Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014
In order to study the dynamics of the incidence of influenza and ARI in the cities of Russia and the impact of the demographic composition of its population we evaluated changes in the age structure of the population from 1986 to 2014. Considerable changes in the 28 years dynamics of the total incid...
Published in: | Epidemiology and Vaccine Prevention |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | Russian |
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Numikom LLC
2015
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 https://doaj.org/article/e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf 2023-05-15T18:45:31+02:00 Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 T. I. Sysoeva L. S. Karpova 2015-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 https://doaj.org/article/e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf RU rus Numikom LLC https://www.epidemvac.ru/jour/article/view/94 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-3046 https://doaj.org/toc/2619-0494 2073-3046 2619-0494 doi:10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 https://doaj.org/article/e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf Эпидемиология и вакцинопрофилактика, Vol 14, Iss 6, Pp 6-15 (2015) заболеваемость гриппом и орви возрастной состав населения корреляционная связь the incidence of influenza and ari the age composition of the population correlation analysis Epistemology. Theory of knowledge BD143-237 article 2015 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 2023-03-19T01:41:20Z In order to study the dynamics of the incidence of influenza and ARI in the cities of Russia and the impact of the demographic composition of its population we evaluated changes in the age structure of the population from 1986 to 2014. Considerable changes in the 28 years dynamics of the total incidence of influenza and ARI revealed. The highest incidence rate from 1969 to 1990 gave way to decrease in the incidence from 1991 to 2008 in all cities, especially in megacities, and to increase during the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 circulation. Reduction of the differences in the incidence of influenza and ARI in cities with different population is noted. From 1969 to 2014 there have been significant changes in the dynamics of influenza and ARI incidence: reduction in the incidence from 1991 in all the cities, especially in megacities, increasing of incidence during the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 circulation years from 2009 to 2014, and reducing the difference in the incidence of influenza and ARI in cities with varying populations. In most cities, the incidence remained high throughout the observation period. In 2009 - 2014 the incidence has become higher in the Barnaul, Irkutsk, Yakutsk, and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, and lower in the Krasnodar and Ulan-Ude compared with the periods from 1986 to 2008. The results from correlation analysis reveal that incidence of influenza and ARI is significantly positively correlated with the age and number of children's groups, more pronounced in the younger age groups, at 95% confidence level. Children 0 - 2 years revealed significant strong correlation in 27 of the 34 cities, the average correlation coefficient, R = 0.75, children 3 - 6 years - a strong (in 16 cities) and the average (in 16 cities), R = 0.63, children 7 - 14 years - a strong (in 9 cities) and average (in 15 cities), R = 0.53, in adults found an association of moderate strength only in 8 cities R = 0.48. Article in Journal/Newspaper Yakutsk Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Yakutsk Ari ENVELOPE(147.813,147.813,59.810,59.810) Epidemiology and Vaccine Prevention 14 6 6 15 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
Russian |
topic |
заболеваемость гриппом и орви возрастной состав населения корреляционная связь the incidence of influenza and ari the age composition of the population correlation analysis Epistemology. Theory of knowledge BD143-237 |
spellingShingle |
заболеваемость гриппом и орви возрастной состав населения корреляционная связь the incidence of influenza and ari the age composition of the population correlation analysis Epistemology. Theory of knowledge BD143-237 T. I. Sysoeva L. S. Karpova Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
topic_facet |
заболеваемость гриппом и орви возрастной состав населения корреляционная связь the incidence of influenza and ari the age composition of the population correlation analysis Epistemology. Theory of knowledge BD143-237 |
description |
In order to study the dynamics of the incidence of influenza and ARI in the cities of Russia and the impact of the demographic composition of its population we evaluated changes in the age structure of the population from 1986 to 2014. Considerable changes in the 28 years dynamics of the total incidence of influenza and ARI revealed. The highest incidence rate from 1969 to 1990 gave way to decrease in the incidence from 1991 to 2008 in all cities, especially in megacities, and to increase during the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 circulation. Reduction of the differences in the incidence of influenza and ARI in cities with different population is noted. From 1969 to 2014 there have been significant changes in the dynamics of influenza and ARI incidence: reduction in the incidence from 1991 in all the cities, especially in megacities, increasing of incidence during the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 circulation years from 2009 to 2014, and reducing the difference in the incidence of influenza and ARI in cities with varying populations. In most cities, the incidence remained high throughout the observation period. In 2009 - 2014 the incidence has become higher in the Barnaul, Irkutsk, Yakutsk, and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, and lower in the Krasnodar and Ulan-Ude compared with the periods from 1986 to 2008. The results from correlation analysis reveal that incidence of influenza and ARI is significantly positively correlated with the age and number of children's groups, more pronounced in the younger age groups, at 95% confidence level. Children 0 - 2 years revealed significant strong correlation in 27 of the 34 cities, the average correlation coefficient, R = 0.75, children 3 - 6 years - a strong (in 16 cities) and the average (in 16 cities), R = 0.63, children 7 - 14 years - a strong (in 9 cities) and average (in 15 cities), R = 0.53, in adults found an association of moderate strength only in 8 cities R = 0.48. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
T. I. Sysoeva L. S. Karpova |
author_facet |
T. I. Sysoeva L. S. Karpova |
author_sort |
T. I. Sysoeva |
title |
Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
title_short |
Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
title_full |
Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
title_fullStr |
Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effect of Changes in the Age Structure of the Population in the Incidence of Influenza and ARI in the Cities of Russia from 1986 to 2014 |
title_sort |
effect of changes in the age structure of the population in the incidence of influenza and ari in the cities of russia from 1986 to 2014 |
publisher |
Numikom LLC |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 https://doaj.org/article/e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(147.813,147.813,59.810,59.810) |
geographic |
Yakutsk Ari |
geographic_facet |
Yakutsk Ari |
genre |
Yakutsk |
genre_facet |
Yakutsk |
op_source |
Эпидемиология и вакцинопрофилактика, Vol 14, Iss 6, Pp 6-15 (2015) |
op_relation |
https://www.epidemvac.ru/jour/article/view/94 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-3046 https://doaj.org/toc/2619-0494 2073-3046 2619-0494 doi:10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 https://doaj.org/article/e120627b0f9b43a58444d02a3c177aaf |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.31631/2073-3046-2015-14-6-6-15 |
container_title |
Epidemiology and Vaccine Prevention |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
6 |
op_container_end_page |
15 |
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1766236583263993856 |