Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones
The climatology of tropical cyclones is an immediate research need, specifically to better understand their long-term patterns and elucidate their future in a changing climate. One important pattern that has recently been detected is the poleward shift of the lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) of trop...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:d11c933b63a84e3486f77c51fc5be2ff 2023-05-15T17:29:13+02:00 Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Sarah A. Tennille Kelsey N. Ellis 2017-10-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8100198 https://doaj.org/article/d11c933b63a84e3486f77c51fc5be2ff EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/8/10/198 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433 2073-4433 doi:10.3390/atmos8100198 https://doaj.org/article/d11c933b63a84e3486f77c51fc5be2ff Atmosphere, Vol 8, Iss 10, p 198 (2017) hurricane maximum intensity wind speed climate change Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 article 2017 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8100198 2022-12-30T21:32:51Z The climatology of tropical cyclones is an immediate research need, specifically to better understand their long-term patterns and elucidate their future in a changing climate. One important pattern that has recently been detected is the poleward shift of the lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) of tropical cyclones. This study further assessed the recent (1977–2015) spatial changes in the LMI of tropical cyclones, specifically those of tropical storm strength or stronger in the North Atlantic and northern West Pacific basins. Analyses of moving decadal means suggested that LMI locations migrated south in the North Atlantic and north in the West Pacific. In addition to a linear trend, there is a cyclical migration of LMI that is especially apparent in the West Pacific. Relationships between LMI migration and intensity were explored, as well as LMI location relative to landfall. The southerly trend of LMI in the North Atlantic was most prevalent in the strongest storms, resulting in these storms reaching their LMI farther from land. The relationship between intensity and LMI migration in the West Pacific was not as clear, but the most intense storms have been reaching LMI closer to their eventual landfall location. This work adds to those emphasizing the importance of understanding the climatology of the most intense hurricanes and shows there are potential human impacts resulting from any migration of LMI. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Pacific Atmosphere 8 12 198 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
hurricane maximum intensity wind speed climate change Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
spellingShingle |
hurricane maximum intensity wind speed climate change Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Sarah A. Tennille Kelsey N. Ellis Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
topic_facet |
hurricane maximum intensity wind speed climate change Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
description |
The climatology of tropical cyclones is an immediate research need, specifically to better understand their long-term patterns and elucidate their future in a changing climate. One important pattern that has recently been detected is the poleward shift of the lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) of tropical cyclones. This study further assessed the recent (1977–2015) spatial changes in the LMI of tropical cyclones, specifically those of tropical storm strength or stronger in the North Atlantic and northern West Pacific basins. Analyses of moving decadal means suggested that LMI locations migrated south in the North Atlantic and north in the West Pacific. In addition to a linear trend, there is a cyclical migration of LMI that is especially apparent in the West Pacific. Relationships between LMI migration and intensity were explored, as well as LMI location relative to landfall. The southerly trend of LMI in the North Atlantic was most prevalent in the strongest storms, resulting in these storms reaching their LMI farther from land. The relationship between intensity and LMI migration in the West Pacific was not as clear, but the most intense storms have been reaching LMI closer to their eventual landfall location. This work adds to those emphasizing the importance of understanding the climatology of the most intense hurricanes and shows there are potential human impacts resulting from any migration of LMI. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Sarah A. Tennille Kelsey N. Ellis |
author_facet |
Sarah A. Tennille Kelsey N. Ellis |
author_sort |
Sarah A. Tennille |
title |
Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
title_short |
Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
title_full |
Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
title_fullStr |
Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones |
title_sort |
spatial and temporal trends in the location of the lifetime maximum intensity of tropical cyclones |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8100198 https://doaj.org/article/d11c933b63a84e3486f77c51fc5be2ff |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
Atmosphere, Vol 8, Iss 10, p 198 (2017) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/8/10/198 https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433 2073-4433 doi:10.3390/atmos8100198 https://doaj.org/article/d11c933b63a84e3486f77c51fc5be2ff |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8100198 |
container_title |
Atmosphere |
container_volume |
8 |
container_issue |
12 |
container_start_page |
198 |
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1766122871797579776 |