Magnitude of historical and expected changes of mammals' natural habitats in Eastern Eurasia based on the EEBIO (GLOBIO) modelling approach

• Published in: Proceedings of the Theriological School
• Main Authors: Vasyl Prydatko, Grygoriy Kolomytsev, Valeria Makarenko
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English; Russian; Ukrainian
• Published: National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. National Museum of Natural History 2010
• Subjects: mammals; gis; eurasia; ursus maritimus; ursus arctos; canis lupus; bern convention; Zoology; QL1-991; Canis lupus; Ursus arctos; Ursus maritimus
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.15407/ptt2010.10.040; https://doaj.org/article/92c60a73dba6421ca9ecc712fc06da56

In 2005–2006 we developed first in Ukraine 65 GISs (ArcMap 9x) based on new experience using remote sensing data (1 km…25 m) of 1993–2005. The set of maps was used for wide analysis of historical and expected expansion of mammals in the post-soviet Eastern Eurasia — EEBIO. These outcomes showed that final prediction-maps displayed changes better if GIS- operators transformed so many opinions of sciences that were possible and took into account diversity of RS and GIS data. Numbers of mistakes in historical textual ‘models’ correlated significantly with size of habitat areas of selected mammals: the bigger area ‘provokes’ more mistakes. The article contents examples concerning the historic and expected distribution of bears (Ursus maritimus, U. arctos) and wolf (Canis lupus).