Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas
Abstract Sea level rise (SLR) will increase adaptation needs along low-lying coasts worldwide. Despite centuries of experience with coastal risk, knowledge about the effectiveness and feasibility of societal adaptation on the scale required in a warmer world remains limited. This paper contrasts end...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:99970ab5021e4550b56abd30a377c5cc 2023-05-15T15:02:33+02:00 Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas Alexandre K. Magnan Michael Oppenheimer Matthias Garschagen Maya K. Buchanan Virginie K. E. Duvat Donald L. Forbes James D. Ford Erwin Lambert Jan Petzold Fabrice G. Renaud Zita Sebesvari Roderik S. W. van de Wal Jochen Hinkel Hans-Otto Pörtner 2022-06-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w https://doaj.org/article/99970ab5021e4550b56abd30a377c5cc EN eng Nature Portfolio https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 doi:10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w 2045-2322 https://doaj.org/article/99970ab5021e4550b56abd30a377c5cc Scientific Reports, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-22 (2022) Medicine R Science Q article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w 2022-12-30T21:23:10Z Abstract Sea level rise (SLR) will increase adaptation needs along low-lying coasts worldwide. Despite centuries of experience with coastal risk, knowledge about the effectiveness and feasibility of societal adaptation on the scale required in a warmer world remains limited. This paper contrasts end-century SLR risks under two warming and two adaptation scenarios, for four coastal settlement archetypes (Urban Atoll Islands, Arctic Communities, Large Tropical Agricultural Deltas, Resource-Rich Cities). We show that adaptation will be substantially beneficial to the continued habitability of most low-lying settlements over this century, at least until the RCP8.5 median SLR level is reached. However, diverse locations worldwide will experience adaptation limits over the course of this century, indicating situations where even ambitious adaptation cannot sufficiently offset a failure to effectively mitigate greenhouse-gas emissions. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Scientific Reports 12 1 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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English |
topic |
Medicine R Science Q |
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Medicine R Science Q Alexandre K. Magnan Michael Oppenheimer Matthias Garschagen Maya K. Buchanan Virginie K. E. Duvat Donald L. Forbes James D. Ford Erwin Lambert Jan Petzold Fabrice G. Renaud Zita Sebesvari Roderik S. W. van de Wal Jochen Hinkel Hans-Otto Pörtner Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
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Medicine R Science Q |
description |
Abstract Sea level rise (SLR) will increase adaptation needs along low-lying coasts worldwide. Despite centuries of experience with coastal risk, knowledge about the effectiveness and feasibility of societal adaptation on the scale required in a warmer world remains limited. This paper contrasts end-century SLR risks under two warming and two adaptation scenarios, for four coastal settlement archetypes (Urban Atoll Islands, Arctic Communities, Large Tropical Agricultural Deltas, Resource-Rich Cities). We show that adaptation will be substantially beneficial to the continued habitability of most low-lying settlements over this century, at least until the RCP8.5 median SLR level is reached. However, diverse locations worldwide will experience adaptation limits over the course of this century, indicating situations where even ambitious adaptation cannot sufficiently offset a failure to effectively mitigate greenhouse-gas emissions. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Alexandre K. Magnan Michael Oppenheimer Matthias Garschagen Maya K. Buchanan Virginie K. E. Duvat Donald L. Forbes James D. Ford Erwin Lambert Jan Petzold Fabrice G. Renaud Zita Sebesvari Roderik S. W. van de Wal Jochen Hinkel Hans-Otto Pörtner |
author_facet |
Alexandre K. Magnan Michael Oppenheimer Matthias Garschagen Maya K. Buchanan Virginie K. E. Duvat Donald L. Forbes James D. Ford Erwin Lambert Jan Petzold Fabrice G. Renaud Zita Sebesvari Roderik S. W. van de Wal Jochen Hinkel Hans-Otto Pörtner |
author_sort |
Alexandre K. Magnan |
title |
Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
title_short |
Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
title_full |
Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
title_fullStr |
Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
title_full_unstemmed |
Sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
title_sort |
sea level rise risks and societal adaptation benefits in low-lying coastal areas |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w https://doaj.org/article/99970ab5021e4550b56abd30a377c5cc |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Scientific Reports, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-22 (2022) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 doi:10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w 2045-2322 https://doaj.org/article/99970ab5021e4550b56abd30a377c5cc |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14303-w |
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Scientific Reports |
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12 |
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1 |
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1766334495851544576 |