Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation
Wind power is a vital ingredient for energy system transformation in line with the Paris Agreement. Limited land availability for onshore wind parks and higher wind speeds over sea make offshore wind energy increasingly attractive. While wind variability on different timescales poses challenges for...
Published in: | Advances in Geosciences |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 https://doaj.org/article/ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a 2023-05-15T17:35:30+02:00 Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation C. Neubacher D. Witthaut J. Wohland 2021-03-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 https://doaj.org/article/ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a EN eng Copernicus Publications https://adgeo.copernicus.org/articles/54/205/2021/adgeo-54-205-2021.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1680-7340 https://doaj.org/toc/1680-7359 doi:10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 1680-7340 1680-7359 https://doaj.org/article/ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a Advances in Geosciences, Vol 54, Pp 205-215 (2021) Science Q Geology QE1-996.5 Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 2022-12-31T09:34:24Z Wind power is a vital ingredient for energy system transformation in line with the Paris Agreement. Limited land availability for onshore wind parks and higher wind speeds over sea make offshore wind energy increasingly attractive. While wind variability on different timescales poses challenges for planning and system integration, little focus has been given to multi-decadal variability. Our research therefore focuses on the characteristics of wind power on timescales exceeding ten years. Based on detrended wind data from the coupled centennial reanalysis CERA-20C, we calculate European long-term offshore wind power potential and analyze its variability focusing on three locations with distinct climatic conditions: the German North Sea, the Greek Mediterranean and the Portuguese Atlantic coast. We find strong indications for two significant multi-decadal modes that are identified consistently using two independent spectral analysis methods and in the 20-year running mean time series. In winter, the long-term evolution of wind power and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are directly linked in Germany and Portugal. While German North Sea wind power is positively correlated with the NAO ( r =0.82 ), Portuguese Atlantic coast generation is anti-correlated with the NAO ( <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mi>r</mi><mo>=</mo><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.91</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="49pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="c73e19ef803706f34dabc85ddb931540"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="adgeo-54-205-2021-ie00001.svg" width="49pt" height="10pt" src="adgeo-54-205-2021-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg> ). We evaluate the corresponding potential for spatial balancing in Europe and report substantial benefits from European cooperation. In ... Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Advances in Geosciences 54 205 215 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Science Q Geology QE1-996.5 Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 |
spellingShingle |
Science Q Geology QE1-996.5 Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 C. Neubacher D. Witthaut J. Wohland Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
topic_facet |
Science Q Geology QE1-996.5 Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 |
description |
Wind power is a vital ingredient for energy system transformation in line with the Paris Agreement. Limited land availability for onshore wind parks and higher wind speeds over sea make offshore wind energy increasingly attractive. While wind variability on different timescales poses challenges for planning and system integration, little focus has been given to multi-decadal variability. Our research therefore focuses on the characteristics of wind power on timescales exceeding ten years. Based on detrended wind data from the coupled centennial reanalysis CERA-20C, we calculate European long-term offshore wind power potential and analyze its variability focusing on three locations with distinct climatic conditions: the German North Sea, the Greek Mediterranean and the Portuguese Atlantic coast. We find strong indications for two significant multi-decadal modes that are identified consistently using two independent spectral analysis methods and in the 20-year running mean time series. In winter, the long-term evolution of wind power and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are directly linked in Germany and Portugal. While German North Sea wind power is positively correlated with the NAO ( r =0.82 ), Portuguese Atlantic coast generation is anti-correlated with the NAO ( <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mi>r</mi><mo>=</mo><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.91</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="49pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="c73e19ef803706f34dabc85ddb931540"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="adgeo-54-205-2021-ie00001.svg" width="49pt" height="10pt" src="adgeo-54-205-2021-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg> ). We evaluate the corresponding potential for spatial balancing in Europe and report substantial benefits from European cooperation. In ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
C. Neubacher D. Witthaut J. Wohland |
author_facet |
C. Neubacher D. Witthaut J. Wohland |
author_sort |
C. Neubacher |
title |
Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
title_short |
Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
title_full |
Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
title_fullStr |
Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized European allocation |
title_sort |
multi-decadal offshore wind power variability can be mitigated through optimized european allocation |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 https://doaj.org/article/ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Advances in Geosciences, Vol 54, Pp 205-215 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://adgeo.copernicus.org/articles/54/205/2021/adgeo-54-205-2021.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1680-7340 https://doaj.org/toc/1680-7359 doi:10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 1680-7340 1680-7359 https://doaj.org/article/ea1f30c457b042ce968c6f5dcb13836a |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-205-2021 |
container_title |
Advances in Geosciences |
container_volume |
54 |
container_start_page |
205 |
op_container_end_page |
215 |
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1766134693589155840 |