Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas
Understanding the mechanisms which determine the capacity of any species to adapt to changing environmental conditions is one of the foremost requirements in accurately predicting which populations, species and clades are likely to survive ongoing, rapid climate change. The polar oceans are amongst...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 https://doaj.org/article/9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 2023-05-15T18:18:04+02:00 Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas Simon A. Morley David K. A. Barnes Michael J. Dunn 2019-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 https://doaj.org/article/9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 EN eng Frontiers Media S.A. https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507/full https://doaj.org/toc/2296-7745 2296-7745 doi:10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 https://doaj.org/article/9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 5 (2019) climate change ecological risk assessment vulnerability physiological niche sea ice food webs Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 article 2019 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 2022-12-31T03:01:16Z Understanding the mechanisms which determine the capacity of any species to adapt to changing environmental conditions is one of the foremost requirements in accurately predicting which populations, species and clades are likely to survive ongoing, rapid climate change. The polar oceans are amongst the most rapidly changing environments on Earth with reduced regional sea ice duration and extent, and their fauna's expected sensitivity to warming and acidification. These changes potentially pose a significant threat to a number of polar fauna. There is, therefore, a critical need to assess the vulnerability of a wide range of species to determine the tipping points or weak links in marine assemblages. Knowledge of the effect of multiple stressors on polar marine fauna has advanced over the last 40 years, but there are still many data gaps. This study applies ecological risk assessment techniques to the increasing knowledge of polar species' physiological capacities to identify their exposure to climate change and their vulnerability to this exposure. This relatively rapid, semi-quantitative assessment provides a layer of vulnerability on top of climate envelope models, until such times as more extensive physiological data sets can be produced. The risk assessment identified more species that are likely to benefit from the near-future predicted change (the winners), especially predators and deposit feeders. Fewer species were scored at risk (the losers), although animals that feed on krill scored consistently as under the highest risk. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Frontiers in Marine Science 5 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
climate change ecological risk assessment vulnerability physiological niche sea ice food webs Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 |
spellingShingle |
climate change ecological risk assessment vulnerability physiological niche sea ice food webs Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 Simon A. Morley David K. A. Barnes Michael J. Dunn Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
topic_facet |
climate change ecological risk assessment vulnerability physiological niche sea ice food webs Science Q General. Including nature conservation geographical distribution QH1-199.5 |
description |
Understanding the mechanisms which determine the capacity of any species to adapt to changing environmental conditions is one of the foremost requirements in accurately predicting which populations, species and clades are likely to survive ongoing, rapid climate change. The polar oceans are amongst the most rapidly changing environments on Earth with reduced regional sea ice duration and extent, and their fauna's expected sensitivity to warming and acidification. These changes potentially pose a significant threat to a number of polar fauna. There is, therefore, a critical need to assess the vulnerability of a wide range of species to determine the tipping points or weak links in marine assemblages. Knowledge of the effect of multiple stressors on polar marine fauna has advanced over the last 40 years, but there are still many data gaps. This study applies ecological risk assessment techniques to the increasing knowledge of polar species' physiological capacities to identify their exposure to climate change and their vulnerability to this exposure. This relatively rapid, semi-quantitative assessment provides a layer of vulnerability on top of climate envelope models, until such times as more extensive physiological data sets can be produced. The risk assessment identified more species that are likely to benefit from the near-future predicted change (the winners), especially predators and deposit feeders. Fewer species were scored at risk (the losers), although animals that feed on krill scored consistently as under the highest risk. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Simon A. Morley David K. A. Barnes Michael J. Dunn |
author_facet |
Simon A. Morley David K. A. Barnes Michael J. Dunn |
author_sort |
Simon A. Morley |
title |
Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
title_short |
Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
title_full |
Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
title_fullStr |
Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predicting Which Species Succeed in Climate-Forced Polar Seas |
title_sort |
predicting which species succeed in climate-forced polar seas |
publisher |
Frontiers Media S.A. |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 https://doaj.org/article/9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol 5 (2019) |
op_relation |
https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507/full https://doaj.org/toc/2296-7745 2296-7745 doi:10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 https://doaj.org/article/9862573a6bc046b39c14a63c8bc26ec1 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Marine Science |
container_volume |
5 |
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1766194308132634624 |