Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources
Objectives: To measure the effect of social distancing on reducing daily deaths, infections and hospital resources needed for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients during the first wave of the pandemic in Nordic countries. Methods: The observations of social distancing, daily deaths, infectio...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 https://doaj.org/article/92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d 2023-05-15T16:52:54+02:00 Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources Arshia Amiri 2021-04-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 https://doaj.org/article/92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d EN eng Elsevier http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352013221000351 https://doaj.org/toc/2352-0132 2352-0132 doi:10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 https://doaj.org/article/92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d International Journal of Nursing Sciences, Vol 8, Iss 2, Pp 145-151 (2021) COVID-19 Intensive care units Health resources Hospitalization Mortality Nursing staff Nursing RT1-120 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 2022-12-31T15:22:54Z Objectives: To measure the effect of social distancing on reducing daily deaths, infections and hospital resources needed for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients during the first wave of the pandemic in Nordic countries. Methods: The observations of social distancing, daily deaths, infections along with the needed hospital resources for COVID-19 patient hospitalizations including the numbers of all hospital beds, beds needed in ICUs and infection wards, nursing staffs needed in ICUs and infection wards were collected from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) by the University of Washington. The observations of social distancing were based on the reduction in human contact relative to background levels for each location quantified by cell phone mobility data collected from IHME. The weighted data per 100,000 population gathered in a 40-day period of the first wave of the pandemic in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. Statistical technique of panel data analysis is used to measure the associations between social distancing and COVID-19 indicators in long-run. Results: Results of dynamic long-run models confirm that a 1% rise in social distancing by reducing human contacts may decline daily deaths, daily infections, all hospital beds needed, beds/nurses needed in ICUs and beds/nurses needed in infection wards due COVID-19 pandemic by 1.13%, 15.26%, 1.10%, 1.17% and 1.89%, respectively. Moreover, results of error correction models verify that if the equilibriums between these series are disrupted by a sudden change in social distancing, the lengths of restoring back to equilibrium are 67, 62, 40, 22 and 49 days for daily deaths, daily infections, all hospital beds needed, nurses/beds needed in ICUs and nurses/beds needed in infection wards, respectively. Conclusion: Proper social distancing was a successful policy for tackling COVID-19 with falling mortality and infection rates as well as the needed hospital resources for patient hospitalizations in Nordic countries. The results ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Norway Ihme ENVELOPE(27.317,27.317,65.800,65.800) International Journal of Nursing Sciences 8 2 145 151 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
COVID-19 Intensive care units Health resources Hospitalization Mortality Nursing staff Nursing RT1-120 |
spellingShingle |
COVID-19 Intensive care units Health resources Hospitalization Mortality Nursing staff Nursing RT1-120 Arshia Amiri Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
topic_facet |
COVID-19 Intensive care units Health resources Hospitalization Mortality Nursing staff Nursing RT1-120 |
description |
Objectives: To measure the effect of social distancing on reducing daily deaths, infections and hospital resources needed for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients during the first wave of the pandemic in Nordic countries. Methods: The observations of social distancing, daily deaths, infections along with the needed hospital resources for COVID-19 patient hospitalizations including the numbers of all hospital beds, beds needed in ICUs and infection wards, nursing staffs needed in ICUs and infection wards were collected from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) by the University of Washington. The observations of social distancing were based on the reduction in human contact relative to background levels for each location quantified by cell phone mobility data collected from IHME. The weighted data per 100,000 population gathered in a 40-day period of the first wave of the pandemic in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. Statistical technique of panel data analysis is used to measure the associations between social distancing and COVID-19 indicators in long-run. Results: Results of dynamic long-run models confirm that a 1% rise in social distancing by reducing human contacts may decline daily deaths, daily infections, all hospital beds needed, beds/nurses needed in ICUs and beds/nurses needed in infection wards due COVID-19 pandemic by 1.13%, 15.26%, 1.10%, 1.17% and 1.89%, respectively. Moreover, results of error correction models verify that if the equilibriums between these series are disrupted by a sudden change in social distancing, the lengths of restoring back to equilibrium are 67, 62, 40, 22 and 49 days for daily deaths, daily infections, all hospital beds needed, nurses/beds needed in ICUs and nurses/beds needed in infection wards, respectively. Conclusion: Proper social distancing was a successful policy for tackling COVID-19 with falling mortality and infection rates as well as the needed hospital resources for patient hospitalizations in Nordic countries. The results ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Arshia Amiri |
author_facet |
Arshia Amiri |
author_sort |
Arshia Amiri |
title |
Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
title_short |
Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
title_full |
Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
title_fullStr |
Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
title_full_unstemmed |
Role of social distancing in tackling COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic in Nordic region: Evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
title_sort |
role of social distancing in tackling covid-19 during the first wave of pandemic in nordic region: evidence from daily deaths, infections and needed hospital resources |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 https://doaj.org/article/92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(27.317,27.317,65.800,65.800) |
geographic |
Norway Ihme |
geographic_facet |
Norway Ihme |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
International Journal of Nursing Sciences, Vol 8, Iss 2, Pp 145-151 (2021) |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352013221000351 https://doaj.org/toc/2352-0132 2352-0132 doi:10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 https://doaj.org/article/92e196e6093441698fee9694ca56c31d |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnss.2021.03.010 |
container_title |
International Journal of Nursing Sciences |
container_volume |
8 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
145 |
op_container_end_page |
151 |
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1766043378681643008 |