Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia
The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm act...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:d75a5ef8059c4cc8aad5bbaed782a587 2024-01-07T09:41:31+01:00 Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev 2021-02-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 https://doaj.org/article/d75a5ef8059c4cc8aad5bbaed782a587 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/5/648 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441 doi:10.3390/w13050648 2073-4441 https://doaj.org/article/d75a5ef8059c4cc8aad5bbaed782a587 Water, Vol 13, Iss 5, p 648 (2021) the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 2023-12-10T01:49:14Z The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm activity over the past 39 years in the Kara Sea. The paper presents the analysis of wave climate and storm activity in the Kara Sea based on the results of numerical modeling. A wave model WAVEWATCH III is used to reconstruct wind wave fields for the period from 1979 to 2017. The maximum significant wave height (SWH) for the whole period amounts to 9.9 m. The average long-term SWH for the ice-free period does not exceed 1.3 m. A significant linear trend shows an increase in the storm wave frequency for the period from 1979 to 2017. It is shown that trends in the storm activity of the Kara Sea are primarily regulated by the ice. Analysis of the extreme storm events showed that the Pareto distribution is in the best agreement with the data. However, the extreme events with an SWH more than 6‒7 m deviate from the Pareto distribution. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Kara Sea Water 13 5 648 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 |
spellingShingle |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
topic_facet |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III Hydraulic engineering TC1-978 Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes TD201-500 |
description |
The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm activity over the past 39 years in the Kara Sea. The paper presents the analysis of wave climate and storm activity in the Kara Sea based on the results of numerical modeling. A wave model WAVEWATCH III is used to reconstruct wind wave fields for the period from 1979 to 2017. The maximum significant wave height (SWH) for the whole period amounts to 9.9 m. The average long-term SWH for the ice-free period does not exceed 1.3 m. A significant linear trend shows an increase in the storm wave frequency for the period from 1979 to 2017. It is shown that trends in the storm activity of the Kara Sea are primarily regulated by the ice. Analysis of the extreme storm events showed that the Pareto distribution is in the best agreement with the data. However, the extreme events with an SWH more than 6‒7 m deviate from the Pareto distribution. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev |
author_facet |
Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev |
author_sort |
Stanislav Myslenkov |
title |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_short |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_full |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_fullStr |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_sort |
thirty-nine-year wave hindcast, storm activity, and probability analysis of storm waves in the kara sea, russia |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 https://doaj.org/article/d75a5ef8059c4cc8aad5bbaed782a587 |
geographic |
Arctic Kara Sea |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Kara Sea |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice |
op_source |
Water, Vol 13, Iss 5, p 648 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/5/648 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441 doi:10.3390/w13050648 2073-4441 https://doaj.org/article/d75a5ef8059c4cc8aad5bbaed782a587 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 |
container_title |
Water |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
648 |
_version_ |
1787422321438359552 |