Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models
Interdecadal change in the relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been documented by many studies. This study, utilizing the model outputs from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), evaluates the ability of the coupled mo...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:d2909e39c41249859a906cccb44ee9c8 2023-05-15T14:52:34+02:00 Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models Shuo LI Sheng-Ping HE Fei LI Hui-Jun WANG 2018-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/article/d2909e39c41249859a906cccb44ee9c8 EN eng KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/toc/1674-2834 https://doaj.org/toc/2376-6123 1674-2834 2376-6123 doi:10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/article/d2909e39c41249859a906cccb44ee9c8 Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, Vol 11, Iss 5, Pp 417-424 (2018) East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) CMIP5 interdecadal change Environmental sciences GE1-350 Oceanography GC1-1581 article 2018 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 2022-12-31T13:38:46Z Interdecadal change in the relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been documented by many studies. This study, utilizing the model outputs from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), evaluates the ability of the coupled models in CMIP5 to capture the intensified relationship between the EAWM and winter AO since the 1980s, and further projects the evolution of the EAWM–AO relationship during the 21st century. It is found that the observed evolution of the EAWM–AO relationship can be reproduced well by some coupled models (e.g., GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H, and MPI-ESM-MR). The coupled models’ simulations indicate that the impact of winter AO on the EAWM-related circulation and East Asian winter temperature has strengthened since the 1980s. Such interdecadal change in the EAWM–AO relationship is attributed to the intensified propagation of stationary planetary waves associated with winter AO. Projections under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios suggest that the EAWM–AO relationship is significant before the 2030s and after the early 2070s, and insignificant during the 2060s, but uncertain from the 2030s to the 2050s. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 11 5 417 424 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) CMIP5 interdecadal change Environmental sciences GE1-350 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
spellingShingle |
East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) CMIP5 interdecadal change Environmental sciences GE1-350 Oceanography GC1-1581 Shuo LI Sheng-Ping HE Fei LI Hui-Jun WANG Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
topic_facet |
East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) CMIP5 interdecadal change Environmental sciences GE1-350 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
description |
Interdecadal change in the relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been documented by many studies. This study, utilizing the model outputs from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), evaluates the ability of the coupled models in CMIP5 to capture the intensified relationship between the EAWM and winter AO since the 1980s, and further projects the evolution of the EAWM–AO relationship during the 21st century. It is found that the observed evolution of the EAWM–AO relationship can be reproduced well by some coupled models (e.g., GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H, and MPI-ESM-MR). The coupled models’ simulations indicate that the impact of winter AO on the EAWM-related circulation and East Asian winter temperature has strengthened since the 1980s. Such interdecadal change in the EAWM–AO relationship is attributed to the intensified propagation of stationary planetary waves associated with winter AO. Projections under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios suggest that the EAWM–AO relationship is significant before the 2030s and after the early 2070s, and insignificant during the 2060s, but uncertain from the 2030s to the 2050s. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Shuo LI Sheng-Ping HE Fei LI Hui-Jun WANG |
author_facet |
Shuo LI Sheng-Ping HE Fei LI Hui-Jun WANG |
author_sort |
Shuo LI |
title |
Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
title_short |
Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
title_full |
Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
title_fullStr |
Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Simulated and projected relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and winter Arctic Oscillation in CMIP5 models |
title_sort |
simulated and projected relationship between the east asian winter monsoon and winter arctic oscillation in cmip5 models |
publisher |
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/article/d2909e39c41249859a906cccb44ee9c8 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, Vol 11, Iss 5, Pp 417-424 (2018) |
op_relation |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/toc/1674-2834 https://doaj.org/toc/2376-6123 1674-2834 2376-6123 doi:10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 https://doaj.org/article/d2909e39c41249859a906cccb44ee9c8 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2018.1512356 |
container_title |
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters |
container_volume |
11 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
417 |
op_container_end_page |
424 |
_version_ |
1766323808631783424 |