Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards
Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://doaj.org/article/c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 2023-09-05T13:23:05+02:00 Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards Cléa Denamiel Danijel Belušić Petra Zemunik Ivica Vilibić 2023-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://doaj.org/article/c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 EN eng Frontiers Media S.A. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863/full https://doaj.org/toc/2296-7745 2296-7745 doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://doaj.org/article/c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 10 (2023) meteotsunami hazard assessments synoptic index downscaling climate uncertainty climate projections Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 2023-08-20T00:34:43Z Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated by mesoscale atmospheric processes – are properly captured only by sub-kilometre-scale downscaling of these models. However, the computational cost of long-term high-resolution climate simulations providing accurate meteotsunami hazard assessments would be prohibitive. In this article, to overcome this deficiency, we present a new methodology allowing to project sub-kilometre-scale meteotsunami hazards and their climate uncertainties at any location in the world. Practically, the methodology uses (1) synoptic indices to preselect a substantial number of short-term meteotsunami episodes and (2) a suite of atmospheric and oceanic models to downscale them from an ensemble of global models to the sub-kilometre-scale. Such approach, using hundreds of events to build robust statistics, could allow for an objective assessment of the meteotsunami hazards at the climate scale which, on top of sea level rise and storm surge hazards, is crucial for building adaptation plans to protect coastal communities worldwide. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Frontiers in Marine Science 10 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
meteotsunami hazard assessments synoptic index downscaling climate uncertainty climate projections Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 |
spellingShingle |
meteotsunami hazard assessments synoptic index downscaling climate uncertainty climate projections Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 Cléa Denamiel Danijel Belušić Petra Zemunik Ivica Vilibić Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
topic_facet |
meteotsunami hazard assessments synoptic index downscaling climate uncertainty climate projections Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 |
description |
Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated by mesoscale atmospheric processes – are properly captured only by sub-kilometre-scale downscaling of these models. However, the computational cost of long-term high-resolution climate simulations providing accurate meteotsunami hazard assessments would be prohibitive. In this article, to overcome this deficiency, we present a new methodology allowing to project sub-kilometre-scale meteotsunami hazards and their climate uncertainties at any location in the world. Practically, the methodology uses (1) synoptic indices to preselect a substantial number of short-term meteotsunami episodes and (2) a suite of atmospheric and oceanic models to downscale them from an ensemble of global models to the sub-kilometre-scale. Such approach, using hundreds of events to build robust statistics, could allow for an objective assessment of the meteotsunami hazards at the climate scale which, on top of sea level rise and storm surge hazards, is crucial for building adaptation plans to protect coastal communities worldwide. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cléa Denamiel Danijel Belušić Petra Zemunik Ivica Vilibić |
author_facet |
Cléa Denamiel Danijel Belušić Petra Zemunik Ivica Vilibić |
author_sort |
Cléa Denamiel |
title |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_short |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_full |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_fullStr |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_sort |
climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
publisher |
Frontiers Media S.A. |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://doaj.org/article/c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 10 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863/full https://doaj.org/toc/2296-7745 2296-7745 doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://doaj.org/article/c4413adb5248425fa362a1c1b20ec670 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Marine Science |
container_volume |
10 |
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1776203665048076288 |