Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems
The review presents the most important results of investigations in the field of strong earthquakes predictions, which were published in scientific sources. The ways of further studies of seismic prognosis problem are involved into consideration, as well as the based theoretical model, to improve pr...
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Дальневосточного отделения Российской академии наук, Южно-Сахалинск, Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт морской геологии и геофизики
2022
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 https://doaj.org/article/dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb 2023-05-15T16:59:16+02:00 Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems Leonid M. Bogomolov Nailia A. Sycheva 2022-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 https://doaj.org/article/dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb EN RU eng rus Дальневосточного отделения Российской академии наук, Южно-Сахалинск, Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт морской геологии и геофизики http://journal.imgg.ru/web/full/f-e2022-3-1e.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2541-8912 https://doaj.org/toc/2713-2161 https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 2541-8912 2713-2161 https://doaj.org/article/dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb Геосистемы переходных зон, Vol 6, Iss 3, Pp 145-182 (2022) earthquake predictive methods mid-term prediction short-term prediction geophysical seismological precursors source-site model fault Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 Stratigraphy QE640-699 Engineering geology. Rock mechanics. Soil mechanics. Underground construction TA703-712 Petrology QE420-499 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 2022-12-30T21:35:41Z The review presents the most important results of investigations in the field of strong earthquakes predictions, which were published in scientific sources. The ways of further studies of seismic prognosis problem are involved into consideration, as well as the based theoretical model, to improve predictive methods and algorithms. One can follow the research transformation from initial (historical) articulation of this intriguing problem to its current state of the art, including modern approaches based on the data of seismological and geophysical monitoring, and as well as ionospheric and atmospheric surveys. Examples of successful earthquake predictions have been discussed and treated from viewpoint of the potential of used methods, at least for some regions (for example, Sakhalin and Kamchatka). It is assumed that the predictions, which were realized due to certain algorithms and/or working precursors rather than random guessing, are able to weaken the pessimist side in the discussion: are earthquakes predictable or unpredictable in principle. Article in Journal/Newspaper Kamchatka Sakhalin Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Geosystems of Transition Zones 6 3 145 182 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English Russian |
topic |
earthquake predictive methods mid-term prediction short-term prediction geophysical seismological precursors source-site model fault Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 Stratigraphy QE640-699 Engineering geology. Rock mechanics. Soil mechanics. Underground construction TA703-712 Petrology QE420-499 |
spellingShingle |
earthquake predictive methods mid-term prediction short-term prediction geophysical seismological precursors source-site model fault Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 Stratigraphy QE640-699 Engineering geology. Rock mechanics. Soil mechanics. Underground construction TA703-712 Petrology QE420-499 Leonid M. Bogomolov Nailia A. Sycheva Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
topic_facet |
earthquake predictive methods mid-term prediction short-term prediction geophysical seismological precursors source-site model fault Dynamic and structural geology QE500-639.5 Stratigraphy QE640-699 Engineering geology. Rock mechanics. Soil mechanics. Underground construction TA703-712 Petrology QE420-499 |
description |
The review presents the most important results of investigations in the field of strong earthquakes predictions, which were published in scientific sources. The ways of further studies of seismic prognosis problem are involved into consideration, as well as the based theoretical model, to improve predictive methods and algorithms. One can follow the research transformation from initial (historical) articulation of this intriguing problem to its current state of the art, including modern approaches based on the data of seismological and geophysical monitoring, and as well as ionospheric and atmospheric surveys. Examples of successful earthquake predictions have been discussed and treated from viewpoint of the potential of used methods, at least for some regions (for example, Sakhalin and Kamchatka). It is assumed that the predictions, which were realized due to certain algorithms and/or working precursors rather than random guessing, are able to weaken the pessimist side in the discussion: are earthquakes predictable or unpredictable in principle. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Leonid M. Bogomolov Nailia A. Sycheva |
author_facet |
Leonid M. Bogomolov Nailia A. Sycheva |
author_sort |
Leonid M. Bogomolov |
title |
Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
title_short |
Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
title_full |
Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
title_fullStr |
Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
title_full_unstemmed |
Earthquake predictions in XXI century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
title_sort |
earthquake predictions in xxi century: prehistory and concepts, precursors and problems |
publisher |
Дальневосточного отделения Российской академии наук, Южно-Сахалинск, Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт морской геологии и геофизики |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 https://doaj.org/article/dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb |
genre |
Kamchatka Sakhalin |
genre_facet |
Kamchatka Sakhalin |
op_source |
Геосистемы переходных зон, Vol 6, Iss 3, Pp 145-182 (2022) |
op_relation |
http://journal.imgg.ru/web/full/f-e2022-3-1e.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2541-8912 https://doaj.org/toc/2713-2161 https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 2541-8912 2713-2161 https://doaj.org/article/dd80a7d530024c09b5e9cc0b08d6ccdb |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.30730/gtrz.2022.6.3.145-164.164-182 |
container_title |
Geosystems of Transition Zones |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
145 |
op_container_end_page |
182 |
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1766051491921002496 |