Numerical model of the ice cover evolution in Arctic Seas for the operational forecasting

• Published in: Ice and Snow
• Main Authors: S. V. Klyachkin, R. B. Guzenko, R. I. May
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Russian
• Published: Nauka 2015
• Subjects: ледовые прогнозы; ледяной покров; оправдываемость и эффективность прогноза; режимные оценки; сжатия льда; численная модель; Science; Q; Arctic
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2015-3-83-96; https://doaj.org/article/f23575a41684451790b10e7d0d8dd862

The dynamic-thermodynamic model of the ice cover evolution is used for operational 5‑day ice forecasts in the Russian Arctic seas and to obtain some statistical estimates of the ice cover state. The model is a numerical realization of the heat budget and the motion balance equations for sea and ice cover with appropriate boundary conditions. The statistical processing of the data resulted in revealing characteristics of seasonal and spatial variability of the ice compressionin the Barents and Kara Seas.