MODELING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ARCTIC REGION OF RUSSIA

• Published in: MIR [World] (Modernization. Innovation. Research)
• Main Author: K. N. Kikkas
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Russian
• Published: Nauka 2016
• Subjects: устойчивое развитие; модель эконометрических уравнений; adl-модель; арктический регион; Economics as a science; HB71-74; Arctic; Nes; Nes’; Chukchi; Chukotka; Chukotka Autonomous Okrug
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2015.6.4.142.147; https://doaj.org/article/f7c3635f08fb4890ba715f74294ea130

The article describes a model of six econometric equations, designed for the analysis of the sustainability of development in the Arctic region of the Russian Federation - Chukotka Autonomous Okrug. The article analyzes the spheres of human activity in the Chukchi Autonomous District: social, industrial, natural resources. Each sphere is estimated indicators. The theoretical views of various researchers on sustainable development and defi nes the concept of sustainable development of the spheres of human activity in the Arctic region. Under the sustainable development of the Arctic region of space refers to such changes in the indices of spheres of human activity in the region, which increase the potential for human development. The numerical value of the potential of human development is estimated Human Development Index. The article describes the methodological principles of constructing a model of six equations econometric analysis of the sustainable development of the Arctic region. Each of the six equations presented in the form of ADL-model, because it allows us to estimate the dependence of ADL values of the spheres of human activity in the region from the current and past values of the series of other indicators. Selected endogenous and exogenous variables for the model. We discuss the algorithm for fi nding the model parameters. On the basis of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug are six coeffi cients of econometric equations. The analysis of the results of the decision model. Methodological principles and results of the decision model can be used to develop strategies for sustainable development of the municipality, a separate Arctic, or a combination of all the Arctic regions of Russia.