Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic.
Since the 1970s, the magnitude of turtle cold-stun strandings have increased dramatically within the northwestern Atlantic. Here, we examine oceanic, atmospheric, and biological factors that may affect the increasing trend of cold-stunned Kemp's ridleys in Cape Cod Bay, Massachusetts, United St...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:fa352456f9a8480ab15e19749aa5e1ee 2023-05-15T17:45:39+02:00 Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. Lucas P Griffin Curtice R Griffin John T Finn Robert L Prescott Mark Faherty Brett M Still Andy J Danylchuk 2019-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/article/fa352456f9a8480ab15e19749aa5e1ee EN eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/article/fa352456f9a8480ab15e19749aa5e1ee PLoS ONE, Vol 14, Iss 1, p e0211503 (2019) Medicine R Science Q article 2019 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 2022-12-31T09:02:09Z Since the 1970s, the magnitude of turtle cold-stun strandings have increased dramatically within the northwestern Atlantic. Here, we examine oceanic, atmospheric, and biological factors that may affect the increasing trend of cold-stunned Kemp's ridleys in Cape Cod Bay, Massachusetts, United States of America. Using machine learning and Bayesian inference modeling techniques, we demonstrate higher cold-stunning years occur when the Gulf of Maine has warmer sea surface temperatures in late October through early November. Surprisingly, hatchling numbers in Mexico, a proxy for population abundance, was not identified as an important factor. Further, using our Bayesian count model and forecasted sea surface temperature projections, we predict more than 2,300 Kemp's ridley turtles may cold-stun annually by 2031 as sea surface temperatures continue to increase within the Gulf of Maine. We suggest warmer sea surface temperatures may have modified the northerly distribution of Kemp's ridleys and act as an ecological bridge between the Gulf Stream and nearshore waters. While cold-stunning may currently account for a minor proportion of juvenile mortality, we recommend continuing efforts to rehabilitate cold-stunned individuals to maintain population resiliency for this critically endangered species in the face of a changing climate and continuing anthropogenic threats. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northwest Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Ridley ENVELOPE(-130.315,-130.315,54.250,54.250) PLOS ONE 14 1 e0211503 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Medicine R Science Q |
spellingShingle |
Medicine R Science Q Lucas P Griffin Curtice R Griffin John T Finn Robert L Prescott Mark Faherty Brett M Still Andy J Danylchuk Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
topic_facet |
Medicine R Science Q |
description |
Since the 1970s, the magnitude of turtle cold-stun strandings have increased dramatically within the northwestern Atlantic. Here, we examine oceanic, atmospheric, and biological factors that may affect the increasing trend of cold-stunned Kemp's ridleys in Cape Cod Bay, Massachusetts, United States of America. Using machine learning and Bayesian inference modeling techniques, we demonstrate higher cold-stunning years occur when the Gulf of Maine has warmer sea surface temperatures in late October through early November. Surprisingly, hatchling numbers in Mexico, a proxy for population abundance, was not identified as an important factor. Further, using our Bayesian count model and forecasted sea surface temperature projections, we predict more than 2,300 Kemp's ridley turtles may cold-stun annually by 2031 as sea surface temperatures continue to increase within the Gulf of Maine. We suggest warmer sea surface temperatures may have modified the northerly distribution of Kemp's ridleys and act as an ecological bridge between the Gulf Stream and nearshore waters. While cold-stunning may currently account for a minor proportion of juvenile mortality, we recommend continuing efforts to rehabilitate cold-stunned individuals to maintain population resiliency for this critically endangered species in the face of a changing climate and continuing anthropogenic threats. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Lucas P Griffin Curtice R Griffin John T Finn Robert L Prescott Mark Faherty Brett M Still Andy J Danylchuk |
author_facet |
Lucas P Griffin Curtice R Griffin John T Finn Robert L Prescott Mark Faherty Brett M Still Andy J Danylchuk |
author_sort |
Lucas P Griffin |
title |
Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
title_short |
Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
title_full |
Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
title_fullStr |
Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Warming seas increase cold-stunning events for Kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest Atlantic. |
title_sort |
warming seas increase cold-stunning events for kemp's ridley sea turtles in the northwest atlantic. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/article/fa352456f9a8480ab15e19749aa5e1ee |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-130.315,-130.315,54.250,54.250) |
geographic |
Ridley |
geographic_facet |
Ridley |
genre |
Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northwest Atlantic |
op_source |
PLoS ONE, Vol 14, Iss 1, p e0211503 (2019) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 https://doaj.org/article/fa352456f9a8480ab15e19749aa5e1ee |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211503 |
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PLOS ONE |
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14 |
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1 |
container_start_page |
e0211503 |
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