High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections
Abstract We introduce Version 2 of our widely used 1-km Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930, 1931–1960, 1961–1990, and 1991–2020) are based on high-resolution, observation-based climatologies, while the f...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:89d396cc664b44a99a2dff1d7dddf6d5 2023-12-03T10:13:43+01:00 High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections Hylke E. Beck Tim R. McVicar Noemi Vergopolan Alexis Berg Nicholas J. Lutsko Ambroise Dufour Zhenzhong Zeng Xin Jiang Albert I. J. M. van Dijk Diego G. Miralles 2023-10-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 https://doaj.org/article/89d396cc664b44a99a2dff1d7dddf6d5 EN eng Nature Portfolio https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 https://doaj.org/toc/2052-4463 doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 2052-4463 https://doaj.org/article/89d396cc664b44a99a2dff1d7dddf6d5 Scientific Data, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2023) Science Q article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 2023-11-05T01:44:23Z Abstract We introduce Version 2 of our widely used 1-km Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930, 1931–1960, 1961–1990, and 1991–2020) are based on high-resolution, observation-based climatologies, while the future maps (encompassing 2041–2070 and 2071–2099) are based on downscaled and bias-corrected climate projections for seven shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs). We evaluated 67 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) and kept a subset of 42 with the most plausible CO2-induced warming rates. We estimate that from 1901–1930 to 1991–2020, approximately 5% of the global land surface (excluding Antarctica) transitioned to a different major Köppen-Geiger class. Furthermore, we project that from 1991–2020 to 2071–2099, 5% of the land surface will transition to a different major class under the low-emissions SSP1-2.6 scenario, 8% under the middle-of-the-road SSP2-4.5 scenario, and 13% under the high-emissions SSP5-8.5 scenario. The Köppen-Geiger maps, along with associated confidence estimates, underlying monthly air temperature and precipitation data, and sensitivity metrics for the CMIP6 models, can be accessed at www.gloh2o.org/koppen . Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Geiger ENVELOPE(-62.900,-62.900,-64.300,-64.300) Koppen ENVELOPE(13.327,13.327,66.509,66.509) Scientific Data 10 1 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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English |
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Science Q |
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Science Q Hylke E. Beck Tim R. McVicar Noemi Vergopolan Alexis Berg Nicholas J. Lutsko Ambroise Dufour Zhenzhong Zeng Xin Jiang Albert I. J. M. van Dijk Diego G. Miralles High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
topic_facet |
Science Q |
description |
Abstract We introduce Version 2 of our widely used 1-km Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930, 1931–1960, 1961–1990, and 1991–2020) are based on high-resolution, observation-based climatologies, while the future maps (encompassing 2041–2070 and 2071–2099) are based on downscaled and bias-corrected climate projections for seven shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs). We evaluated 67 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) and kept a subset of 42 with the most plausible CO2-induced warming rates. We estimate that from 1901–1930 to 1991–2020, approximately 5% of the global land surface (excluding Antarctica) transitioned to a different major Köppen-Geiger class. Furthermore, we project that from 1991–2020 to 2071–2099, 5% of the land surface will transition to a different major class under the low-emissions SSP1-2.6 scenario, 8% under the middle-of-the-road SSP2-4.5 scenario, and 13% under the high-emissions SSP5-8.5 scenario. The Köppen-Geiger maps, along with associated confidence estimates, underlying monthly air temperature and precipitation data, and sensitivity metrics for the CMIP6 models, can be accessed at www.gloh2o.org/koppen . |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hylke E. Beck Tim R. McVicar Noemi Vergopolan Alexis Berg Nicholas J. Lutsko Ambroise Dufour Zhenzhong Zeng Xin Jiang Albert I. J. M. van Dijk Diego G. Miralles |
author_facet |
Hylke E. Beck Tim R. McVicar Noemi Vergopolan Alexis Berg Nicholas J. Lutsko Ambroise Dufour Zhenzhong Zeng Xin Jiang Albert I. J. M. van Dijk Diego G. Miralles |
author_sort |
Hylke E. Beck |
title |
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
title_short |
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
title_full |
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
title_fullStr |
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
title_full_unstemmed |
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections |
title_sort |
high-resolution (1 km) köppen-geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained cmip6 projections |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 https://doaj.org/article/89d396cc664b44a99a2dff1d7dddf6d5 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-62.900,-62.900,-64.300,-64.300) ENVELOPE(13.327,13.327,66.509,66.509) |
geographic |
Geiger Koppen |
geographic_facet |
Geiger Koppen |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_source |
Scientific Data, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 https://doaj.org/toc/2052-4463 doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 2052-4463 https://doaj.org/article/89d396cc664b44a99a2dff1d7dddf6d5 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6 |
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Scientific Data |
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10 |
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1 |
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