Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany
Several studies showed the impact of global climate change in Germany and Saxony including the risk of increasing precipitation extremes. Here, heavy precipitation was analyzed on the basis of daily precipitation sums using the 95th percentile (index R95p). The long term development was studied for...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:eea09f351b5c42cdb1848e16172dd82c 2023-05-15T17:34:34+02:00 Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany Andrea S. Schaller Johannes Franke Christian Bernhofer 2020-11-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/article/eea09f351b5c42cdb1848e16172dd82c EN eng Borntraeger http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/toc/0941-2948 0941-2948 doi:10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/article/eea09f351b5c42cdb1848e16172dd82c Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 29, Iss 5, Pp 335-348 (2020) heavy precipitation precipitation extremes kernel occurrence rate estimation regional climate change trend variability and stability shifting seasonality Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 2022-12-31T03:48:12Z Several studies showed the impact of global climate change in Germany and Saxony including the risk of increasing precipitation extremes. Here, heavy precipitation was analyzed on the basis of daily precipitation sums using the 95th percentile (index R95p). The long term development was studied for selected stations (1917–2013). Transects with high spatial resolution (1×1 km) (1961–2015) complemented the study to gain information about spatial temporal development of the occurrence of precipitation extremes. The non parametric kernel occurrence rate estimation has been applied to reveal changes in the temporal development of daily totals. The most distinct changes have been found for the seasons and the growing seasons and only slight changes for the calendar year and the meteorological half-years. The findings of this study showed a shifting seasonality with decreasing number of heavy precipitation events in the growing season I (April, May, June) and increasing number of events in growing season II (July, August, September). Furthermore, a distinct periodicity has been revealed in all findings for all seasons, particularly striking in the growing seasons, indicating the influence of large scale drivers as potentially the North Atlantic Oscillation on local precipitation extremes. Our data showed, that kernel occurrence rate estimation is a suitable approach to analyze the temporal development of heavy precipitation with a high temporal and spatial resolution. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Meteorologische Zeitschrift 29 5 335 348 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
heavy precipitation precipitation extremes kernel occurrence rate estimation regional climate change trend variability and stability shifting seasonality Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
spellingShingle |
heavy precipitation precipitation extremes kernel occurrence rate estimation regional climate change trend variability and stability shifting seasonality Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Andrea S. Schaller Johannes Franke Christian Bernhofer Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
topic_facet |
heavy precipitation precipitation extremes kernel occurrence rate estimation regional climate change trend variability and stability shifting seasonality Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
description |
Several studies showed the impact of global climate change in Germany and Saxony including the risk of increasing precipitation extremes. Here, heavy precipitation was analyzed on the basis of daily precipitation sums using the 95th percentile (index R95p). The long term development was studied for selected stations (1917–2013). Transects with high spatial resolution (1×1 km) (1961–2015) complemented the study to gain information about spatial temporal development of the occurrence of precipitation extremes. The non parametric kernel occurrence rate estimation has been applied to reveal changes in the temporal development of daily totals. The most distinct changes have been found for the seasons and the growing seasons and only slight changes for the calendar year and the meteorological half-years. The findings of this study showed a shifting seasonality with decreasing number of heavy precipitation events in the growing season I (April, May, June) and increasing number of events in growing season II (July, August, September). Furthermore, a distinct periodicity has been revealed in all findings for all seasons, particularly striking in the growing seasons, indicating the influence of large scale drivers as potentially the North Atlantic Oscillation on local precipitation extremes. Our data showed, that kernel occurrence rate estimation is a suitable approach to analyze the temporal development of heavy precipitation with a high temporal and spatial resolution. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Andrea S. Schaller Johannes Franke Christian Bernhofer |
author_facet |
Andrea S. Schaller Johannes Franke Christian Bernhofer |
author_sort |
Andrea S. Schaller |
title |
Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
title_short |
Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
title_full |
Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
title_fullStr |
Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in Saxony, Germany |
title_sort |
climate dynamics: temporal development of the occurrence frequency of heavy precipitation in saxony, germany |
publisher |
Borntraeger |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/article/eea09f351b5c42cdb1848e16172dd82c |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 29, Iss 5, Pp 335-348 (2020) |
op_relation |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/toc/0941-2948 0941-2948 doi:10.1127/metz/2020/0771 https://doaj.org/article/eea09f351b5c42cdb1848e16172dd82c |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/0771 |
container_title |
Meteorologische Zeitschrift |
container_volume |
29 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
335 |
op_container_end_page |
348 |
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1766133441420591104 |