Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming
An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generali...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:9b8a61cf23244168b413dca7637ab84f 2023-05-15T17:32:46+02:00 Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming S.-E. Brunnabend H. A. Dijkstra M. A. Kliphuis H. E. Bal F. Seinstra B. van Werkhoven J. Maassen M. van Meersbergen 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://doaj.org/article/9b8a61cf23244168b413dca7637ab84f EN eng Copernicus Publications http://www.ocean-sci.net/13/47/2017/os-13-47-2017.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1812-0784 https://doaj.org/toc/1812-0792 1812-0784 1812-0792 doi:10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://doaj.org/article/9b8a61cf23244168b413dca7637ab84f Ocean Science, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 47-60 (2017) Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 article 2017 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 2022-12-30T22:42:20Z An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generalized extreme value theory. This model is forced with atmospheric fluxes from a coupled climate model which has been integrated under the IPCC-SRES-A1B scenario over the period 2000–2100. Changes in 10-year return time DSL extremes are very inhomogeneous over the globe and are related to changes in ocean currents and corresponding regional shifts in ocean eddy pathways. In this scenario, several regions in the North Atlantic experience an increase in mean DSL of up to 0.4 m over the period 2000–2100. DSL extremes with a 10-year return time increase up to 0.2 m with largest values in the northern and eastern Atlantic. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Ocean Science 13 1 47 60 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
spellingShingle |
Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 S.-E. Brunnabend H. A. Dijkstra M. A. Kliphuis H. E. Bal F. Seinstra B. van Werkhoven J. Maassen M. van Meersbergen Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
topic_facet |
Geography. Anthropology. Recreation G Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
description |
An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generalized extreme value theory. This model is forced with atmospheric fluxes from a coupled climate model which has been integrated under the IPCC-SRES-A1B scenario over the period 2000–2100. Changes in 10-year return time DSL extremes are very inhomogeneous over the globe and are related to changes in ocean currents and corresponding regional shifts in ocean eddy pathways. In this scenario, several regions in the North Atlantic experience an increase in mean DSL of up to 0.4 m over the period 2000–2100. DSL extremes with a 10-year return time increase up to 0.2 m with largest values in the northern and eastern Atlantic. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
S.-E. Brunnabend H. A. Dijkstra M. A. Kliphuis H. E. Bal F. Seinstra B. van Werkhoven J. Maassen M. van Meersbergen |
author_facet |
S.-E. Brunnabend H. A. Dijkstra M. A. Kliphuis H. E. Bal F. Seinstra B. van Werkhoven J. Maassen M. van Meersbergen |
author_sort |
S.-E. Brunnabend |
title |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_short |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_full |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_fullStr |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_sort |
changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://doaj.org/article/9b8a61cf23244168b413dca7637ab84f |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
Ocean Science, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 47-60 (2017) |
op_relation |
http://www.ocean-sci.net/13/47/2017/os-13-47-2017.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1812-0784 https://doaj.org/toc/1812-0792 1812-0784 1812-0792 doi:10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://doaj.org/article/9b8a61cf23244168b413dca7637ab84f |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 |
container_title |
Ocean Science |
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13 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
47 |
op_container_end_page |
60 |
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1766131032964202496 |