Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf
Abstract Calanus finmarchicus is vital to pelagic ecosystems in the North Atlantic Ocean. Previous studies suggest the species is vulnerable to the effects of global warming, particularly on the Northeast U.S. Shelf, which is in the southern portion of its range. In this study, we evaluate an ensemb...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 https://doaj.org/article/8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad 2023-05-15T15:47:55+02:00 Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf Brian D. Grieve Jon A. Hare Vincent S. Saba 2017-07-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 https://doaj.org/article/8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad EN eng Nature Portfolio https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 2045-2322 https://doaj.org/article/8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad Scientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2017) Medicine R Science Q article 2017 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 2022-12-31T07:07:35Z Abstract Calanus finmarchicus is vital to pelagic ecosystems in the North Atlantic Ocean. Previous studies suggest the species is vulnerable to the effects of global warming, particularly on the Northeast U.S. Shelf, which is in the southern portion of its range. In this study, we evaluate an ensemble of six different downscaled climate models and a high-resolution global climate model, and create a generalized additive model (GAM) to examine how future changes in temperature and salinity could affect the distribution and density of C. finmarchicus. By 2081–2100, we project average C. finmarchicus density will decrease by as much as 50% under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. These decreases are particularly pronounced in the spring and summer in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank. When compared to a high-resolution global climate model, the ensemble showed a more uniform change throughout the Northeast U.S. Shelf, while the high-resolution model showed larger decreases in the Northeast Channel, Shelf Break, and Central Gulf of Maine. C. finmarchicus is an important link between primary production and higher trophic levels, and the decrease projected here could be detrimental to the North Atlantic Right Whale and a host of important fishery species. Article in Journal/Newspaper Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic North Atlantic right whale Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Gam ENVELOPE(-57.955,-57.955,-61.923,-61.923) Scientific Reports 7 1 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
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English |
topic |
Medicine R Science Q |
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Medicine R Science Q Brian D. Grieve Jon A. Hare Vincent S. Saba Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
topic_facet |
Medicine R Science Q |
description |
Abstract Calanus finmarchicus is vital to pelagic ecosystems in the North Atlantic Ocean. Previous studies suggest the species is vulnerable to the effects of global warming, particularly on the Northeast U.S. Shelf, which is in the southern portion of its range. In this study, we evaluate an ensemble of six different downscaled climate models and a high-resolution global climate model, and create a generalized additive model (GAM) to examine how future changes in temperature and salinity could affect the distribution and density of C. finmarchicus. By 2081–2100, we project average C. finmarchicus density will decrease by as much as 50% under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. These decreases are particularly pronounced in the spring and summer in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank. When compared to a high-resolution global climate model, the ensemble showed a more uniform change throughout the Northeast U.S. Shelf, while the high-resolution model showed larger decreases in the Northeast Channel, Shelf Break, and Central Gulf of Maine. C. finmarchicus is an important link between primary production and higher trophic levels, and the decrease projected here could be detrimental to the North Atlantic Right Whale and a host of important fishery species. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Brian D. Grieve Jon A. Hare Vincent S. Saba |
author_facet |
Brian D. Grieve Jon A. Hare Vincent S. Saba |
author_sort |
Brian D. Grieve |
title |
Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
title_short |
Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
title_full |
Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
title_fullStr |
Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
title_full_unstemmed |
Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf |
title_sort |
projecting the effects of climate change on calanus finmarchicus distribution within the u.s. northeast continental shelf |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 https://doaj.org/article/8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-57.955,-57.955,-61.923,-61.923) |
geographic |
Gam |
geographic_facet |
Gam |
genre |
Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic North Atlantic right whale |
genre_facet |
Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic North Atlantic right whale |
op_source |
Scientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2017) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 2045-2322 https://doaj.org/article/8821487cd0bd4a49a9c8e56ba63b38ad |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 |
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Scientific Reports |
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7 |
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1 |
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1766382888527331328 |