Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard
Extreme precipitation over the Svalbard Archipelago in the Arctic can have severe consequences for the ecosystem and society. In recent years several extreme precipitation events have been observed at Ny Ålesund, a weather station in the north-western part of the Svalbard Archipelago. The most recen...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:e6960b2d4ba24bbb8af11dc8fd36ab0b 2023-05-15T14:57:20+02:00 Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard Malte Müller Timo Kelder Cyril Palerme 2022-06-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 https://doaj.org/article/e6960b2d4ba24bbb8af11dc8fd36ab0b EN eng Elsevier http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209472200024X https://doaj.org/toc/2212-0947 2212-0947 doi:10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 https://doaj.org/article/e6960b2d4ba24bbb8af11dc8fd36ab0b Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 36, Iss , Pp 100437- (2022) Extreme precipitation Arctic precipitation Atmosphere sea-ice interactions Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 2022-12-31T02:39:54Z Extreme precipitation over the Svalbard Archipelago in the Arctic can have severe consequences for the ecosystem and society. In recent years several extreme precipitation events have been observed at Ny Ålesund, a weather station in the north-western part of the Svalbard Archipelago. The most recent observed events in the years 2012, 2016, and 2018 were the strongest events in the entire precipitation record from 1974 till today. The key question of our study is whether those recently observed extremes are part of a climate change signal or are a random accumulation of extremes. With a novel approach based on a large ensemble of model simulations, we show that the likelihood of occurrence for extreme precipitation over Svalbard has increased over the last four decades. We find that the likelihood of occurrence is connected to the sea ice extent east of Greenland because the presence of sea ice shields the west coast of Svalbard from the incoming southerly moist air. Our analysis suggests, that in the future with a further decline of the sea ice coverage east of Greenland, the recently observed precipitation extremes will become even more frequent. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Greenland Greenland Sea Ny Ålesund Ny-Ålesund Sea ice Svalbard Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Greenland Ny-Ålesund Svalbard Svalbard Archipelago Weather and Climate Extremes 36 100437 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Extreme precipitation Arctic precipitation Atmosphere sea-ice interactions Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
spellingShingle |
Extreme precipitation Arctic precipitation Atmosphere sea-ice interactions Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Malte Müller Timo Kelder Cyril Palerme Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
topic_facet |
Extreme precipitation Arctic precipitation Atmosphere sea-ice interactions Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
description |
Extreme precipitation over the Svalbard Archipelago in the Arctic can have severe consequences for the ecosystem and society. In recent years several extreme precipitation events have been observed at Ny Ålesund, a weather station in the north-western part of the Svalbard Archipelago. The most recent observed events in the years 2012, 2016, and 2018 were the strongest events in the entire precipitation record from 1974 till today. The key question of our study is whether those recently observed extremes are part of a climate change signal or are a random accumulation of extremes. With a novel approach based on a large ensemble of model simulations, we show that the likelihood of occurrence for extreme precipitation over Svalbard has increased over the last four decades. We find that the likelihood of occurrence is connected to the sea ice extent east of Greenland because the presence of sea ice shields the west coast of Svalbard from the incoming southerly moist air. Our analysis suggests, that in the future with a further decline of the sea ice coverage east of Greenland, the recently observed precipitation extremes will become even more frequent. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Malte Müller Timo Kelder Cyril Palerme |
author_facet |
Malte Müller Timo Kelder Cyril Palerme |
author_sort |
Malte Müller |
title |
Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
title_short |
Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
title_full |
Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
title_fullStr |
Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
title_full_unstemmed |
Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard |
title_sort |
decline of sea-ice in the greenland sea intensifies extreme precipitation over svalbard |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 https://doaj.org/article/e6960b2d4ba24bbb8af11dc8fd36ab0b |
geographic |
Arctic Greenland Ny-Ålesund Svalbard Svalbard Archipelago |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Greenland Ny-Ålesund Svalbard Svalbard Archipelago |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Greenland Greenland Sea Ny Ålesund Ny-Ålesund Sea ice Svalbard |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Greenland Greenland Sea Ny Ålesund Ny-Ålesund Sea ice Svalbard |
op_source |
Weather and Climate Extremes, Vol 36, Iss , Pp 100437- (2022) |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209472200024X https://doaj.org/toc/2212-0947 2212-0947 doi:10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 https://doaj.org/article/e6960b2d4ba24bbb8af11dc8fd36ab0b |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100437 |
container_title |
Weather and Climate Extremes |
container_volume |
36 |
container_start_page |
100437 |
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1766329409775599616 |