Pareto optimal analysis of global warming prevention by geoengineering methods

• Published in: Computer Research and Modeling
• Main Author: P. V. Parkhomenko
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Russian
• Published: Institute of Computer Science 2015
• Subjects: climate modelling; geoengineering; climate stabilization; Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods; T57-57.97; Mathematics; QA1-939; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.20537/2076-7633-2015-7-5-1097-1108; https://doaj.org/article/843977b52a9f4a2381f6be109ca73482

The study is based on a three-dimensional hydrodynamic global climate coupled model, including ocean model with real depths and continents configuration, sea ice evolution model and energy and moisture balance atmosphere model. Aerosol concentration from the year 2010 to 2100 is calculated as a controlling parameter to stabilize mean year surface air temperature. It is shown that by this way it is impossible to achieve the space and seasonal uniform approximation to the existing climate, although it is possible significantly reduce the greenhouse warming effect. Climate will be colder at 0.1-0.2 degrees in the low and mid-latitudes and at high latitudes it will be warmer at 0.2-1.2 degrees. The Pareto frontier is investigated and visualized for two parameters - atmospheric temperature mean square deviation for the winter and summer seasons. The Pareto optimal amount of sulfur emissions would be between 23.5 and 26.5 TgS/year.