Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes
Damming and flow regulation ensure water availability during dearth periods, but they cause impacts on inhabiting biota and facilitate the establishment of Invasive Alien Species (IAS). Setting environmental flows (e-flows) has proven fundamental to ensure good ecological status of rivers, battle IA...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:df181feab3aa44d9a0336fa5d5721250 2024-09-15T17:39:45+00:00 Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes Rafael Muñoz-Mas Hector Macian-Sorribes Francisco J. Oliva-Paterna Lorenzo Sangelantoni Daniele Peano Manuel Pulido-Velazquez Francisco Martínez-Capel 2024-04-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 https://doaj.org/article/df181feab3aa44d9a0336fa5d5721250 EN eng Elsevier http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24004369 https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160X 1470-160X doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 https://doaj.org/article/df181feab3aa44d9a0336fa5d5721250 Ecological Indicators, Vol 161, Iss , Pp 111979- (2024) Global change adaptation Hydro-economic modeling Fuzzy rule-based system Microhabitat competition Statistical downscaling Water resources management Ecology QH540-549.5 article 2024 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 2024-08-05T17:49:34Z Damming and flow regulation ensure water availability during dearth periods, but they cause impacts on inhabiting biota and facilitate the establishment of Invasive Alien Species (IAS). Setting environmental flows (e-flows) has proven fundamental to ensure good ecological status of rivers, battle IAS, and sustain ecosystem services. However, ongoing climate change is further straining water resources availability and the fulfilment of e-flows in Spain, which has compelled River Basin Management Plans (RBMPs) to include specific adaptation measures. In this study, we assessed adaptation strategies addressing land use and climate change in the Serpis River (Eastern Spain), based on increasing irrigation efficiency (i.e. moving from gravity to drip irrigation). The evaluation considered two CMIP6 climate change scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) for two time horizons (short term 2015–2040 and mid-term 2041–2070), together with three land use change scenarios (changes in irrigated areas and technologies). Future estimations included reservoir flow releases, e-flows fulfilment, agricultural benefits, and changes in the suitable habitat and potential competition for two native (Eastern Iberian chub Squalius valentinus and European eel Anguilla anguilla) and two invasive (common bleak Alburnus alburnus and pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus) fish species. Predictions indicated a decrease in the suitable habitat for eel and Eastern Iberian chub, but the established e-flows will be ensured. Although the maximum benefits will rarely be achieved, on average the modernisation expected in the RBMP would sustain agricultural incomes in the optimistic scenario (SSP1-2.6) and for the short term of the pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), showing similar effects than the ongoing redistribution of agricultural plots. Habitat and competition with invasive species will experience little changes due to the strong flow regulation, although the invasive bleak would prevail in the mid-term of the most pessimistic ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Anguilla anguilla European eel Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Ecological Indicators 161 111979 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Global change adaptation Hydro-economic modeling Fuzzy rule-based system Microhabitat competition Statistical downscaling Water resources management Ecology QH540-549.5 |
spellingShingle |
Global change adaptation Hydro-economic modeling Fuzzy rule-based system Microhabitat competition Statistical downscaling Water resources management Ecology QH540-549.5 Rafael Muñoz-Mas Hector Macian-Sorribes Francisco J. Oliva-Paterna Lorenzo Sangelantoni Daniele Peano Manuel Pulido-Velazquez Francisco Martínez-Capel Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
topic_facet |
Global change adaptation Hydro-economic modeling Fuzzy rule-based system Microhabitat competition Statistical downscaling Water resources management Ecology QH540-549.5 |
description |
Damming and flow regulation ensure water availability during dearth periods, but they cause impacts on inhabiting biota and facilitate the establishment of Invasive Alien Species (IAS). Setting environmental flows (e-flows) has proven fundamental to ensure good ecological status of rivers, battle IAS, and sustain ecosystem services. However, ongoing climate change is further straining water resources availability and the fulfilment of e-flows in Spain, which has compelled River Basin Management Plans (RBMPs) to include specific adaptation measures. In this study, we assessed adaptation strategies addressing land use and climate change in the Serpis River (Eastern Spain), based on increasing irrigation efficiency (i.e. moving from gravity to drip irrigation). The evaluation considered two CMIP6 climate change scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) for two time horizons (short term 2015–2040 and mid-term 2041–2070), together with three land use change scenarios (changes in irrigated areas and technologies). Future estimations included reservoir flow releases, e-flows fulfilment, agricultural benefits, and changes in the suitable habitat and potential competition for two native (Eastern Iberian chub Squalius valentinus and European eel Anguilla anguilla) and two invasive (common bleak Alburnus alburnus and pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus) fish species. Predictions indicated a decrease in the suitable habitat for eel and Eastern Iberian chub, but the established e-flows will be ensured. Although the maximum benefits will rarely be achieved, on average the modernisation expected in the RBMP would sustain agricultural incomes in the optimistic scenario (SSP1-2.6) and for the short term of the pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), showing similar effects than the ongoing redistribution of agricultural plots. Habitat and competition with invasive species will experience little changes due to the strong flow regulation, although the invasive bleak would prevail in the mid-term of the most pessimistic ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Rafael Muñoz-Mas Hector Macian-Sorribes Francisco J. Oliva-Paterna Lorenzo Sangelantoni Daniele Peano Manuel Pulido-Velazquez Francisco Martínez-Capel |
author_facet |
Rafael Muñoz-Mas Hector Macian-Sorribes Francisco J. Oliva-Paterna Lorenzo Sangelantoni Daniele Peano Manuel Pulido-Velazquez Francisco Martínez-Capel |
author_sort |
Rafael Muñoz-Mas |
title |
Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
title_short |
Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
title_full |
Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
title_fullStr |
Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Adaptation measures to global change in the Serpis River Basin (Spain): An evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
title_sort |
adaptation measures to global change in the serpis river basin (spain): an evaluation considering agricultural benefits, environmental flows, and invasive fishes |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 https://doaj.org/article/df181feab3aa44d9a0336fa5d5721250 |
genre |
Anguilla anguilla European eel |
genre_facet |
Anguilla anguilla European eel |
op_source |
Ecological Indicators, Vol 161, Iss , Pp 111979- (2024) |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24004369 https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160X 1470-160X doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 https://doaj.org/article/df181feab3aa44d9a0336fa5d5721250 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111979 |
container_title |
Ecological Indicators |
container_volume |
161 |
container_start_page |
111979 |
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1810482336923385856 |