Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra
Vegetation productivity trends for the Arctic tundra are updated for the 1982–2011 period and examined in the context of land surface temperatures and coastal sea ice. Understanding mechanistic links between vegetation and climate parameters contributes to model advancements that are necessary for i...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5094229 https://doaj.org/article/d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 2023-05-15T14:46:04+02:00 Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra Igor V. Polyakov Compton J. Tucker Jorge E. Pinzon Howard E. Epstein Josefino C. Comiso Peter A. Bieniek Donald A. Walker Martha K. Raynolds Uma S. Bhatt 2013-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5094229 https://doaj.org/article/d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 EN eng MDPI AG http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/5/9/4229 https://doaj.org/toc/2072-4292 doi:10.3390/rs5094229 2072-4292 https://doaj.org/article/d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 Remote Sensing, Vol 5, Iss 9, Pp 4229-4254 (2013) AVHRR NDVI3g tundra vegetation climate variability sea ice Arctic Science Q article 2013 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5094229 2022-12-31T16:09:44Z Vegetation productivity trends for the Arctic tundra are updated for the 1982–2011 period and examined in the context of land surface temperatures and coastal sea ice. Understanding mechanistic links between vegetation and climate parameters contributes to model advancements that are necessary for improving climate projections. This study employs remote sensing data: Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) Maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (MaxNDVI), Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) sea-ice concentrations, and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) radiometric surface temperatures. Spring sea ice is declining everywhere except in the Bering Sea, while summer open water area is increasing throughout the Arctic. Summer Warmth Index (SWI—sum of degree months above freezing) trends from 1982 to 2011 are positive around Beringia but are negative over Eurasia from the Barents to the Laptev Seas and in parts of northern Canada. Eastern North America continues to show increased summer warmth and a corresponding steady increase in MaxNDVI. Positive MaxNDVI trends from 1982 to 2011 are generally weaker compared to trends from 1982–2008. So to better understand the changing trends, break points in the time series were quantified using the Breakfit algorithm. The most notable break points identify declines in SWI since 2003 in Eurasia and 1998 in Western North America. The Time Integrated NDVI (TI-NDVI, sum of the biweekly growing season values of MaxNDVI) has declined since 2005 in Eurasia, consistent with SWI declines. Summer (June–August) sea level pressure (slp) averages from 1999–2011 were compared to those from 1982–1998 to reveal higher slp over Greenland and the western Arctic and generally lower pressure over the continental Arctic in the recent period. This suggests that the large-scale circulation is likely a key contributor to the cooler temperatures over Eurasia through increased summer cloud cover and warming in Eastern North America from more cloud-free skies. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Bering Sea Greenland laptev Sea ice Tundra Beringia Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Bering Sea Canada Greenland Remote Sensing 5 9 4229 4254 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
AVHRR NDVI3g tundra vegetation climate variability sea ice Arctic Science Q |
spellingShingle |
AVHRR NDVI3g tundra vegetation climate variability sea ice Arctic Science Q Igor V. Polyakov Compton J. Tucker Jorge E. Pinzon Howard E. Epstein Josefino C. Comiso Peter A. Bieniek Donald A. Walker Martha K. Raynolds Uma S. Bhatt Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
topic_facet |
AVHRR NDVI3g tundra vegetation climate variability sea ice Arctic Science Q |
description |
Vegetation productivity trends for the Arctic tundra are updated for the 1982–2011 period and examined in the context of land surface temperatures and coastal sea ice. Understanding mechanistic links between vegetation and climate parameters contributes to model advancements that are necessary for improving climate projections. This study employs remote sensing data: Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) Maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (MaxNDVI), Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) sea-ice concentrations, and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) radiometric surface temperatures. Spring sea ice is declining everywhere except in the Bering Sea, while summer open water area is increasing throughout the Arctic. Summer Warmth Index (SWI—sum of degree months above freezing) trends from 1982 to 2011 are positive around Beringia but are negative over Eurasia from the Barents to the Laptev Seas and in parts of northern Canada. Eastern North America continues to show increased summer warmth and a corresponding steady increase in MaxNDVI. Positive MaxNDVI trends from 1982 to 2011 are generally weaker compared to trends from 1982–2008. So to better understand the changing trends, break points in the time series were quantified using the Breakfit algorithm. The most notable break points identify declines in SWI since 2003 in Eurasia and 1998 in Western North America. The Time Integrated NDVI (TI-NDVI, sum of the biweekly growing season values of MaxNDVI) has declined since 2005 in Eurasia, consistent with SWI declines. Summer (June–August) sea level pressure (slp) averages from 1999–2011 were compared to those from 1982–1998 to reveal higher slp over Greenland and the western Arctic and generally lower pressure over the continental Arctic in the recent period. This suggests that the large-scale circulation is likely a key contributor to the cooler temperatures over Eurasia through increased summer cloud cover and warming in Eastern North America from more cloud-free skies. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Igor V. Polyakov Compton J. Tucker Jorge E. Pinzon Howard E. Epstein Josefino C. Comiso Peter A. Bieniek Donald A. Walker Martha K. Raynolds Uma S. Bhatt |
author_facet |
Igor V. Polyakov Compton J. Tucker Jorge E. Pinzon Howard E. Epstein Josefino C. Comiso Peter A. Bieniek Donald A. Walker Martha K. Raynolds Uma S. Bhatt |
author_sort |
Igor V. Polyakov |
title |
Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
title_short |
Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
title_full |
Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
title_fullStr |
Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
title_full_unstemmed |
Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra |
title_sort |
recent declines in warming and vegetation greening trends over pan-arctic tundra |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5094229 https://doaj.org/article/d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 |
geographic |
Arctic Bering Sea Canada Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Canada Greenland |
genre |
Arctic Bering Sea Greenland laptev Sea ice Tundra Beringia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Greenland laptev Sea ice Tundra Beringia |
op_source |
Remote Sensing, Vol 5, Iss 9, Pp 4229-4254 (2013) |
op_relation |
http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/5/9/4229 https://doaj.org/toc/2072-4292 doi:10.3390/rs5094229 2072-4292 https://doaj.org/article/d08a79362a83405b92ab47c4378e7431 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5094229 |
container_title |
Remote Sensing |
container_volume |
5 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
4229 |
op_container_end_page |
4254 |
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1766317344448053248 |