Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes
The paper describes tendencies in changes of air temperature in Poland and Ukraine on the basis of a long series of measurements made in Warsaw (1779–2000), Cracow (1826–2000), Lviv (1824–2002) and Kiev (1812–2002). Air temperature in these cities in the years 1825–2002 is positively correlated with...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:bc061ecb240c43818b9dfec9e6d8d2a0 2023-05-15T17:33:32+02:00 Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes Boryczka Jerzy Stopa-Boryczka Maria Mucha Bohdan 2008-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/article/bc061ecb240c43818b9dfec9e6d8d2a0 EN eng Sciendo https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/toc/2084-6118 2084-6118 doi:10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/article/bc061ecb240c43818b9dfec9e6d8d2a0 Miscellanea Geographica: Regional Studies on Development, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 77-88 (2008) air temperature nao solar activity spectrum periods tendencies forecast Geography (General) G1-922 article 2008 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 2022-12-31T06:45:25Z The paper describes tendencies in changes of air temperature in Poland and Ukraine on the basis of a long series of measurements made in Warsaw (1779–2000), Cracow (1826–2000), Lviv (1824–2002) and Kiev (1812–2002). Air temperature in these cities in the years 1825–2002 is positively correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index. Values of the r correlation coefficient are much higher in winter months than during the summer and they decrease with distance from the Atlantic Ocean. Of interest are air temperature changes in Warsaw, Cracow, Lviv and Kiev in the XIXth –XXth centuries together with forecasts until the year 2100. Significant dependence of the climate of Poland and Ukraine on the NAO index stems from similar temperature cycles and the eight-year, eleven-year and one-hundred-year NAO index. Forecast credibility results from the similar periodicity of air temperature, the NAO index and solar activity. The forecast mean annual temperature values for 2001–2100 were obtained from the interference of statistically important temperature cycles, determined by the sinusoidal regression method. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Miscellanea Geographica 13 1 77 88 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
air temperature nao solar activity spectrum periods tendencies forecast Geography (General) G1-922 |
spellingShingle |
air temperature nao solar activity spectrum periods tendencies forecast Geography (General) G1-922 Boryczka Jerzy Stopa-Boryczka Maria Mucha Bohdan Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
topic_facet |
air temperature nao solar activity spectrum periods tendencies forecast Geography (General) G1-922 |
description |
The paper describes tendencies in changes of air temperature in Poland and Ukraine on the basis of a long series of measurements made in Warsaw (1779–2000), Cracow (1826–2000), Lviv (1824–2002) and Kiev (1812–2002). Air temperature in these cities in the years 1825–2002 is positively correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index. Values of the r correlation coefficient are much higher in winter months than during the summer and they decrease with distance from the Atlantic Ocean. Of interest are air temperature changes in Warsaw, Cracow, Lviv and Kiev in the XIXth –XXth centuries together with forecasts until the year 2100. Significant dependence of the climate of Poland and Ukraine on the NAO index stems from similar temperature cycles and the eight-year, eleven-year and one-hundred-year NAO index. Forecast credibility results from the similar periodicity of air temperature, the NAO index and solar activity. The forecast mean annual temperature values for 2001–2100 were obtained from the interference of statistically important temperature cycles, determined by the sinusoidal regression method. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Boryczka Jerzy Stopa-Boryczka Maria Mucha Bohdan |
author_facet |
Boryczka Jerzy Stopa-Boryczka Maria Mucha Bohdan |
author_sort |
Boryczka Jerzy |
title |
Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
title_short |
Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
title_full |
Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
title_fullStr |
Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tendencies in Climate Changes in Poland and Ukraine During the Last Centuries and Their Causes |
title_sort |
tendencies in climate changes in poland and ukraine during the last centuries and their causes |
publisher |
Sciendo |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/article/bc061ecb240c43818b9dfec9e6d8d2a0 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Miscellanea Geographica: Regional Studies on Development, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 77-88 (2008) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/toc/2084-6118 2084-6118 doi:10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 https://doaj.org/article/bc061ecb240c43818b9dfec9e6d8d2a0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2008-0008 |
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Miscellanea Geographica |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
77 |
op_container_end_page |
88 |
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1766132068790566912 |