Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland
Abstract Estimating the timing of velocity changes (break points) in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) coordinate time series is required for understanding various Earth processes and how they may couple with each other. We jointly estimate break points, noise parameters and their uncertaint...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fb1affc9762a449ab021c3ac0f636f88 2024-09-09T19:47:17+00:00 Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland Yilin Yang Freysteinn Sigmundsson Halldór Geirsson 2023-07-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/article/fb1affc9762a449ab021c3ac0f636f88 EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/article/fb1affc9762a449ab021c3ac0f636f88 Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 2024-08-05T17:49:23Z Abstract Estimating the timing of velocity changes (break points) in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) coordinate time series is required for understanding various Earth processes and how they may couple with each other. We jointly estimate break points, noise parameters and their uncertainties in GNSS time series using Bayesian interference. Synthetic data experiments demonstrate that time‐correlated noise can cause spurious estimates of break points for small velocity change and suggest the lower limits of velocity change for reliable estimates. A case study at the Krafla volcanic system shows increased rift‐perpendicular movementof 7.6–9.8 mm/yr, preceding by 23–77 days the 2014 Bárðarbunga rifting episode that occurred ∼120 km to the south (maximum likelihood estimates). These far‐field velocity anomalies occur in the same period as enhanced near‐field seismicity and deformation before the dike intrusion at Bárðarbunga, possibly indicating the coupling between the two volcanic systems through a deep partial melt zone. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Krafla ENVELOPE(-16.747,-16.747,65.713,65.713) Geophysical Research Letters 50 14 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 Yilin Yang Freysteinn Sigmundsson Halldór Geirsson Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
topic_facet |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
Abstract Estimating the timing of velocity changes (break points) in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) coordinate time series is required for understanding various Earth processes and how they may couple with each other. We jointly estimate break points, noise parameters and their uncertainties in GNSS time series using Bayesian interference. Synthetic data experiments demonstrate that time‐correlated noise can cause spurious estimates of break points for small velocity change and suggest the lower limits of velocity change for reliable estimates. A case study at the Krafla volcanic system shows increased rift‐perpendicular movementof 7.6–9.8 mm/yr, preceding by 23–77 days the 2014 Bárðarbunga rifting episode that occurred ∼120 km to the south (maximum likelihood estimates). These far‐field velocity anomalies occur in the same period as enhanced near‐field seismicity and deformation before the dike intrusion at Bárðarbunga, possibly indicating the coupling between the two volcanic systems through a deep partial melt zone. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Yilin Yang Freysteinn Sigmundsson Halldór Geirsson |
author_facet |
Yilin Yang Freysteinn Sigmundsson Halldór Geirsson |
author_sort |
Yilin Yang |
title |
Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
title_short |
Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
title_full |
Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
title_fullStr |
Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
title_full_unstemmed |
Joint Bayesian Modeling of Velocity Break Points, Noise Characteristics, and Their Uncertainties in GNSS Time Series: Far‐Field Velocity Anomalies Concurrent With Magmatic Activity in Iceland |
title_sort |
joint bayesian modeling of velocity break points, noise characteristics, and their uncertainties in gnss time series: far‐field velocity anomalies concurrent with magmatic activity in iceland |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/article/fb1affc9762a449ab021c3ac0f636f88 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-16.747,-16.747,65.713,65.713) |
geographic |
Krafla |
geographic_facet |
Krafla |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2023GL103432 https://doaj.org/article/fb1affc9762a449ab021c3ac0f636f88 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103432 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
50 |
container_issue |
14 |
_version_ |
1809916762602340352 |