Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea
Wave climate change by the end of the 21st century (2075−2100) was investigated using a regional wave climate projection under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The performance of the historical run (1980−2005) in representing the present wave climate was assessed when compared with in situ (e.g., GTS) and remo...
Published in: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
MDPI AG
2019
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7060166 https://doaj.org/article/96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad 2023-05-15T17:41:34+02:00 Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea Antonio Bonaduce Joanna Staneva Arno Behrens Jean-Raymond Bidlot Renate Anna Irma Wilcke 2019-05-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7060166 https://doaj.org/article/96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/7/6/166 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse7060166 https://doaj.org/article/96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 7, Iss 6, p 166 (2019) wave climate climate change WAM ERA5 in situ data satellite altimetry Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 article 2019 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7060166 2022-12-31T07:29:59Z Wave climate change by the end of the 21st century (2075−2100) was investigated using a regional wave climate projection under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The performance of the historical run (1980−2005) in representing the present wave climate was assessed when compared with in situ (e.g., GTS) and remote sensing (i.e., Jason-1) observations and wave hindcasts (e.g., ERA5-hindcast). Compared with significant wave height observations in different subdomains, errors on the order of 20−30% were observed. A Principal Component (PC) analysis showed that the temporal leading modes obtained from in situ data were well correlated (0.9) with those from the historical run. Despite systematic differences (10%), the general features of the present wave climate were captured by the historical run. In the future climate projection, with respect to the historical run, similar wave climate change patterns were observed when considering both the mean and severe wave conditions, which were generally larger during summer. The range of variation in the projected extremes (±10%) was consistent with those observed in previous studies both at the global and regional spatial scales. The most interesting feature was the projected increase in extreme wind speed, surface Stokes drift speed and significant wave height in the Northeast Atlantic. On the other hand, a decrease was observed in the North Sea and the southern part of the Baltic Sea basin, while increased extreme values occurred in the Gulf of Bothnia during winter. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northeast Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 7 6 166 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
wave climate climate change WAM ERA5 in situ data satellite altimetry Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
spellingShingle |
wave climate climate change WAM ERA5 in situ data satellite altimetry Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 Antonio Bonaduce Joanna Staneva Arno Behrens Jean-Raymond Bidlot Renate Anna Irma Wilcke Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
topic_facet |
wave climate climate change WAM ERA5 in situ data satellite altimetry Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
description |
Wave climate change by the end of the 21st century (2075−2100) was investigated using a regional wave climate projection under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The performance of the historical run (1980−2005) in representing the present wave climate was assessed when compared with in situ (e.g., GTS) and remote sensing (i.e., Jason-1) observations and wave hindcasts (e.g., ERA5-hindcast). Compared with significant wave height observations in different subdomains, errors on the order of 20−30% were observed. A Principal Component (PC) analysis showed that the temporal leading modes obtained from in situ data were well correlated (0.9) with those from the historical run. Despite systematic differences (10%), the general features of the present wave climate were captured by the historical run. In the future climate projection, with respect to the historical run, similar wave climate change patterns were observed when considering both the mean and severe wave conditions, which were generally larger during summer. The range of variation in the projected extremes (±10%) was consistent with those observed in previous studies both at the global and regional spatial scales. The most interesting feature was the projected increase in extreme wind speed, surface Stokes drift speed and significant wave height in the Northeast Atlantic. On the other hand, a decrease was observed in the North Sea and the southern part of the Baltic Sea basin, while increased extreme values occurred in the Gulf of Bothnia during winter. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Antonio Bonaduce Joanna Staneva Arno Behrens Jean-Raymond Bidlot Renate Anna Irma Wilcke |
author_facet |
Antonio Bonaduce Joanna Staneva Arno Behrens Jean-Raymond Bidlot Renate Anna Irma Wilcke |
author_sort |
Antonio Bonaduce |
title |
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
title_short |
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
title_full |
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
title_fullStr |
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
title_full_unstemmed |
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea |
title_sort |
wave climate change in the north sea and baltic sea |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7060166 https://doaj.org/article/96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad |
genre |
Northeast Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northeast Atlantic |
op_source |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 7, Iss 6, p 166 (2019) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/7/6/166 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse7060166 https://doaj.org/article/96a355d3e6d048008cf28a9a5f2c32ad |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7060166 |
container_title |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
container_volume |
7 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
166 |
_version_ |
1766143199046270976 |