba Das Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt |
author_facet |
Apurba Das Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt |
author_sort |
Apurba Das |
title |
Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
title_short |
Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
title_full |
Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
title_fullStr |
Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
title_full_unstemmed |
Exploring the Potential of Zoning Regulation for Reducing Ice-Jam Flood Risk Using a Stochastic Modelling Framework |
title_sort |
exploring the potential of zoning regulation for reducing ice-jam flood risk using a stochastic modelling framework |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13162202 https://doaj.org/article/fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 |
geographic |
Athabasca River Fort McMurray |
geographic_facet |
Athabasca River Fort McMurray |
genre |
Athabasca River Fort McMurray |
genre_facet |
Athabasca River Fort McMurray |
op_source |
Water, Vol 13, Iss 2202, p 2202 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/16/2202 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441 doi:10.3390/w13162202 2073-4441 https://doaj.org/article/fc44dfcf74c946bd9cf273da753e91b3 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13162202 |
container_title |
Water |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
16 |
container_start_page |
2202 |
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1766356644459970560 |