Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice
Global warming has accelerated the melting of Arctic sea ice, providing favorable conditions for Arctic shipping. Arctic ports are gaining prominence in shipping networks and international trade. Accessibility is a key indicator of port facilitation, and identifying trends in Arctic port accessibili...
Published in: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
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MDPI AG
2023
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12010054 https://doaj.org/article/b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 2024-02-27T08:36:30+00:00 Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice Ran Zhang Yi Zuo Zhuo Sun Shuang Cong 2023-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12010054 https://doaj.org/article/b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/1/54 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse12010054 2077-1312 https://doaj.org/article/b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 12, Iss 1, p 54 (2023) Northen Sea Route Arctic port accessibility Chinese ports sea ice Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12010054 2024-01-28T01:40:50Z Global warming has accelerated the melting of Arctic sea ice, providing favorable conditions for Arctic shipping. Arctic ports are gaining prominence in shipping networks and international trade. Accessibility is a key indicator of port facilitation, and identifying trends in Arctic port accessibility holds significance for Arctic route planning and port development. To achieve this, this paper develops a modeling framework for assessing the accessibility of Arctic ports. First, we utilize the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) model to predict sea ice conditions and quantify the navigation risk for open water (OW) vessels and Arc4 ice-class (Arc4) vessels during the summer months of 2030–2050. The A-star (A*) algorithm is then used to plan the vessel’s shortest route while avoiding high-risk waters. Finally, changes in the accessibility of Arctic ports are calculated by using an improved gravity model. The framework is applied for the quantitative analysis of the accessibility of Chinese coastal ports to Arctic ports. The results indicate that accessibility to Arctic ports will gradually increase for all Chinese ports in the future, with the port of Shanghai continuing to maintain its prominence under the trend of melting sea ice. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Global warming Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 12 1 54 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Northen Sea Route Arctic port accessibility Chinese ports sea ice Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
spellingShingle |
Northen Sea Route Arctic port accessibility Chinese ports sea ice Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 Ran Zhang Yi Zuo Zhuo Sun Shuang Cong Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
topic_facet |
Northen Sea Route Arctic port accessibility Chinese ports sea ice Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
description |
Global warming has accelerated the melting of Arctic sea ice, providing favorable conditions for Arctic shipping. Arctic ports are gaining prominence in shipping networks and international trade. Accessibility is a key indicator of port facilitation, and identifying trends in Arctic port accessibility holds significance for Arctic route planning and port development. To achieve this, this paper develops a modeling framework for assessing the accessibility of Arctic ports. First, we utilize the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) model to predict sea ice conditions and quantify the navigation risk for open water (OW) vessels and Arc4 ice-class (Arc4) vessels during the summer months of 2030–2050. The A-star (A*) algorithm is then used to plan the vessel’s shortest route while avoiding high-risk waters. Finally, changes in the accessibility of Arctic ports are calculated by using an improved gravity model. The framework is applied for the quantitative analysis of the accessibility of Chinese coastal ports to Arctic ports. The results indicate that accessibility to Arctic ports will gradually increase for all Chinese ports in the future, with the port of Shanghai continuing to maintain its prominence under the trend of melting sea ice. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ran Zhang Yi Zuo Zhuo Sun Shuang Cong |
author_facet |
Ran Zhang Yi Zuo Zhuo Sun Shuang Cong |
author_sort |
Ran Zhang |
title |
Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
title_short |
Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
title_full |
Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
title_fullStr |
Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
title_full_unstemmed |
Changes in Accessibility of Chinese Coastal Ports to Arctic Ports under Melting Ice |
title_sort |
changes in accessibility of chinese coastal ports to arctic ports under melting ice |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12010054 https://doaj.org/article/b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Global warming Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Global warming Sea ice |
op_source |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 12, Iss 1, p 54 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/1/54 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse12010054 2077-1312 https://doaj.org/article/b30a27a6bdd44f35b9397f34bfe4d267 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12010054 |
container_title |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
54 |
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1792043400141209600 |