A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China
Abstract The arid Xinjiang region of China exemplifies severe water scarcity regions with a burgeoning agriculture. Whether or not the ongoing wetting, unprecedented in instrumental hydroclimatic records, will become routine has implications for regional oasis economy and China's Go West plan....
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:f660f3bd3bb14fbe8e43a9db78dcd785 2023-05-15T17:33:20+02:00 A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China Yingying Feng Tao Wang Yaning Chen Lijun Zuo Xichen Li Chaoyi Xu Yutong Zhao Taotao Zhang 2022-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/article/f660f3bd3bb14fbe8e43a9db78dcd785 EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/toc/2576-604X 2576-604X doi:10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/article/f660f3bd3bb14fbe8e43a9db78dcd785 AGU Advances, Vol 3, Iss 4, Pp n/a-n/a (2022) Xinjiang precipitation increase water scarcity sea surface warming Geology QE1-996.5 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 2022-12-30T20:12:30Z Abstract The arid Xinjiang region of China exemplifies severe water scarcity regions with a burgeoning agriculture. Whether or not the ongoing wetting, unprecedented in instrumental hydroclimatic records, will become routine has implications for regional oasis economy and China's Go West plan. Here, we show that Xinjiang experienced a one‐third increase in precipitation since the 1980s, and that this increase is primarily due to sea surface warming in the Bay of Bengal‐west Pacific and tropical North Atlantic. Using the historical precipitation‐sea surface temperature relationship to constrain future precipitation changes under a moderate warming scenario, annual precipitation over Xinjiang is projected to increase by 56% relative to the present‐day, and the levels of wetness of exceptional years, such as 2010 and 2016, will potentially become a new norm in terms of regional mean within the next few decades. However, such a large precipitation‐induced increase in freshwater resources will still be insufficient to rescue the Tarim and Junggar basins from their severe water scarcity dilemma within the next few decades, unless the most‐efficient water‐saving irrigation strategies are implemented. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Pacific AGU Advances 3 4 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Xinjiang precipitation increase water scarcity sea surface warming Geology QE1-996.5 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
Xinjiang precipitation increase water scarcity sea surface warming Geology QE1-996.5 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 Yingying Feng Tao Wang Yaning Chen Lijun Zuo Xichen Li Chaoyi Xu Yutong Zhao Taotao Zhang A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
topic_facet |
Xinjiang precipitation increase water scarcity sea surface warming Geology QE1-996.5 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
Abstract The arid Xinjiang region of China exemplifies severe water scarcity regions with a burgeoning agriculture. Whether or not the ongoing wetting, unprecedented in instrumental hydroclimatic records, will become routine has implications for regional oasis economy and China's Go West plan. Here, we show that Xinjiang experienced a one‐third increase in precipitation since the 1980s, and that this increase is primarily due to sea surface warming in the Bay of Bengal‐west Pacific and tropical North Atlantic. Using the historical precipitation‐sea surface temperature relationship to constrain future precipitation changes under a moderate warming scenario, annual precipitation over Xinjiang is projected to increase by 56% relative to the present‐day, and the levels of wetness of exceptional years, such as 2010 and 2016, will potentially become a new norm in terms of regional mean within the next few decades. However, such a large precipitation‐induced increase in freshwater resources will still be insufficient to rescue the Tarim and Junggar basins from their severe water scarcity dilemma within the next few decades, unless the most‐efficient water‐saving irrigation strategies are implemented. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Yingying Feng Tao Wang Yaning Chen Lijun Zuo Xichen Li Chaoyi Xu Yutong Zhao Taotao Zhang |
author_facet |
Yingying Feng Tao Wang Yaning Chen Lijun Zuo Xichen Li Chaoyi Xu Yutong Zhao Taotao Zhang |
author_sort |
Yingying Feng |
title |
A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
title_short |
A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
title_full |
A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
title_fullStr |
A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
title_full_unstemmed |
A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China |
title_sort |
transition towards an unusually wet condition will not alleviate water scarcity risk in xinjiang, china |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/article/f660f3bd3bb14fbe8e43a9db78dcd785 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
AGU Advances, Vol 3, Iss 4, Pp n/a-n/a (2022) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/toc/2576-604X 2576-604X doi:10.1029/2021AV000589 https://doaj.org/article/f660f3bd3bb14fbe8e43a9db78dcd785 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2021AV000589 |
container_title |
AGU Advances |
container_volume |
3 |
container_issue |
4 |
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1766131800897224704 |