The Variation Characteristics of Asian Surface Temperature and Precipitation in the Early 21st Century

• Published in: Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
• Main Authors: Kuo Wang, Guolin Feng, Tianshu Ye, Xujia Wang, Peipei Liu
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Wiley 2016
• Subjects: Mathematics; QA1-939; Global warming
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/7929647; https://doaj.org/article/e62b360a0c414820b684ed6c6485dbeb

Based on the analysis of the feature of Asian continent becoming cold in the early 21st century winter under the background of global warming, the Asian Warming Hole (AWH) index is proposed in this paper to measure the intensity during the cold events process. Result shows that the Asian continent is indeed experiencing a cold stage in the early 21st century winter, but it is just in a cold phase and will become warmer in the future. In recent years the activity of the winter cold events has an obvious quasi-four-year cycle, which can be reflected by atmospheric circulation, and AO (Arctic Oscillation) may play a very important role. It is credible that Asian surface temperature will be higher in the coming 3-4 years compared with 2011 winter, signifying that the precipitation may increase correspondingly.