Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia.
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), dengue is the most common acute arthropod-borne viral infection in the world. The spread of dengue and other infectious diseases is closely related to human activity and mobility. In this paper we analyze the effect of introducing mobility restrictio...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:bc209a056fa34bcfa568736db8aec39b 2024-01-28T10:04:03+01:00 Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. Carolina Ospina-Aguirre David Soriano-Paños Gerard Olivar-Tost Cristian C Galindo-González Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes Gustavo Osorio 2023-11-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 https://doaj.org/article/bc209a056fa34bcfa568736db8aec39b EN eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087&type=printable https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2727 https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2735 1935-2727 1935-2735 doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 https://doaj.org/article/bc209a056fa34bcfa568736db8aec39b PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol 17, Iss 11, p e0011087 (2023) Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 2023-12-31T01:49:22Z According to the World Health Organization (WHO), dengue is the most common acute arthropod-borne viral infection in the world. The spread of dengue and other infectious diseases is closely related to human activity and mobility. In this paper we analyze the effect of introducing mobility restrictions as a public health policy on the total number of dengue cases within a population. To perform the analysis, we use a complex metapopulation in which we implement a compartmental propagation model coupled with the mobility of individuals between the patches. This model is used to investigate the spread of dengue in the municipalities of Caldas (CO). Two scenarios corresponding to different types of mobility restrictions are applied. In the first scenario, the effect of restricting mobility is analyzed in three different ways: a) limiting the access to the endemic node but allowing the movement of its inhabitants, b) restricting the diaspora of the inhabitants of the endemic node but allowing the access of outsiders, and c) a total isolation of the inhabitants of the endemic node. In this scenario, the best simulation results are obtained when specific endemic nodes are isolated during a dengue outbreak, obtaining a reduction of up to 2.5% of dengue cases. Finally, the second scenario simulates a total isolation of the network, i.e., mobility between nodes is completely limited. We have found that this control measure increases the number of total dengue cases in the network by 2.36%. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 17 11 e0011087 |
institution |
Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 |
spellingShingle |
Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Carolina Ospina-Aguirre David Soriano-Paños Gerard Olivar-Tost Cristian C Galindo-González Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes Gustavo Osorio Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
topic_facet |
Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 |
description |
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), dengue is the most common acute arthropod-borne viral infection in the world. The spread of dengue and other infectious diseases is closely related to human activity and mobility. In this paper we analyze the effect of introducing mobility restrictions as a public health policy on the total number of dengue cases within a population. To perform the analysis, we use a complex metapopulation in which we implement a compartmental propagation model coupled with the mobility of individuals between the patches. This model is used to investigate the spread of dengue in the municipalities of Caldas (CO). Two scenarios corresponding to different types of mobility restrictions are applied. In the first scenario, the effect of restricting mobility is analyzed in three different ways: a) limiting the access to the endemic node but allowing the movement of its inhabitants, b) restricting the diaspora of the inhabitants of the endemic node but allowing the access of outsiders, and c) a total isolation of the inhabitants of the endemic node. In this scenario, the best simulation results are obtained when specific endemic nodes are isolated during a dengue outbreak, obtaining a reduction of up to 2.5% of dengue cases. Finally, the second scenario simulates a total isolation of the network, i.e., mobility between nodes is completely limited. We have found that this control measure increases the number of total dengue cases in the network by 2.36%. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Carolina Ospina-Aguirre David Soriano-Paños Gerard Olivar-Tost Cristian C Galindo-González Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes Gustavo Osorio |
author_facet |
Carolina Ospina-Aguirre David Soriano-Paños Gerard Olivar-Tost Cristian C Galindo-González Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes Gustavo Osorio |
author_sort |
Carolina Ospina-Aguirre |
title |
Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
title_short |
Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
title_full |
Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
title_fullStr |
Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effects of human mobility on the spread of Dengue in the region of Caldas, Colombia. |
title_sort |
effects of human mobility on the spread of dengue in the region of caldas, colombia. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 https://doaj.org/article/bc209a056fa34bcfa568736db8aec39b |
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Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
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PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol 17, Iss 11, p e0011087 (2023) |
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https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087&type=printable https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2727 https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2735 1935-2727 1935-2735 doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 https://doaj.org/article/bc209a056fa34bcfa568736db8aec39b |
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https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011087 |
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PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases |
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