North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice
While the relationship between the Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude winter climate has been well discussed, especially on the seasonal mean scale, it remains unclear whether the Arctic sea ice condition affects the predictability of North American cold weather on the subseasonal time scale. Here...
Published in: | Environmental Research Letters |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 https://doaj.org/article/ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b 2023-09-05T13:16:59+02:00 North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice Pengfei Zhang Yutian Wu Gang Chen Yueyue Yu 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 https://doaj.org/article/ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b EN eng IOP Publishing https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b Environmental Research Letters, Vol 15, Iss 12, p 124017 (2020) sudden stratospheric warming Barents-Kara Sea sea ice North American cold events Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 2023-08-13T00:37:14Z While the relationship between the Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude winter climate has been well discussed, especially on the seasonal mean scale, it remains unclear whether the Arctic sea ice condition affects the predictability of North American cold weather on the subseasonal time scale. Here we find that, in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea (BKS) sea ice, sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) can favor surface cold spells over North America at the subseasonal timescale based on observations and model experiments. A persistent ridge of wave-2 pattern emerges over the Bering Sea-Gulf of Alaska several weeks after the SSW onset, with a coherent structure from the stratosphere to the surface, which, in turn, is conducive to synoptic cold air outbreaks in Canada and midwestern USA. This highlights a planetary wave pathway relating to BKS sea ice changes, by which the stratospheric polar vortex impacts the regional surface temperature on the subseasonal scale. In contrast, this mechanism does not occur with positive BKS sea ice anomaly. These findings help to improve the subseasonal predictability over North America, especially under the background of rapid change of Arctic sea ice in a warming world. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Bering Sea Kara Sea Sea ice Alaska Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Bering Sea Canada Gulf of Alaska Kara Sea Environmental Research Letters 15 12 124017 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
sudden stratospheric warming Barents-Kara Sea sea ice North American cold events Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
spellingShingle |
sudden stratospheric warming Barents-Kara Sea sea ice North American cold events Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 Pengfei Zhang Yutian Wu Gang Chen Yueyue Yu North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
topic_facet |
sudden stratospheric warming Barents-Kara Sea sea ice North American cold events Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
description |
While the relationship between the Arctic sea ice loss and midlatitude winter climate has been well discussed, especially on the seasonal mean scale, it remains unclear whether the Arctic sea ice condition affects the predictability of North American cold weather on the subseasonal time scale. Here we find that, in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea (BKS) sea ice, sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) can favor surface cold spells over North America at the subseasonal timescale based on observations and model experiments. A persistent ridge of wave-2 pattern emerges over the Bering Sea-Gulf of Alaska several weeks after the SSW onset, with a coherent structure from the stratosphere to the surface, which, in turn, is conducive to synoptic cold air outbreaks in Canada and midwestern USA. This highlights a planetary wave pathway relating to BKS sea ice changes, by which the stratospheric polar vortex impacts the regional surface temperature on the subseasonal scale. In contrast, this mechanism does not occur with positive BKS sea ice anomaly. These findings help to improve the subseasonal predictability over North America, especially under the background of rapid change of Arctic sea ice in a warming world. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Pengfei Zhang Yutian Wu Gang Chen Yueyue Yu |
author_facet |
Pengfei Zhang Yutian Wu Gang Chen Yueyue Yu |
author_sort |
Pengfei Zhang |
title |
North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
title_short |
North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
title_full |
North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
title_fullStr |
North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
title_full_unstemmed |
North American cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low Barents-Kara Sea sea ice |
title_sort |
north american cold events following sudden stratospheric warming in the presence of low barents-kara sea sea ice |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 https://doaj.org/article/ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b |
geographic |
Arctic Bering Sea Canada Gulf of Alaska Kara Sea |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Canada Gulf of Alaska Kara Sea |
genre |
Arctic Bering Sea Kara Sea Sea ice Alaska |
genre_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Kara Sea Sea ice Alaska |
op_source |
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 15, Iss 12, p 124017 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/ba386ac9ceff4d53a79e6d4b2e0d258b |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc215 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
12 |
container_start_page |
124017 |
_version_ |
1776198355885490176 |