Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations
Climate extremes, such as floods and droughts, might have severe economic and societal impacts. Given the high costs associated with these events, developing early-warning systems is of high priority. Evaporation, which is driven by around 50 % of solar energy absorbed at surface of the Earth, is an...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fa6a66d5a9bb452bb0e39f9ea7aa1b9e 2023-05-15T17:32:05+02:00 Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations T. Le D.-H. Bae 2020-03-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 https://doaj.org/article/fa6a66d5a9bb452bb0e39f9ea7aa1b9e EN eng Copernicus Publications https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/24/1131/2020/hess-24-1131-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1027-5606 https://doaj.org/toc/1607-7938 doi:10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 1027-5606 1607-7938 https://doaj.org/article/fa6a66d5a9bb452bb0e39f9ea7aa1b9e Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol 24, Pp 1131-1143 (2020) Technology T Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 2022-12-30T23:30:57Z Climate extremes, such as floods and droughts, might have severe economic and societal impacts. Given the high costs associated with these events, developing early-warning systems is of high priority. Evaporation, which is driven by around 50 % of solar energy absorbed at surface of the Earth, is an important indicator of the global water budget, monsoon precipitation, drought monitoring and the hydrological cycle. Here we investigate the response of global evaporation to main modes of interannual climate variability, including the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). These climate modes may have an influence on temperature, precipitation, soil moisture and wind speed and are likely to have impacts on global evaporation. We utilized data of historical simulations and RCP8.5 (representative concentration pathway) future simulations derived from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Our results indicate that ENSO is an important driver of evaporation for many regions, especially the tropical Pacific. The significant IOD influence on evaporation is limited in western tropical Indian Ocean, while NAO is more likely to have impacts on evaporation of the North Atlantic European areas. There is high agreement between models in simulating the effects of climate modes on evaporation of these regions. Land evaporation is found to be less sensitive to considered climate modes compared to oceanic evaporation. The spatial influence of major climate modes on global evaporation is slightly more significant for NAO and the IOD and slightly less significant for ENSO in the 1906–2000 period compared to the 2006–2100 period. This study allows us to obtain insight about the predictability of evaporation and hence, may improve the early-warning systems of climate extremes and water resource management. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Pacific Indian Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 24 3 1131 1143 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Technology T Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
spellingShingle |
Technology T Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 T. Le D.-H. Bae Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
topic_facet |
Technology T Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
description |
Climate extremes, such as floods and droughts, might have severe economic and societal impacts. Given the high costs associated with these events, developing early-warning systems is of high priority. Evaporation, which is driven by around 50 % of solar energy absorbed at surface of the Earth, is an important indicator of the global water budget, monsoon precipitation, drought monitoring and the hydrological cycle. Here we investigate the response of global evaporation to main modes of interannual climate variability, including the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). These climate modes may have an influence on temperature, precipitation, soil moisture and wind speed and are likely to have impacts on global evaporation. We utilized data of historical simulations and RCP8.5 (representative concentration pathway) future simulations derived from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Our results indicate that ENSO is an important driver of evaporation for many regions, especially the tropical Pacific. The significant IOD influence on evaporation is limited in western tropical Indian Ocean, while NAO is more likely to have impacts on evaporation of the North Atlantic European areas. There is high agreement between models in simulating the effects of climate modes on evaporation of these regions. Land evaporation is found to be less sensitive to considered climate modes compared to oceanic evaporation. The spatial influence of major climate modes on global evaporation is slightly more significant for NAO and the IOD and slightly less significant for ENSO in the 1906–2000 period compared to the 2006–2100 period. This study allows us to obtain insight about the predictability of evaporation and hence, may improve the early-warning systems of climate extremes and water resource management. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
T. Le D.-H. Bae |
author_facet |
T. Le D.-H. Bae |
author_sort |
T. Le |
title |
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
title_short |
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
title_full |
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
title_fullStr |
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations |
title_sort |
response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 simulations |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 https://doaj.org/article/fa6a66d5a9bb452bb0e39f9ea7aa1b9e |
geographic |
Pacific Indian |
geographic_facet |
Pacific Indian |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol 24, Pp 1131-1143 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/24/1131/2020/hess-24-1131-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1027-5606 https://doaj.org/toc/1607-7938 doi:10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 1027-5606 1607-7938 https://doaj.org/article/fa6a66d5a9bb452bb0e39f9ea7aa1b9e |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020 |
container_title |
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
1131 |
op_container_end_page |
1143 |
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1766130025408495616 |