European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet
Abstract Previous studies have found inconsistent responses of the North Atlantic jet to Arctic sea‐ice loss. The response of wintertime atmospheric circulation and surface climate over the North Atlantic‐European region to future Arctic sea‐ice loss under 2°C global warming is analyzed, using model...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/article/84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a 2024-09-15T18:08:05+00:00 European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet Kunhui Ye Tim Woollings James A. Screen 2023-03-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/article/84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/article/84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 5, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) Arctic sea‐ice loss North Atlantic jet model uncertainties temperature and precipitation storm track activity Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 2024-08-05T17:49:23Z Abstract Previous studies have found inconsistent responses of the North Atlantic jet to Arctic sea‐ice loss. The response of wintertime atmospheric circulation and surface climate over the North Atlantic‐European region to future Arctic sea‐ice loss under 2°C global warming is analyzed, using model output from the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project. The models agree that the North Atlantic jet shifts slightly southward in response to sea‐ice loss, but they disagree on the sign of the jet speed response. The jet response induces a dipole anomaly of precipitation and storm track activity over the North Atlantic‐European region. The changes in jet latitude and speed induce distinct regional surface climate responses, and together they strongly shape the North Atlantic‐European response to future Arctic sea‐ice loss. Constraining the North Atlantic jet response is important for reducing uncertainty in the North Atlantic‐European precipitation response to future Arctic sea‐ice loss. Article in Journal/Newspaper Global warming North Atlantic Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Geophysical Research Letters 50 5 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Arctic sea‐ice loss North Atlantic jet model uncertainties temperature and precipitation storm track activity Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
Arctic sea‐ice loss North Atlantic jet model uncertainties temperature and precipitation storm track activity Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 Kunhui Ye Tim Woollings James A. Screen European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
topic_facet |
Arctic sea‐ice loss North Atlantic jet model uncertainties temperature and precipitation storm track activity Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
Abstract Previous studies have found inconsistent responses of the North Atlantic jet to Arctic sea‐ice loss. The response of wintertime atmospheric circulation and surface climate over the North Atlantic‐European region to future Arctic sea‐ice loss under 2°C global warming is analyzed, using model output from the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project. The models agree that the North Atlantic jet shifts slightly southward in response to sea‐ice loss, but they disagree on the sign of the jet speed response. The jet response induces a dipole anomaly of precipitation and storm track activity over the North Atlantic‐European region. The changes in jet latitude and speed induce distinct regional surface climate responses, and together they strongly shape the North Atlantic‐European response to future Arctic sea‐ice loss. Constraining the North Atlantic jet response is important for reducing uncertainty in the North Atlantic‐European precipitation response to future Arctic sea‐ice loss. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kunhui Ye Tim Woollings James A. Screen |
author_facet |
Kunhui Ye Tim Woollings James A. Screen |
author_sort |
Kunhui Ye |
title |
European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
title_short |
European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
title_full |
European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
title_fullStr |
European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
title_full_unstemmed |
European Winter Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Strongly Shaped by Change in the North Atlantic Jet |
title_sort |
european winter climate response to projected arctic sea‐ice loss strongly shaped by change in the north atlantic jet |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/article/84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a |
genre |
Global warming North Atlantic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Global warming North Atlantic Sea ice |
op_source |
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 5, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2022GL102005 https://doaj.org/article/84f6d581c6c548b3b9c80200b823571a |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102005 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
50 |
container_issue |
5 |
_version_ |
1810445444477616128 |